Ji Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 since Ian got unraveled that i called it the PSUHoffman storm part II. We need a thread to track early february Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Calling it a name was only part of it. There's no storm just colors on a model. We've had monthly long range threads work well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 This is the one that will make everyone's winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 This period covers what is going to be the best pattern in the history of ever, so I am sure we will be counting our snow in feet - both digital and real life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 This period covers what is going to be the best pattern in the history of ever, so I am sure we will be counting our snow in feet - both digital and real life. People will recall it with a glint in their eye as if they were thinking of late-January through mid-February 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Jan 96 repeat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I'll toss in my ante - Can't be any worse than what we've been through so far this winter - and Bob Chill is excited about euro ensemble agreement at the long lead, so why not, Pocket aces please... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Can't be any worse than what we've been through so far this winter This is true. The only thing worse than what we've been through/are going through so far this winter would be a 24-hour forecast of SN+ that busts, We've already busted from 48hrs out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 i want a storm that skirts along the lower mississippi valley with a banana high pressing in from the north. the low ejects off the NC/VA coast, and turns towards the benchmark. we get 6-10"+ and 100% surface stickage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 EPS looks pretty cold for beginning of the month. Looks like ridge is in a good spot n the west. AO should be slightly negative. NAO...well we know that is never going negative during winter ever again as long as man walks the earth. So outside of that, and no hint of a Nino, there are reasons to be optimistic. Cold with clipper chances mixed in. Maybe a NS system will really dig and go crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 GFS wipes out the EC Feb 1-2, which is nice, until it turns to light rain and 35 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22, 2015 Author Share Posted January 22, 2015 GFS wipes out the EC Feb 1-2, which is nice, until it turns to light rain and 35 degrees. digital snow thread please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 digital snow thread please Sorry, I forgot this thread was for serious analysis of the D10 threat... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 GFS looks like it's gearing up for something at 216. yeah, I said it. 216 hours. What a thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 GFS looks like it's gearing up for something at 216. yeah, I said it. 216 hours. What a thread. Interesting enough the GFS has been onto it give or take a day or two since 384 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 GFS looks like it's gearing up for something at 216. yeah, I said it. 216 hours. What a thread. Ive been tracking the digital snow thread and gfs really is better from 300 to 372 hours than it is short range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 GFS also saw this coastal storm tomorrow (track not temps) at 300+ hours and it saw the clipper monday at 300+ hours. Perhaps 200+ out is it's wheelhouse EDIT: It does however seem to lose everything and get jumpy in the medium range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 GFS has a great lakes low and a GOM low setup to start February... Hmmmm where have I seen that before? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Ive been tracking the digital snow thread and gfs really is better from 300 to 372 hours than it is short rangeThis coming storm was pretty well modeled at range. Or at least the idea of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 GFS has a great lakes low and a GOM low setup to start February... Hmmmm where have I seen that before? GL low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 GL low? Gaithersburg low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Gaithersburg low Crap. I'm south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Why don't you just make this the feb long range thread like a normal person sir jay? (Yes I'm that ocd.. Times I miss having edit capabilities) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Why don't you just make this the feb long range thread like a normal person sir jay? (Yes I'm that ocd.. Times I miss having edit capabilities) please don't make him think ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Should have posted here...I am trying to understand ao and nao. Is this a good height pattern..? I see more orange and red shades over the arctic regions.. And over the north Atlantic http://www.tropicalt...0a_namer_41.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 It's a weak GL low, but it's there, and the high is exiting stage right, but the cold airmass verbatim is plenty cold enough. Obviously the northern stream won't look like that in 240 hours, but it is oddly familiar to have a low in the northern stream stacked above our southern stream lows this winter. Something to watch I guess. GL low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 It's a weak GL low, but it's there, and the high is exiting stage right, but the cold airmass verbatim is plenty cold enough. Obviously the northern stream won't look like that in 240 hours, but it is oddly familiar to have a low in the northern stream stacked above our southern stream lows this winter. Something to watch I guess. Take a look @ h5. Zero worries about a gl low. PV is displaced into se canada and there is a ton on confluence above us. Imo- this particular threat is at greatest risk of shearing apart or getting shunted south by confluence. But I don't blame you one bit for being paranoid about a gl low. They are pesky little buggers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 No chatter about the nice ns vort pass/miller B next Sunday? Is Ji ok? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 No chatter about the nice ns vort pass/miller B next Sunday? Is Ji ok? fabfeb.JPG Wasn't this originally a giant miller A crawling up the coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Wasn't this originally a giant miller A crawling up the coast? Yea, but we're a clipper town now. NS vort has been trending towards outrunning the southern stream. The Miller A hecs is teed up on the 8th. We're good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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