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1/27 Winter Storm - Round 3 - Discussion Thread


Heisy

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Well, that's pretty much climo for these.  Which is why we're going up a down escalator with this one.  But it's not out of the question that we cash in to some degree.  That said, we certainly won't be anywhere near the bullseye.

yeah we will be part of the snow on snow group at least :)

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GGEM looks good, not as quite as good for us as I had thought it was going to be. Absolutely wrecks NYC SNE though

Every miller B has a tight gradient and a screw zone--PHL is going to skirt it here, some models will have us whiffing, some with a foot, and who knows where the truth will lie.

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Canadian was stronger and more west than the GFS though. I really think it should have showed more snow in SE PA

 

Yeah the low is stronger and further west then even the GFS yet it doesn't have alot of QPF wrapping around it to the west.... it focuses most of the precip due north of the low which doesn't make sense to me... It's almost like a tightly wound tropical system..

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Yeah the low is stronger and further west then even the GFS yet it doesn't have alot of QPF wrapping around it to the west.... it focuses most of the precip due north of the low which doesn't make sense to me... It's almost like a tightly wound tropical system..

 

I think that's just par for the course with systems like these.

 

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Honestly given a GFS/Canadian evolution Philly is fair game for a foot plus

 

I hope I am wrong about this but I feel like the under on this is a pretty strong bet.  I do think we will see some accumulation, though.  Evidently the GEFS is east also, although i have not seen it yet.  EDIT--confirmed GEFS definitely east of operational.

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GD always with the downer posts... Colin is that you?

Sent from my iPhone

not trying to be a downer honest, i just think it is going to be tough for us to pull off the kind of event some people are talking about it here.   I'd feel very differently NYC-East.  As I said, I hope I am wrong.

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