blizzardlover Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Total speculation but guessing he means 75mi. west of the GFS/RGEM/short-termers. Unfortunately there was no further detail provided, and all the related posts are asking for information.... I'll post any clarification I see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 All this analysis this afternoon and early evening about where the low might be going... yet the GFS and NAM are almost identical through 0Z. Its in the next 6 hours where they diverge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I bet he is looking at that vortex 50 miles NE of AC retrograding towards AC. False hope he can't be referring to that as the storm center.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Can anyone substantiate this? A poster on the Accuweather forums (which I really can't stand because there is no regional focus, but was browsing due to American's recent issues) said a meteorologist named Larry Cosgrove is saying: "Storm center is tracking a good 75 miles west of most numerical model forecasts." No idea who he is, but am curious if one of one of our forum viewers could confirm or deny this. If true would have some interesting implications... Thanks! Larry Cosgrove posted that on facebook about 35 minutes ago. have not seen any other met say that though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Right where it's suppose to be http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/850hPa/orthographic=-77.58,38.71,1769 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Latest Wxsim program with 18z GFS/NAM but NO Euro input for NW Chester County PA - it has done a great job since last nights run's we shall see if it continues Storm total snow in brackets (2.5" so far) Just light snow and flurries thru 930pm then snow picks up in intensity 10pm Moderate Snow temp 19.1 (3.5") 1am Moderate Snow temp 18.9 (4.6") 4am Heavy Snow temp 19.5 (6.5") 7am Heavy Snow temp 19.5 (8.9") lighter snow after 9am 12pm Total Snow (10.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Right where it's suppose to be http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/850hPa/orthographic=-77.58,38.71,1769 Yep...but damn, that's one physicidalic map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Unfortunately there was no further detail provided, and all the related posts are asking for information.... I'll post any clarification I see. LC once got mad at the internet and stopped posting on USENET because a bunch of weather weenies called him out for bad forecasting of a squall line that was passing through the Susquehanna Valley. Larry likes people to read his words and will say anything that will add to the clicks...whether right or wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 LC once got mad at the internet and stopped posting on USENET because a bunch of weather weenies called him out for bad forecasting of a squall line that was passing through the Susquehanna Valley. Larry likes people to read his words and will say anything that will add to the clicks...whether right or wrong. He's a respectful meteorologist, and not the type that cares about clicks. Since he's not here to defend himself, I gotta say something. Plus, for weenies to hold such a grudge for so long over something so minor...speaks for itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 100% agree LC is one of the all-time greats. Very respected and not into hype in any way. I would love to see him come back to the Philly area He's a respectful meteorologist, and not the type that cares about clicks. Since he's not here to defend himself, I gotta say something. Plus, for weenies to hold such a grudge for so long over something so minor...speaks for itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue sky Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 The low off AC is backing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 He's a respectful meteorologist, and not the type that cares about clicks. Since he's not here to defend himself, I gotta say something. Plus, for weenies to hold such a grudge for so long over something so minor...speaks for itself. LC is a mild mannered DT. Nice guy but lacking skill for the profession when it comes to forecasting live events. I will not hijack the thread anymore but the poster asked for information on him so it was given. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 The low off AC is backing up. yea, but these radar bands breaking up as they near the coast = not good. if things don't start filling in quickly...then GFS was right . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coltsfan1217 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 I don't care what the GFS says, this storm looks great based on all obs. Still going with a foot in Philadelphia, 8-10 in the immediate NW. Steve D agrees with me as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue sky Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 yea, but these radar bands breaking up as they near the coast = not good. if things don't start filling in quickly...then GFS was right . This is going to ne epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 yea, but these radar bands breaking up as they near the coast = not good. if things don't start filling in quickly...then GFS was right . we will know more in a few hours, i'd say around 10pm if it isn't really filling in, we could be in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 What do people make of how dry the HRRR is since when it shows mega amounts people seem to love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 This thing is so disjointed it isn't even funny. I am pretty much screwed in Cape May....maybe a coating later im thinking. North of sea isle does fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 I don't care what the GFS says, this storm looks great based on all obs. Still going with a foot in Philadelphia, 8-10 in the immediate NW. Steve D agrees with me as well... what obs in particular look great to you at this point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
delijoe Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 The lack of radar fill in is a concern to me. The convection off the NJ coast is backing away... Mark my words if we get 6" for PHL area it will be a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 We might know before 11PM... NAM could easily right itself at the last second, we'd know that by about 9:10 or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 We might know before 11PM... NAM could easily right itself at the last second, we'd know that by about 9:10 or so Or it could NAM us again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 yea, but these radar bands breaking up as they near the coast = not good. if things don't start filling in quickly...then GFS was right . I am going to give it another hour, but I am not enthusiatic with the radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
delijoe Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Why is the radar filling in in central PA but bupkis here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lman Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 So is there the chance we don't get an inch from this in sepa? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 Why is the radar filling in in central PA but bupkis here? that is actually a deform band related to the clipper that passed through, and not related to the coastal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lman Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 So is there the chance we don't get an inch from this in sepa? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 This thing is so disjointed it isn't even funny. I am pretty much screwed in Cape May....maybe a coating later im thinking. North of sea isle does fine. Oh my god. Dude, it has been modeled this way even on NAM. Relax Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 So is there the chance we don't get an inch from this in sepa?Always a chance but things will get cranking later I guess. Chill people. The mods had the low disorganized at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 27, 2015 Share Posted January 27, 2015 So is there the chance we don't get an inch from this in sepa? Well, pretty sure I already have over an inch, soooo.....no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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