Juliancolton Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Mt holly is 2-4 for cj north...thats fair..no problem with that Glad to hear you approve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Just look at the dual pol radar and the mixing line on that radar, which has been posted in this thread multiple times already, and stop the bickering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Wow...so this is what happens when the moderators give up on our sub-forum. All the bickering is unbearable to sift through and I don't have the patience anymore. Y'all have a great and snowy night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Joe Cioffi: "Leaving the forecast alone. No changes. At this point if I'm too low. .then so be it." He has NYC into western LI through central and north Jersey in the 3-6 with 6 plus in parts of northern Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 No idea why Philadelphia and New Brunswick are under the same WWA...should be separated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Joe Cioffi: "Leaving the forecast alone. No changes. At this point if I'm too low. .then so be it." He has NYC into western LI through central and north Jersey in the 3-6 with 6 plus in parts of northern Jersey. I respect that. He'll Prob be right in the end Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 There was a big dry nose below 780mb near NYC, hence why its taken a bit of time to get going, within an hour it should be well saturated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Here in SEPA many places mixed but most are now back the heavy snow as CC shows changeover line disappeared and is now from Wilmington south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Hi all, Snowing to beat the band right now. All this energy, all of these dynamics, anyone see possibility of thundersnow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Looks like some very heavy snow is about to move into NWJ, NYC and LI soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 There was a big dry nose below 780mb near NYC, hence why its taken a bit of time to get going, within an hour it should be well saturated. Just checkec down in the Philly thread you will see how once the heavier rates moved in that sleet flipped to heavy snow Goes along with the Mesoscale disco for S plus up here in the early AM hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 FYI been looking at the HRRR for years now. It ignores counts sleet towards snow accumulation and in events like this highly exaggerates snow fall accumulation obviously. Ignore it.Use it as a guide for liquid accumulation (which it has been reasonably accurate). How that ratio translates to a true snow/sleet accumulation gets much more complicated. It's not clear if the amounts on the ewall or ESRL Page are using a strict 10:1 ratio of the frozen precip accumulation or some other variation due to thermal profile.Now liquid amounts range between 0.5-1.0" across NJ, LI, CT, and MA. Whether or not that translates to 5-10" or lesser totals will depend on the ratio of true snow vs. sleet or rain. http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ppapin/lb13_img/hrrr/hrrr_ncep_refl_alb.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Hi all, Snowing to beat the band right now. All this energy, all of these dynamics, anyone see possibility of thundersnow? Heard there were reports in PA/MD earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Here in SEPA many places mixed but most are now back the heavy snow as CC shows changeover line disappeared and is now from Wilmington south The heavy precip rates are fighting the warm air back, but it looks to be advancing more steadily up towards Philly now. The dual pol radar is the real deal, when the colors change over your house it's very accurate at sensing the changeover. I know from experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Hi all, Snowing to beat the band right now. All this energy, all of these dynamics, anyone see possibility of thundersnow? There has been some thundersnow reported in Maryland. Larry Cosgrove believes some thundersnow is possible around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 The heavy precip rates are fighting the warm air back, but it looks to be advancing more steadily up towards Philly now. The dual pol radar is the real deal, when the colors change over your house it's very accurate at sensing the changeover. I know from experience. Warm layer is being beaten once north of Philly. NYC is fine for at least 4-5 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Its snowing in Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Philly back to moderate snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Kumar Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Snowing here on Staten Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Snowing in Whitestone and temp plummeted to 32.9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 The heavy precip rates are fighting the warm air back, but it looks to be advancing more steadily up towards Philly now. The dual pol radar is the real deal, when the colors change over your house it's very accurate at sensing the changeover. I know from experience. Yeah, we all saw it in The philly sub forum. It usually NEVER goes back, but that initial color chane showing the flip that we all experienced went bye bye and at the same time we all went back to snow. It is a fantastic product in these set ups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Appreciate you sharing, thank you. Even without that.. This wall of snow came in as modeled. There has been some thundersnow reported in Maryland. Larry Cosgrove believes some thundersnow is possible around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Love it...someone can be condescending literally in almost every post they make and no one cares...say one bad word (omg oh noes) and everyone is all of a sudden upset. Hilarious. Tell us about it in 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYY_2 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Tell us about it in 5 days. much appreciated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 32.5 now and snow intensity increasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Kumar Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Same ag3, snow intensity is increasing by the minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYY_2 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Here in SEPA many places mixed but most are now back the heavy snow as CC shows changeover line disappeared and is now from Wilmington southWhat is cc? Sorry for my ignorance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Warm layer is being beaten once north of Philly. NYC is fine for at least 4-5 hours. agreed. Reading around in the philly thread. Guys that were sleeting for a bit went back to heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason215 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I think he means CCB = Cold Conveyor Belt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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