SnoSki14 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Ice is a serious concern I hope this doesn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Precip blowing up down in MD. Radar indicates precip may move in 8-10 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Does anyone know of any good radar website or app that shows actual precipitation and not just virga? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 There will no doubt be many surprise with this storm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Precip blowing up down in MD. Radar indicates precip may move in 8-10 PM Should be rippin up here by morning commute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Does anyone know of any good radar website or app that shows actual precipitation and not just virga? Radar scope is a good one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Does anyone know of any good radar website or app that shows actual precipitation and not just virga? MyRadar app. Hands down the best radar I've ever used on any platform, plus it's free. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 Thanks for all the compliments, it's greatly appreciated. Now let's get NAM'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Does anyone know of any good radar website or app that shows actual precipitation and not just virga? If you are on a desktop: http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Thanks for all the compliments, it's greatly appreciated. Now let's get NAM'd I don't expect it to be like 12Z. NO specific reason, other than it was extreme Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I wonder what Upton is waiting for, figured i would have been upgraded by now to atleast a Watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I wonder what Upton is waiting for, figured i would have been upgraded by now to atleast a Watch They would go to a warning... most likely in their 4pm update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 They would go to a warning... most likely in their 4pm update Yea your right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGod Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I've been dying for one of those ridiculous NAM runs - let's see what she holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 For anyone interested, plotted the 12z sounding for LGA on AWIPS. At 12z, the entire sounding is AOB 0C, then at 18z, 850 mb and surface warm to +1, but at that time, there's big time dry slotting above 700 mb. This would seem to indicate that much of the ~.4" qpf for much of the NYC metro on the Euro between 6z and 12z would be in the form of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Just to mention, the SREF plumes are now 4-5" for the NYC area with 6-8" for the NW suburbs (3-4" out on the island). They haven't been too reliable lately, but it's never a bad thing to see them a bit snowier. I'm guessing this NAM run will also paint out 4-8" for many of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 18Z NAM is wetter, the surface low is almost inland over DE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 hr 12 on the 18 z nam sim radar is impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 18Z NAM is wetter, the surface low is almost inland over DE. Keep up the good news! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 Funny, this run is warmer at the surface but colder at the mid-levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 The really robust area of precip is further NW but the overall coverage of it is smaller. Kind of a give and take scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Funny, this run is warmer at the surface but colder at the mid-levels. truth - far NWNJ will like this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Noaa has actually decreased my totals from 3-6 to 2-4 lol All guidance is pointing towards atleast 6+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 Compact little nuke. It lost the big blowup of convection south of the low center that was robbing the moisture in the cold sector. Most of the SREF members made this correction at 09z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 Western New England is crushed. Big time totals for places like Springfield, MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 What about our area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 So the main thing going on here is the precip shield seems to becoming more compact. It's going to be a sharper cutoff if you're unlucky enough to be too far NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 Looks like the warmest NYC gets at the surface is 33F. There is going to be a relatively narrow area of significant ice. Probably between 80 and 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 So the main thing going on here is the precip shield seems to becoming more compact. It's going to be a sharper cutoff if you're unlucky enough to be too far NW. What are you talking about? Albany? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 The 1"+ contour gets back to about MMU. It's a hair drier once you get well NW, like towards the Poconos and Sullivan County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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