wthrmn654 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Would this possibly mean storm going be moving slower? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 GFS spits 5" for my area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 On the back end Cmc, can someone explain to me why it is icing in SNJ and its rain here in NNJ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 What would be the reason why the model would show snow east on Long Island and rain for northern NJ (even as heavier precip passes over the same area in NNJ)? I guess the best dynamics work their way in once you head a bit further east and the low strengthens moving NE? Storm is deepening there , better lift , better rates , 850s catch the back edge . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 GFS At this point I'll take 3-5 for my area, especially after this roller coaster ride Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Any news on the UKIE, JMA (Ok, even the NAVGEM)? Have not seen any posts regarding them recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 What do you know...the GFS shows another possible scenario...AGAIN!!! What a winter.....the first storm will be mostly rain for a good portion of us and the second storm will effect areas south of us....lol. too funny. 1980's FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 GGEM is a nice hit, but brings mixing issues all the way up to southern Orange County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 A lot of people probably see 4 to 5 inches of snow on the front . BL temps at the coast are 33 , so even if you get .5 inches of rain , its just going to soak into your pack and melt very much of it . So you will be shoveling cement in the end . Then it freezes at nite . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 What a winter.....the first storm will be mostly rain for a good portion of us and the second storm will effect areas south of us....lol. too funny. 1980's FTW. Not set in stone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Anyone wanna help me out here with the latest GGEM, I find it to be fairly accurate within 72 hrs, and it's changed drastically run by run.. It had a sheared off precip shield barely making it north of Manhattan, now it's showing a fairly decent shield with moderate to heavy snows North of rockland followed by a change over South of orange, then another back end dump.. Very confused Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 RGEM Snowfall Forecast: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I'd feel better for sure if this was last winter, the RGEM was unstoppable, this year its been good but nowhere near as infallible as last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I'd feel better for sure if this was last winter, the RGEM was unstoppable, this year its been good but nowhere near as infallible as last year. Rgem nailed the last clipper for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 The GGEM is a lot of freezing rain NW of 95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 RGEM Snowfall Forecast: I'll take .60 liquid for my area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 The GGEM has the most robust precip inland of any model today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Rgem nailed the last clipper for us. Could get ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Ggem has almost .75" of frozen liquid for KNYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 1" plus countour back to MMU. That's snow to ice to snow for the western half of the area and snow to rain to snow for the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Anyone have the 00z navgem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Ggem has almost .75" of frozen liquid for KNYC.Yea but how much of that is snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Ggem has almost .75" of frozen liquid for KNYC. The 1 scary thing in this event that I heard one forecaster point out today is the chance of FZRA near NYC...winds are NE, the mid levels definitely warm, but if we wet bulb initially into the upper 20s to near 30 with snow, its possible it may be hard for us to get above 32. I'm not too worried though due to fast movement...I think any mixed precip period will be short. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 24 hours from the biggest snowstorm of the season for most and no posts in over an hour? Wow. C'mon, it's Euro'clock... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 How's the EURO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeinzGuy Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 ECMWF looked east to me on Plymouth state maps but its hard to tell...low was ~100 miles ENE of Cape Cod at hour 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Is the Euro that bad? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rogue Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Is the Euro that bad? Heavy thump of snow to rain for most/all areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Not all areas... NW Of i-95 is mostly frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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