Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,606
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

Potential Major East Coast Storm on Saturday Part 2


IsentropicLift

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.2k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

3-5" on the front end, a little less than that North of 80. The heart of the dynamics still stay offshore.

 

Oakland, NJ - 0.40"

Sussex, NY - 0.20"

Newark, NJ - 0.70"

JFK - 0.80"

NYC - 0.70"

HPN - 0.30"

West Milford, NJ - 0.30"

Trenton, NJ - 0.60"

Smithtown, NY - 1.10"

Back end CCB?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Is there anything after that period, CCB or main core of the storm?

No CCB . Some rain on the s shore of long island , 850s on the N shore are a tad colder so is the BL

Some rain too into MC .

But the threat of accumulating snow has now moved to the front end. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The system doesn't close off at H5 until up into Canada so it's a slowly developing CCB that drops more snow as you move further northeast.

yup - said yesterday SNE would do better with this setup - pretty good model agreement at the moment - the weaker scraper idea looks to have won out.. Many cautioned yesterday not to take the Euro at face value - it didnt make sense. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3-5" on the front end, a little less than that North of 80. The heart of the dynamics still stay offshore.

 

Oakland, NJ - 0.40"

Sussex, NY - 0.20"

Newark, NJ - 0.70"

JFK - 0.80"

NYC - 0.70"

HPN - 0.30"

West Milford, NJ - 0.30"

Trenton, NJ - 0.60"

Smithtown, NY - 1.10"

 

 

Is this liquid all snow?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

yup - said yesterday SNE would do better with this setup - pretty good model agreement at the moment - the weaker scraper idea looks to have won out.. Many cautioned yesterday not to take the Euro at face value - it didnt make sense. 

 

.7 into KNYC

1 inch a liquid to JFK and Monmouth county 

1.2 onto Suffolk County is no way constitutes a scraper 

 

  996 to 975 in 12 hours is not weak . OBX to CC 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The differences aloft this run were huge from the 00z run. The northern stream vort completely phases in and the kicker shortwave was weaker and further NW. I don't think we're at the final outcome yet.

I agree with the last point. At still nearly 2 days out we can't lock anything in especially when it comes to storms like this.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

.7 into KNYC

1 inch a liquid to JFK and Monmouth county 

1.2 onto Suffolk County is no way constitutes a scraper 

 

  996 to 975 in 12 hours is not weak . OBX to CC 

you're right I used the wrong verbiage... fair enough. If things remain the same, the outcome will be right in-line with my thoughts that ive stuck by for days regarding the snow potential, despite my misuse of the term "scraper"  - you know its kind of like you saying HECS yesterday, and 30" potential, sometimes you get caught up in the moment  :whistle:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

you're right I used the wrong verbiage... fair enough. If things remain the same, the outcome will be right in-line with my thoughts that ive stuck by for days regarding the snow potential, despite my misuse of the term "scraper"  - you know its kind of like you saying HECS yesterday, and 30" potential, sometimes you get caught up in the moment  :whistle:

30 was not my comment , and

 

The poster who said 30 was alluding to high end Miller A s where banding occurs . 

 

You may want to scroll back and see who said what my man . 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

you're right I used the wrong verbiage... fair enough. If things remain the same, the outcome will be right in-line with my thoughts that ive stuck by for days regarding the snow potential, despite my misuse of the term "scraper"  - you know its kind of like you saying HECS yesterday, and 30" potential, sometimes you get caught up in the moment  :whistle:

IsentropicLift, on 21 Jan 2015 - 2:14 PM, said:snapback.png

A Euro run like that if verified would drop 30" in spots. A general 12-18" with pockets of 20-30".

I think that could show up in New England . 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...