redbanknjandbigbasslakepa Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Srefs look awesome, way wetter and west, lots of leaning too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Gfs has a real nice banding signature around nyc. If correct 2 feet will be no problem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Srefs look awesome, way wetter and west, lots of leaning too Agree they even look better than the srefs from a couple runs ago. I'd be shocked if the Nam didn't have any major adjustment coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 1/25 12z Summary NYC area : QPF (Snow) SREF: 1.50 - 1.75 (>16") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Anyone posting the plumes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 NYC is just about 1.75" on the 09z SREF mean. Contour is right over the city. 1.5" contour stretches West of MMU. Southeast LI is 2" plus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 NAM is getting its last chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Early prediction NAM does a 180 at 12z and crushes you guys! Full capture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I made a new thread for the 12z suite. Like for the big ones.... http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45501-potential-hecs-january-26-27-2015-12z-suite-and-discussions/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Brief teleconnections discussion... February 2-5, 1961 snowstorm (AO+/PNA+): The origin of the storm was different, but its secondary development along the Carolinas and slow movement provide some insight based on where the clipper is forecast to redevelop. However, one should adjust the accumulations northward given that this storm developed off the South Carolina coast and the clipper is forecast to redevelop off the North Carolina Coast. Hence, for example, Washington DC, which received 8.3” in the 1961 storm will very likely see much less snowfall this time around. In contrast, parts of New England should see more snow than occurred in that event. Of course, perhaps the best match for a clipper’s bombing into a major nor’easter is the February 1978 blizzard (a storm analog mentioned by DT yesterday). Select Accumulations around the NYC Metro Area: Bridgeport: 12.9” New Haven: 14.0” New York City: …JFK: 24.0” …LGA: 19.0” …NYC: 17.4” Newark: 22.6” Poughkeepsie: 18.0” Westhampton: 13.9” White Plains: 24.0” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rygar Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I like the Mt Holly ranges for NJ. Not complaining, there is still so much room for changes Minimum Potential Maximum Potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 NAM BE ROLLIN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Any chance this storm trumps the huge 3 feet storm we had after sandy? Nws click point has me potentially herring max of 22 inches! Blizzard party in orient! All the way on end of long island lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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