delijoe Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The hires 12km NAM is coming in with a better solution... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Enter player 2....... Today the real games begin..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Winter Storm Watches up in Mount Holly CWA for 6-16" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 340 AM EST SUN JAN 25 2015 ...ONE OF THE LARGEST SNOW STORMS OF THE WINTER MAY IMPACT OUR AREA MONDAY INTO TUESDAY... .WHILE THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE TRACK AND FEROCITY OF A DEVELOPING NOR`EASTER LATE MONDAY...THERE IS LITTLE DOUBT THAT SNOW WILL AFFECT TRAVEL MONDAY IN MUCH OF OUR AREA. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A FOOT OR MORE OF SNOW MONDAY NIGHT FROM NORTHERN NEW JERSEY NORTHEASTWARD INTO PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND. NJZ013-014-020-026-251645- /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0001.150126T1700Z-150127T1700Z/ WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...JACKSON... LONG BEACH ISLAND 340 AM EST SUN JAN 25 2015 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS...THE NORTHEAST AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY COUNTIES OF MONMOUTH AND OCEAN. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW WITH WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH CAUSING CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 16 INCHES. * TIMING...SNOW BEGINS NEAR DAWN MONDAY AND SHOULD SLOW THE MORNING COMMUTE. THERE MAY BE SOME MELTING OF THE SNOW ON PAVEMENT MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE MUCH MORE IMPORTANT PORTION OF THIS STORM BEGINS SOMETIME MONDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING THEN EVENTUALLY WINDS DOWN MIDDAY TUESDAY. * IMPACTS...COULD BE A MAJOR IMPACT ON COMMERCE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. * WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Winter Storm Watches up for Albany CWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Wws for almost all of NJ except NENJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 For NWNJ ... WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS... MUCH OF THE REGION FROM INTERSTATE 78 NORTHWARD TO INCLUDE THE LEHIGH VALLEY... POCONOS AND THE NORTHERN THIRD OF NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPES... HEAVY SNOW WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING. * ACCUMULATIONS... SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 16 INCHES. * TIMING... SNOW DEVELOPS EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND SHOULD SLOW THE MORNING COMMUTE. THE MUCH MORE IMPORTANT PORTION OF THIS STORM BEGINS SOMETIME MONDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING THEN EVENTUALLY WINDS DOWN TUESDAY. BLOWING AND DRIFTING WILL OCCUR. * IMPACTS... COULD BE A MAJOR IMPACT ON COMMERCE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * WINDS... NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES... MOSTLY IN THE 20S FOR THIS EVENT. * VISIBILITIES... ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW... SLEET... OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 That's because they are in Uptons CWA, not sure if you know that. Upton will be next with a winter storm watch possibly blizzard watch for eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 That's because they are in Uptons CWA, not sure if you know that. Upton will be next with a winter storm watch possibly blizzard watch for eastern areas. I figured. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Upton just updated their snow totals: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/stormtotalprecip.php 14-18 for much of Nassau and Suffolk (except the east end). watches likely up in a few minutes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Upton just updated their snow totals:http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/stormtotalprecip.php14-18 for much of Nassau and Suffolk (except the east end). watches likely up in a few minutes?whoa talk about boarderline in the middle pf 10-14 14-18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Based on winds on their P&C forecasts, possibly some blizzard watches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Blizzard watches up for BOX CWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 BOX just issued a Blizzard Watch for RI and E. MA. OKX will likely pull the trigger with that as well, especially for Suffolk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Agree with both Mt. Holly and Upton. The 6-16" range is obviously huge but warranted given there's still some uncertainty. I do think the lower end of that scale is practically a lock unless the Nam scores a once in a lifetime coup. The upper part of it is the big question and I think amounts will go up over LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Alright, Winter Storm watches have been issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 356 AM EST SUN JAN 25 2015 ...MAJOR NOR`EASTER TO IMPACT TRI-STATE AREA LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.... CTZ005-009-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-176-178-252100- /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.A.0002.150126T1800Z-150128T0500Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC- EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN- WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE- PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN QUEENS- 356 AM EST SUN JAN 25 2015 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * LOCATIONS...THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...NEW YORK CITY...AND SOUTHWEST CONNECTICUT. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW AND NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 10 TO 14 INCHES. * WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. * TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOW AND STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. * IMPACTS...BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO STRONG WINDS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Here we go! URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 356 AM EST SUN JAN 25 2015 ...MAJOR NOR`EASTER TO IMPACT TRI-STATE AREA LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.... CTZ006>008-010>012-NYZ078>081-177-179-252100- /O.NEW.KOKX.BZ.A.0001.150126T1800Z-150128T0500Z/ NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON- SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON- NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 356 AM EST SUN JAN 25 2015 ...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND LONG ISLAND. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 12 TO 18 INCHES. * WINDS...NORTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. * TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOW AND STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. * IMPACTS...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TRAVEL DUE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL AND STRONG WINDS WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS LIKELY. SECONDARY AND TERTIARY ROADS MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE. STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN POWER LINES AND TREE LIMBS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 wsw flying about, blizzard watch eastern li Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 BLIZZARD WATCH for Long Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I think the wsw and blizzard watches were placed in the correct spots for now. After 12z tomorrow and perhaps 0z they may upgrade the blizzard watch further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Looking at the NWS National radar loop and I have to say this thing looks very potent already. It's not your run of the mill shortwave and I can see why DT was so bullish about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I am in western Long Island, almost border with Queens. I'm under a blizzard watch!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUMG11 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Expect the Blizzard watches to expand over the area tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Expect the Blizzard watches to expand over the area tomorrow. I doubt it. I expect blizzard warnings though when they update late Sunday night or very earlier Monday morning for NENJ, the jersey shore down to ocean co , nyc and LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 BLIZZARD WATCH for Long Island I think there was a period from the early 80's to the early 90's with one blizzard warning for the tri-state area. They have certainly increased in frequency the last dozen years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I think there was a period from the early 80's to the early 90's with one blizzard warning for the tri-state area. They have certainly increased in frequency the last dozen years. I think 1983 and 1996 were the ones in that time frame. We have had a bunch since 2003 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 6RGEM is further east than the 00z was+would have been extrapolated. It hammers eastern LI/SNE. Might still be a fairly good hit here.....but more on the edge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Just wondering if anyone posted this before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 06z GFS running Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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