ILoveWinter Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 If this is right .. This would be that Biblical storm Henry Marguisity talked about years back ! Yea thats the map I saw. I never thought I would ever see NYC metro in that dark blue cover, let alone a day after this storm was supposed to be much weaker and miss us to the south! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I've been waiting to post this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 This is just hard to comprehend. I can't wrap my mind around 2.8" of QPF with 15:1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Very disruptive storm, there would be mass roof cave-ins everywhere. Somewhat more concerned than excited for u guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 1st guess is holding I GUESS THE NWSFO philly forecast fro WORST CASE in NJ of 8" needs To be adjusted i laughed when i saw that. guess they dont want people to panic? it made no sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 It's still just a model run 48 hours out, but it's the Euro and the others are moving towards it, so to not take it seriously is negligent at this point, as that output would cripple much of the northeast US. Holy Mother of God (and I'm an atheist). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherweather Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 sigh its march 2001 alll over again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Just sayin. NWS offices when looking at the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Very disruptive storm, there would be mass roof cave-ins everywhere. Somewhat more concerned than excited for u guys. This will not be a heavy wet snow... It's a very fluffy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Let me say this.... 2.5 - 3.0 " liquid is insanely amazing... but the fact that we are talking temps in low 20s and teens (15 - 20:1) ratios is just speechless... holy cow... you may never see this again in your lifetime if this plays out as it just showed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Winds according to the euro would be gusting to hurricane force? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayson Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 sigh its march 2001 alll over again Somehow I can't keep this out thought out of my mind as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 1/25 00Z Summary NYC QPF (Snowfall) SREF: 1.25 - 1.50 (>12") NAM: 0.15 - 0.25 (>2") GFS: 1.10 - 1.25 (>15") GGEM: 1.75 - 2.00 (>20") GEFS: 1.10 - 1.25 (>15") UKMET : 040 - 0.60 (>5") ECM: 2.10 - 2.30 (GULP >22") not nit picking but the GEFS I see is 1.5 and the GGEM is 2.5 as is the EURO on all the high res maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 This will not be a heavy wet snow... It's a very fluffy snow. I would gander between wet and fluffy, definitely not powdery. Based on the 850mb temperatures. https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B8LNirXIAAEiaGX.png:large Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The bullseye is right over my house. I...I need to sit down for a moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 sigh its march 2001 alll over again March 2001 had it gone right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Ummmm that EURO snowfall map is insane. Gotta keep a level-head here and not get too excited. 36-40 inches in and around NYC is insane and probably just a bit overdone haha. I guess weirder things have happened tho. Good god almighty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason215 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Sounds like a beer I want to drink right now. I never though that with what this model is putting out would get me this high! Cheers to the BLIZZARD! Regarding flying out here to catch this? Don't do it. You're in a new job and need to hit the ball outta the park. Just plan a nice ski trip to Kirkwood CA or Alta/Snowbird UT in the right pattern and get your feet of snow! I know there's nothing quite like having a BLIZZARD at home in the CP. -Jason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Is it wrong of me to be excited but slightly worried we're going to see another March '01 with this storm? Forecasts were just as high this far out. I'm excited, but nervous that the storm may underperform like March 01. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Mr. Storm your warm seclusion is showing lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
christhesnowman Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 1st guess is holding I GUESS THE NWSFO philly forecast fro WORST CASE in NJ of 8" needs To be adjusted mad rush to the supermarket tomorrow night due to their lack of balls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 1/25 00Z Summary NYC QPF (Snowfall) SREF: 1.25 - 1.50 (>12") NAM: 0.15 - 0.25 (>2") GFS: 1.10 - 1.25 (>15") GGEM: 1.75 - 2.00 (>20") GEFS: 1.10 - 1.25 (>15") UKMET : 040 - 0.60 (>5") ECM: 2.10 - 2.30 (GULP >22") Tony, I have 2.70" for NYC on the NAM (I meant Euro, which seems to be impersonating some of the crazy NAM runs of the past). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 The NWS will most certainly be issuing watches with their morning package. I don't think they will go as far as using the "B" word until the afternoon package but who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Abe area on euro map is around 16 inches and about a foot if you were using 10-1 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Is it wrong of me to be excited but slightly worried we're going to see another March '01 with this storm? Forecasts were just as high this far out. I'm excited, but nervous that the storm may underperform like March 01. I'm worried as well. Best to remind us that we just do not see 30-40". Could it happen? Yes. Odds? Well tomorrow we'd be better off tracking UFOs. This run actually made me even more anxious than if it DID NOT show a big hit....geez.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 not nit picking but the GEFS I see is 1.5 and the GGEM is 2.5 as is the EURO on all the high res maps. Saw several GGEM maps at 2" but ill take your 2.5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Even places in EPA get 40 knot gusts on the 00z ECMWF. I'd almost expect the majority of Uptons CWA to be covered in green tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 mad rush to the supermarket tomorrow night due to their lack of balls Gotta get the bread and milk!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I just set up a conference call in my company (I work for a private jet company) the same time the EURO was coming out and they couldn't understand my excitement when I relayed them what the latest run was. Looks like I'm going to be busy for the next couple of days, haha! My only question right now since I haven't paid attention to this since Thursday, is that what spurred the big change in the last 24 hours? I thought with the shortwave digging farther south that it was just going to scoot OTS? Was it the Saturday storm that caused all these changes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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