rcad1 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 What time does this start on Monday? Supposed to have surgery and wondering if it will be cancelled? Thanks for the help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 When do Euro ensembles come out those will be important? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Boxing day was modeled well many days in advance, it then lost it 3 days out and brought it back. This storm is just really showing up now though the pieces have been there for a while Actually there was one run of the GFS that showed a significant storm, but then it lost it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 What time does this start on Monday? Supposed to have surgery and wondering if it will be cancelled? Thanks for the help Monday evening worsening overnight into midday Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Honestly, I really like this run and the GEFS had several members that showed a similar situation. However, I am still thinking that this will end up being a LI/New England storm in the end. The trend is certainly west, but I suspect that there will be re-adjustments east with time. This is not to say that much of NJ will still see at least SECS type totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 You are just dumb... wxbells snow maps are almost a;ways over done eurowx.com uses evan Kuchera snow logarithm ... the fact that YOU dont under stand doesnt make me wrong. I DO understand that -- why the attitude - im ALWAYS the one who talks about how overblown they are - I know the EUROWX uses Kuchera - why do you get off on acting like you are the only one who knows anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Not boxing Day. Boxing day was a Miller A Guys this is a Miller B MM My post wasn't in regards to the evolution of the storm but how the models suddenly brought it back. In regards to bluewave and Plfdwxdude you guys are right. This storm is a bigger surprise, if it verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Holy crap, what did I miss. This has to be one of the most insane EURO runs I've ever seen. The analogs for this event already print out 6"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Holy crap, what did I miss. This has to be one of the most insane EURO runs I've ever seen. The analogs for this event already print out 6"+ yup - cant get any better than that run - I think we'd all take half of what was depicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I just started this job on Monday and getting back would be kind of a pain after a 20"+ blizzard, so unfortunately no can do. Ah that's a bummer, but completely understandable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Not too late to book a flight back to witness the storm.. You might end up getting trapped for weeks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 yup - cant get any better than that run - I think we'd all take half of what was depicted.I owe you a beer Btw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Guess I should call the folks back home and tell them to pick up the other snow shovel they've been needing, along with some booze, bread, milk, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 LOL pockets of 36" on the euro snow maps around TTN. Lol I'm terrified to be in the bullseye, at least we are only 2 days out. I can't believe this HECS came out of no where. If this verifies a lot of people are going to be caught off guard and this is going to be real bad considering I-95 is ground zero. Point and click forecast are calling for less than an inch; there will not really be any time to prepare for an event of this magnitude. I'm trying to keep my expectations low but if this verifes it will be the biggest storm I've ever witnessed by a large margin. All eyes are on the 0z suite tonight which is going to be the most important winter run in years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I owe you a beer Btw can you just give me half of what the euro shows instead? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 If the other models trend more towards the Euro (even if not as incredibly as the Euro currently shows) and the Euro holds tonight into midday tomorrow, the newscasts will probably sound the alarms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 My post wasn't in regards to the evolution of the storm but how the models suddenly brought it back. In regards to bluewave and Plfdwxdude you guys are right. This storm is a bigger surprise, if it verifies. Ah my bad. In that regards than yes it would be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 JUST AN EPIC RUN . COULD BE AN ALL TIME BEST AT KNYC IF THAT`S RIGHT . HE IS RIGHT THE EURO DOES NOT MISS THE BIG ONES ON THE EAST COAST . 48 HOURS OUT The atmosphere has been doing some really wild stuff in recent years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Absolutely no words for the Euro. Save that one, ladies and gentlemen. You may never see another run like that again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Bet the NWS is briefing the Mayor and local news directors right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 The atmosphere has been doing some really wild stuff in recent years. While we don't have a -NAO today's storm acts as a 50/50 low and with the ridge spike out west..the energy really digs. This is doable. Folks if this storm materializes you can thank today's event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Absolutely no words for the Euro. Save that one, ladies and gentlemen. You may never see another run like that again. For all of our sanity, we would need to at 00z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 If the other models trend more towards the Euro (even if not as incredibly as the Euro currently shows) and the Euro holds tonight into midday tomorrow, the newscasts will probably sound the alarms. The fact that the models are clearly sensing the potential in this storm, even if they're not all completely there yet, says something's coming IMO. Also, this is coming from them sensing the relevant S/W's as they are now entering land. If the 0z runs tonight continue to trend toward a big event, I'll be honking like a hyena. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Do you know why I'm so confident in the euros solution.. Not necessarily the amounts but the track and solution? How many times have we seen the euro bite this hard within 72 hrs on what was a far different solution a day ago then loose it again...anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
delijoe Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Absolutely no words for the Euro. Save that one, ladies and gentlemen. You may never see another run like that again. Yeah but its not a fantasy 7 day out run its 2 days out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Do you know why I'm so confident in the euros solution.. Not necessarily the amounts but the track and solution? How many times have we seen the euro bite this hard within 72 hrs on what was a far different solution a day ago then loose it again...anyone? It did have a couple of wild runs with today's system, but it's close enough in that hopefully the models are really onto this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 If one or two more of these insane runs show up in the next 24 hours on most of the guidance, then it's locked in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Do you know why I'm so confident in the euros solution.. Not necessarily the amounts but the track and solution? How many times have we seen the euro bite this hard within 72 hrs on what was a far different solution a day ago then loose it again...anyone? agree with this - not necessarily the amounts (probably not the amounts) but wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 can you just give me half of what the euro shows instead?*starts doing the snowmagedden dance * I don't know if I have ever seen a more beautiful setup aloft. Even the 300 mb jet streak is just mouth watering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 It's a shocking turn of events for sure but I just can't get excited for this yet. This is just one euro run. Please keep in mind it has no support and we can just as equally be fringed with lighter snows while SNE gets theirs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.