bluewave Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I can't remember the last such a high impact winter storm solution showed up for the first time in the 3-4 day range after previously presenting such a different weaker evolution. The earlier runs had a much different character. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Has a blizzard of 96 look, no? Could this trend even more a bit NW? No not at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 NO not at all blzzard jan 1996 w as MILLER A Ah, forgot. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I can't remember the last such a high impact winter storm solution showed up for the first time in the 3-4 day range after previously presenting such a different weaker evolution. the earlier runs had a much different character. Boxing Day, no?Edit: on a side note I don't particularly like bringing up boxing day because it was a rare event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 NO not at all blzzard jan 1996 w as MILLER A This definitely resembles more of the 78 storm. Energy dives to the south explodes offshore and gets pulled backed in. The 78 blizzard formed well of the NC coast but moves NW and stalled near LI. This is pretty similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Boxing Day, no? There were stronger indications for a major storm somewhere in the East earlier than this one. http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/winter_storm_summaries/event_reviews/2010/December25_27_2010_Blizzard.pdf For example, HPC medium range forecasts indicated the possibility of a heavy snow event as early as 6 days prior to the event and then continued to advertise the potential for a major storm for the next several days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Boxing Day, no? Edit: on a side note I don't particularly like bringing up boxing day because it was a rare event. Boxing day was modeled well many days in advance, it then lost it 3 days out and brought it back. This storm is just really showing up now though the pieces have been there for a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Would this be a long duration event for NYC with at least 18 hours? Also, based on latest guidance, when would the start time be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I like how far west the Euro extends with this so it gives us a bit of wiggle room. I'd still feel safer just east of the city until we have better alignment with the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 30" IN nyc and nj AGAIN DANGER ALERT NOTICE THE NEW SIDE OF THIS LOW DC could see NOT MUCH .... models over do snow on nw side of MILLER B .. SEE DEC 30 2000 My God . . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Boxing Day, no? Edit: on a side note I don't particularly like bringing up boxing day because it was a rare event. Not boxing Day. Boxing day was a Miller A Guys this is a Miller B MM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 JUST AN EPIC RUN . COULD BE AN ALL TIME BEST AT KNYC IF THAT`S RIGHT . HE IS RIGHT THE EURO DOES NOT MISS THE BIG ONES ON THE EAST COAST . 48 HOURS OUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 the 78 blizzard had a very negative ao for a month and the nao was tanking at the start...this could end up like 78 for other reasons... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 You are just dumb... wxbells snow maps are almost a;ways over done eurowx.com uses evan Kuchera snow logarithm ... the fact that YOU dont under stand doesnt make me wrong. DT what would be the start and end time of this event for NYC? Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNJwx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Just saw the maps - Trenton area gets smashed on this run too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 And I had to move to Texas a week ago... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 30" IN nyc and nj AGAIN DANGER ALERT NOTICE THE NEW SIDE OF THIS LOW DC could see NOT MUCH .... models over do snow on nw side of MILLER B .. SEE DEC 30 2000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 And I had to move to Texas a week ago... Haha aww Jm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 And I had to move to Texas a week ago... I would quit my job and move back for that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 No -NAO, No problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 You are just dumb... wxbells snow maps are almost a;ways over done eurowx.com uses evan Kuchera snow logarithm ... the fact that YOU dont under stand doesnt make me wrong. is the eurowx.com map overdone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I can't remember the last such a high impact winter storm solution showed up for the first time in the 3-4 day range after previously presenting such a different weaker evolution. The earlier runs had a much different character. Not a met but could this be due to the storm that is passing tru now? Perhaps that "cleared" things up a bit for the models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Please change title of thread, remove question mark..thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 And I had to move to Texas a week ago... Not too late to book a flight back to witness the storm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Not a met but could this be due to the storm that is passing tru now? Perhaps that "cleared" things up a bit for the models? Yep that is playing a big part. Its moving out quickly and the models are seeing this now along with all the other components Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 12Z Summary (NYC) Timing : Monday evening - Tuesday morning NAM: >8" (LI / SNE Crushed) GFS : 0 - Trace (LI / SNE special) GEFS: >2" (LI / SNE special) UKMET: >4" (LI / NSE crushed) GGEM: >5" (LI / SNE crushed) GGEM ENSEMBLES: ECM: >22" (everyone PHL - BOS crushed) ECM Ensembles: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 That Euro run=wow, just wow. It's what March 2001 could've been like had it gone right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Not too late to book a flight back to witness the storm.. I just started this job on Monday and getting back would be kind of a pain after a 20"+ blizzard, so unfortunately no can do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 That Euro run=wow, just wow. It's what March 2001 could've been like had it gone right. Yep, it will either be a repeat of that or sweet revenge 14 years later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNJwx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 LOL pockets of 36" on the euro snow maps around TTN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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