robertgny Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Lets discuss the potential clipper system coastal storm on Monday or Monday night in this thread. Although the models show the storm out to sea right now.... the key will be how much height rises occur ahead of the Saturday snowstorm. It is not certain it will be a miss right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
delijoe Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 18z GFS is a solid 4-6 for the whole area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 The strength of this upcoming store will help determine what impact the next storm could possibly have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 This looks like a Miller A and holds some potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Really have to get past this storm first, but...not bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Really have to get past this storm first, but...not bad This is the total including the one on Saturday. The Monday event is not a 12+ inches event...yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 This is the total including the one on Saturday. The Monday event is not a 12+ inches event...yet.You're correct. The weekend event on the GFS gives barely 1" to NYC though and NNJ and 2-4" for Long Island. (So for the NYC area, over 90% of what it shows is from this event). Nonetheless, it is very big subtracting whatever it shows from the system before it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 This looks like a Miller A and holds some potential. Looks more like a Miller B to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Looks more like a Miller B to me Yes indeed. 'Tis Miller B Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Yes indeed. 'Tis Miller B In this winter, it ain't nothin' till it spins up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
delijoe Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 What does the Euro say for this event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Looking good on the GFS. And this was a Miller A but all guidance now has this as a miller b. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 What the gfs shows is the kind of storm to watch in this pattern as we continue to see clippers dive south. Occasionally a clipper is very strong and actually redevelops and bombs in the form of a miller B akin to the 06z gfs. Whether it turns out that way remains to be seen but gfs does much better with northern stream systems so I would lean more toward the gfs than the euro in this case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowblind Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 But unlike Saturdays storm this should not have the mixing issues as much or am i wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Looking good on the GFS. And this was a Miller A but all guidance now has this as a miller b. This has always been a Miller B. Look at the last 3 days of HPC maps. It is an energy transfer/redeveloper off of the Mid Atlantic coast. The question now is how does the 1st system affect its ability to develop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baseball0618 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Looking good on the GFS. And this was a Miller A but all guidance now has this as a miller b. Never a Miller A. This was and always has been a northern stream system w/ coastal redevelopment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 6z GEFS mean looks good for this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 12z GFS is a huge hit. Surface freezing line hangs right around I-78. Plenty of precip. 992mb south of the benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 This may be a slow moving system because of what`s in front of it . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 12z GFS is a huge hit. Surface freezing line hangs right around I-78. Plenty of precip. 992mb south of the benchmark. I wish the low would dig further south as it becomes another marginal setup that would favor SNE more than around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 To be honest, this one I'm concerned about it trending too far north. I can see us gradually becoming the "southern edge" of heavier snows, and seeing that southern edge lift north of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 This may be a slow moving system because of what`s in front of it . I don't remember dates like most of you folks but I remember a similar deal that is possible here. What looked to be a big storm(Saturday) fizzle only to have the big one follow a few days later. I will gladly sacrifice Saturday to get the mother storm Monday... Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 To be honest, this one I'm concerned about it trending too far north. I can see us gradually becoming the "southern edge" of heavier snows, and seeing that southern edge lift north of us Way more risk this goes south, the NAM and GFS being similar at 84 tells you thats somewhat possible since the NAM would typicall be N and W of the GFS at that range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Way more risk this goes south, the NAM and GFS being similar at 84 tells you thats somewhat possible since the NAM would typicall be N and W of the GFS at that range. Hopefully it digs more. New England gets destroyed by that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I wish the low would dig further south as it becomes another marginal setup that would favor SNE more than around here. Marginal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Marginal? The gfs is pretty far north already with this and surface temps are borderline unless north of 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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