Wonderdog Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Hope that secondary takes its time off the NC coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Congrats Warrior Bigfoot Like I said earlier, congrats CAPE. It gives him like 16" lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Dry slot from Hell :axe: You're telling me....EZF basically nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Total precip is a bit better than that, but yeah. Western folks need to hope for a better front end thump while eastern folks want the reach around We could be in for a nail biter. I'm nervous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Lol....Ji is somewhere crying playing his guitar Yeah. But that's what happens when you're all about hecs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Lol i don't even know what to make of the euro I am guessing reality may be somewhere between it and the CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 It would only take a small adjustment with neg tilt and precip shield goes west quickly. What do you think bob? Every run the thing has been digging more, and the Euro might be taking the head in this one. Do you think its got more room to work with? I'd say about 75 more miles, which is barely needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Im right on the 1" qpf line. Any chance it could trend more west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 What do you think bob? Every run the thing has been digging more, and the Euro might be taking the head in this one. Do you think its got more room to work with? I'd say about 75 more miles, which is barely needed. Comparing h5 @ 60 vs 72 from last night and it's a big improvement. One more shift like that and the huge hit moves west. One shift the other way and we are all on the outside looking in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Subtract about 0.07 from this morning and you get 0.68 for DC proper. Not saying SV is right. But there is a difference between SV and WB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Like I said earlier, congrats CAPE. It gives him like 16" lol. lol I will take 6 and be happy. Fun run, but not sure how reaistic it is. Big snows defo favored further up the coast in these set ups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 quasi jan 25, 2000 repeat? i'm in...even though i'm currently on the western edge boom/bust zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 Subtract about 0.07 from this morning and you get 0.68 for DC proper. Not saying SV is right. But there is a difference between SV and WB Just let me check text then get back to you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 What about snow ratios? Aren't they supposed to be 1:12 or 1:15? If so, wouldn't .2qpf stack up to 2.5-3 inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 We could be in for a nail biter. I'm nervous. Even without the bombing coastal, we see a few inches on the front end. I'm keeping expectations low. Two days of snow falling won't be horrible to see at least, whether it piles up or not... We shall see. I'm ready to sacrifice some goats though for decent snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 We could be in for a nail biter. I'm nervous. those precip contours reminds me of Jan. 2000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Its becoming less wrap around and more coastal associated (as in straight up CCB/deform). Yes it backs into us but that is due to the pseudo block stalling it and retrograding it a bit. Plus its absolutely plummeting in pressure down to sub 980.In these situations, are the changes we see now on the latest EURO run possibly not completely done with? In other words, do the models pick up on a trend but not necessarily show the final outcome? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 In these situations, are the changes we see now on the latest EURO run possibly not completely done with? In other words, do the models pick up on a trend but not necessarily show the final outcome? Usually that can happen. However, it can also correct to an over-extreme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 City folk and east peeps need a good thump of snow. Good luck with this, it has been a while. Not really my man, HECS sell like hotcakes these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Someone please tell me this is shifting and we are getting a blizzard. If we get fringed like Boxing Day......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Obviously parsing the minutia of a new solution is silly, but I have access to other subscription maps and are wetter and further west than WB....I wonder if WB even with the higher res has an off output this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 The uneasy feeling I have is if we took the last 30 relatively similar setups over the last however many years, heartbreak is a heavy favorite. The MA is rarely a complicated snow region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 The text data for the euro on AW pro is weird now, it lists precip, which adds to .74, but its for today on the model? I'm not sure whats going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 The uneasy feeling I have is if we took the last 30 relatively similar setups over the last however many years, heartbreak is a heavy favorite. The MA is rarely a complicated snow region. That is what worries me, what was the storm I'm thinking of...December 30, 2000? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Obviously parsing the minutia of a new solution is silly, but I have access to other subscription maps and are wetter and further west than WB....I wonder if WB even with the higher res has an off output this run I'm not sure. Accuweather Pro text matches WxBell almost exactly for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birdsofprey02 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 What is the timing? I'm worried about sun angle (jk)... late sunday evening maybe 12z into 3z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 The uneasy feeling I have is if we took the last 30 relatively similar setups over the last however many years, heartbreak is a heavy favorite. The MA is rarely a complicated snow region. But when it is....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 This looks great, but given that this is a new solution for the Euro, and it's tendency to overamplify, I remain cautiously optimistic. It is a short lead though, so you have to give it some credence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 The uneasy feeling I have is if we took the last 30 relatively similar setups over the last however many years, heartbreak is a heavy favorite. The MA is rarely a complicated snow region. Same here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 kinda looks like Jan 87 except further up the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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