Fozz Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Not bad up this way... lol look at SNE. 30"+ If we can get a decent event with a snowpack that lasts through the week, I don't really mind if SNE gets a HECS. It's a Dec 2010 type screwjob that would leave me with a really bad taste Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 NE Forum is going wild with excitement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 You know what, if the NAM verified verbatim, and I got my 6-7" I wouldn't care that the SNE is in 20-30+. However, that wraparound, despite believable, is tough to fully believe. The SNE solution is possible.. I don't think it can dig enough and tilt enough to do anything like that to us however it can lock in wraparound and -SN to periodic SN with cold temperatures and windy conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Because it's drier Because it's trending toward the Euro idea of redeveloper skipping over us. Its really not that great relative to what we had going in. Yeah go back 3 or 4 runs and compare. Trends are awful. I guess people incrementally lower expectations with each model cycle. So now a couple inches looks great I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Looks like I could get a foot plus at my hotel in Queens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 How often do we get a lot of snow the way the NAM shows it? We know this solution ends up screwing us in the end more times than not... so let's hope it's wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 If we can get a decent event with a snowpack that lasts through the week, I don't really mind if SNE gets a HECS. It's a Dec 2010 type screwjob that would leave me with a really bad taste Oh yeah, definitely. Whatever we get on Monday may last until early Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Where's everyone who said this can't amplify yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 You know what, if the NAM verified verbatim, and I got my 6-7" I wouldn't care that the SNE is in 20-30+. However, that wraparound, despite believable, is tough to fully believe. The SNE solution is possible.. I don't think it can dig enough and tilt enough to do anything like that to us however it can lock in wraparound and -SN to periodic SN with cold temperatures and windy conditions. Feb 1978 had a really nice wraparound for Baltimore and much of northern and eastern MD... a good 8-16" for our area. DCA was skunked though. I have no idea how this setup compares and I haven't checked, but we can sometimes catch the tail end of an exploding Miller B and do okay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Where is Hi-Z? About time for one of his posts about how meteorologically interesting this storm is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Yesterday we were talking WSW...now hoping for WWA...doesn't sound like a snowtown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Holy crap... Even nj gets in to the WSW criteria on that run. The difference between the 12z and 0z for points northeast is just mind boggling. I am liking the run to run variability. Who knows what happens next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Don't look at NE. Just don't. "I looked into the trap, Ray!" Gah, well, that's how it goes. Re-developers are not normally our friend in cases like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Yesterday we were talking WSW...now hoping for WWA...doesn't sound like a snowtown The realistic expectations yesterday were 2-4... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Yesterday we were talking WSW...now hoping for WWA...doesn't sound like a snowtown Oh,we'll get the WWA. They give those out like candy at Halloween. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Where is Hi-Z? About time for one of his posts about how meteorologically interesting this storm is. Well to be fair, it is "meteorologically interesting". But it's becoming suckier model run by model run for us. At this point, I almost wish for this thing to dig to FL and then run up the coast! Might be better for us (though won't happen)! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I am with Ian, if the hopes for DC North are hung on moisture backing in from the coastal , well, I guess that works out once a decade or so, but, hard to hang your hat on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Oh,we'll get the WWA. They give those out like candy at Halloween. If we're expecting an inch, starting around rush hour Monday morning, there will be a WWA. I think that's the latest criteria for high travel times, correct? For the metro areas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Serious question, if other models fall in line with last night's EURO & today's 12z NAM, would anyone be interested in road tripping with me? Split the room etc. I went up there for NEMO and it was prob the best night of my life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Cape cod anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Serious question, if other models fall in line with last night's EURO & today's 12z NAM, would anyone be interested in road tripping with me? Split the room etc. I went up there for NEMO and it was prob the best night of my life. If I lived in Philly, I would be all over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Serious question, if other models fall in line with last night's EURO & today's 12z NAM, would anyone be interested in road tripping with me? Split the room etc. I went up there for NEMO and it was prob the best night of my life. Is that the one that had 70MPH winds reported out of BOS? I was (sickly) watching the reports come in for that one at the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Hi-res NAM sim radar shows pretty much only scattered precip through 00z Tuesday for pretty much the whole area (besides WV/western MD). Amounts to almost 0.15" QPF at DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I am with Ian, if the hopes for DC North are hung on moisture backing in from the coastal , well, I guess that works out once a decade or so, but, hard to hang your hat on it.It's not even really wraparound either it doesn't seem. It's some sort of inverted trough/norlun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 It's not even really wraparound either it doesn't seem. It's some sort of inverted trough/norlun. That's even worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Why wouldn't the GFS and Canadian follow suite? It should not be a surprise when they do...disappointing but not a surprise. It's like people are oblivious to trends sometimes...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 GGEM Maxed out. Not nearly as north with everything as the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Why wouldn't the GFS and Canadian follow suite? It should not be a surprise when they do...disappointing but not a surprise. It's like people are oblivious to trends sometimes...... Exactly. People have been here long enough to know how it goes from here without having to sit through the entire movie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Serious question, if other models fall in line with last night's EURO & today's 12z NAM, would anyone be interested in road tripping with me? Split the room etc. I went up there for NEMO and it was prob the best night of my life. Only if you stop making random words into acronyms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 12z RGEM is our new friend.http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=rgem®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2015012412&fh=30&xpos=0&ypos=313 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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