mitchnick Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I am just a graduate from The University of Usedtobe I Once Was too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Vort101 on the gfs is telling me the monday deal is on the brink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Vort101 on the gfs is telling me the monday deal is on the brink. The brink of what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Vort101 on the gfs is telling me the monday deal is on the brink. Very few times do we want our vort over Detroit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 The brink of what? Disaster. Way too far north. Surface will be toast regardless of midlevels . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 so we are going 0-3. Kind of what i predicted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Disaster. Way too far north. Surface will be toast regardless of midlevels . Nice hit for NE. Actually closes off right on top of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Vort101 on the gfs is telling me the monday deal is on the brink. Even the good runs looked whacked. But we are a northern stream jackpot town.. so.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 so we are going 0-3. Kind of what i predicted yeah you imagined the snow yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Nice hit for NE. Actually closes off right on top of us. We'd do Ok if we could get rid of the initial low that goes across the lakes. Last night's euro looked a tad better so we better hug it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 yeah you imagined the snow yesterday a clipper is a loss no matter what falls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Nice hit for NE. Actually closes off right on top of us. It looks close at the later panels but the trajectory out of Canada was pretty bad. Shifted N from the last couple runs. Could be a blip. GFS was faster moving the coastal out of the way than the previous run so the ns vort doesn't dig enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Not even close. But hey, there's your NE slumpbuster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 so we are going 0-3. Kind of what i predicted It's 1/26 already? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 It looks close at the later panels but the trajectory out of Canada was pretty bad. Shifted N from the last couple runs. Could be a blip. GFS was faster moving the coastal out of the way than the previous run so the ns vort doesn't dig enough. We really don't want these things to drop SE out of Manitoba into MN. Need to vort to be back by Williston, ND in most scenarios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 We really don't want these things to drop SE out of Manitoba into MN. Need to vort to be back by Williston, ND in most scenarios. Is Minot too far east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Not even close. But hey, there's your NE slumpbuster. USA_ASNOWI48_sfc_120.gif Similar swath to 2005, just not as much snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 2 or 1 left? Banter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 its warm for NYC too...threat 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 its warm for NYC too...threat 3 At least it's freezing cold thereafter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I am waiting to see where the euro tracks the low before bailing on this. Euro has had a good track for our area for several days now. Still holding out slim hopes to get a euro track/gfs type storm solution. If not, oh well on to February Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Didn't yesterday's clipper trend north only to trend back south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 so we are going 0-3. Kind of what i predicted YOU'RE RIGHT, ,maybe the most accurate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Yesterday's 6 to 10 day outlook calls for below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation for Maryland. Yes rain and 33/34 probably qualifies as B/A but let's be optimistic. TODAY'S MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE 500-HPA CIRCULATION PATTERNFORECAST OVER NORTH AMERICA. ALL MODELS FORECAST A TROUGH OVER THE ALEUTIANSAND NEAR THE CALIFORNIA COAST, A RIDGE FROM ALASKA TO THE WEST-CENTRAL CONUS,AND A LARGE AMPLIFIED TROUGH NEAR THE EAST COAST OF THE U.S. SINCE RECENT ECMWFENSEMBLE MEAN FORECASTS HAVE SHOWN HIGHER ANOMALY CORRELATIONS WITH RESPECT TOOBSERVATIONS THAN THE OTHER MODELS, IT WAS FAVORED IN TODAY'S MANUAL 500-HPABLEND.WITH AN ANOMALOUSLY DEEP TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE EAST COAST, AND LOW-LEVELWINDS FORECAST TO TRANSPORT COLD AIR DIRECTLY FROM CENTRAL CANADA, BELOW NORMALTEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED IN THE EASTERN U.S., ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHEAST ANDMID-ATLANTIC. A DISTURBANCE MOVING SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS IS EXPECTED TO INTERACTWITH MOISTURE MOVING NORTH FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S., FAVORING ABOVE MEDIANPRECIPITATION ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS. A STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTEDTO FORM IN THE EASTERN U.S. NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD, AND MAY BRINGPRECIPITATION TO PARTS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST. WHILE THE TIMING OFTHE SYSTEM IS STILL UNCERTAIN, IT WOULD FAVOR ABOVE MEDIAN PRECIPITATION ALONGPARTS OF THE EAST COAST, AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. From MIKE CHARLES CPC 6 to 10 day outlook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I am waiting to see where the euro tracks the low before bailing on this. Euro has had a good track for our area for several days now. Still holding out slim hopes to get a euro track/gfs type storm solution. If not, oh well on to February Smart more since last night's didn't look that bad. Today's GGEm sort of looks like last night's Euro in terms of the surface low position Monday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Smart more since last night's didn't look that bad. Today's GGEm sort of looks like last night's Euro in terms of the surface low position Monday morning. Its hard not to react emotionally to each run when we want snow so bad. I have to remind myself to relax and be patient sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Think we'll see some flakes and like the idea but Euro again keeps the idea going that the 500mb stuff is a mess. Unless that resolves hard to be too excited locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Not catching a break today. Euro moved north with the vort and slp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Think we'll see some flakes and like the idea but Euro again keeps the idea going that the 500mb stuff is a mess. Unless that resolves hard to be too excited locally. Maybe. Comparing h5 from 0z last night was a step backwards. Doesn't make me feel good that the GFS did also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 Not catching a break today. Euro moved north with the vort and slp. Good thing we have the Feb 1-9 HECS to save us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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