stormtracker Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 GFS seems a tad wetter/stronger this go around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 At about 4-5" through Monday afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 GFS seems a tad wetter/stronger this go around. Definitely a little further north. Not sure about wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 At about 4-5" through Monday afternoon Looks good, I'm not far from the max though the eastern shore may be better by runs end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Seems to be more separation between rounds 1 and 2 this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Probably just noise but the lp track is a touch north of 12z and 2mb lower (1006 vs 1008). It's a pretty good run. Not much change at h5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 GFS seems a tad wetter/stronger this go around. love it...long duration Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 GFS just keeps snowing...... looks like it snows from 56 - 86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Looks good, I'm not far from the max though the eastern shore may be better by runs end. it's like a 4-6" event for us, and cold to boot...even 2-4" and cold would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 love it...long duration Really impressive on the backside. Slower than the NAM to get in and out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Definitely a touch wetter, by 81 DC is around 0.5 total. Good run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Closer and more consolidated transfer just off the coast. Could be some nice bands if that happens. More likely in Wes-land east than 95 but it's a really good run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Closer and more consolidated transfer just off the coast. Could be some nice bands if that happens. More likely in Wes-land east than 95 but it's a really good run. we deserve it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 love it...long duration good timing too. looks like it starts overnight sunday unless i'm reading the map wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 we deserve it Yes, plus the pattern still looks pretty good going forward though the slower GFS loes the next mini clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 So what are our min/max QPFs? The Euro was around 0.25 and the NAM was 0.7-0.8? Just trying to know where the goal posts on each side are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Congrats us...we're still getting light snow at 10am Tuesday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 My bar is 3". Already had a 2.5" storm. Of course I will take what I can get Looks like a solid 1-3, 2-4 type deal blending the NAM and GFS, with maybe a few places getting 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 What a pretty map. Wes would be one happy dude if it verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 good timing too. looks like it starts overnight sunday unless i'm reading the map wrong. Like 8pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Like 8pm i semi adjusted for virga. was thinking midnight, but i'll take your word for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 4-8 or bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 it's like a 4-6" event for us, and cold to boot...even 2-4" and cold would be nice First Watch/Warning of the year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 So what are our min/max QPFs? The Euro was around 0.25 and the NAM was 0.7-0.8? Just trying to know where the goal posts on each side are. Quick and dirty for me and you 12z GGEM - 0.4" 12z Euro - 0.3" 18Z NAM - 0.7" 18z GFS - 0.6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 4-8 or bust We need an instant stickage widespread wsw event and this one might be it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 4-8 or bust If you blend the Euro/GGEM/NAM/GFS, take 75% of it for QPF overinflation, pixie dust, non accumulating front end. and use 11:1 ratios, we still get over 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 We need an instant stickage widespread wsw event and this one might be it.Yeah watches will fly as this event ends assuming we hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 What a pretty map. Wes would be one happy dude if it verifies. happyhour.JPG I would lock that up. Not sure I buy that long duration light/moderate snow hanging on with the developing coastal though. Kinda rare with a clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Yeah watches will fly as this event ends assuming we hold. You are a bad man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 We need an instant stickage widespread wsw event and this one might be it. I'm tempted to dismiss the 0.04" panels at the end, and the extra wraparound after Monday afternoon...GFS still gives us 4 powdery inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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