AvantHiatus Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Yes, that run should clear things up. Feast or famine, Mason Dixon division it seems. I'll be following the 4k NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Ukmet updated on wxbell. Have to manually add 3hr panels but looks like .25 - .40 through the region with. Low redevelops off of OBX turns the corner ots. Eastern mass gets a decent hit. There's a cluster of GEFS members showing this type of evolution. Probably why the mslp plot also shows redevelopment off of obx. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Ukmet updated on wxbell. Have to manually add 3hr panels but looks like .25 - .40 through the region with. Low redevelops off of OBX turns the corner ots. Eastern mass gets a decent hit. There's a cluster of GEFS members showing this type of evolution. Probably why the mslp plot also shows redevelopment off of obx. . give me a Miller A....um...hold off on that. We have one 3 minutes away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 SREFs mean is 0.25"+ for the LWX area and looks to be all snow with a surface below freezing. Haven't looked at the individual members or plumes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 SREFs mean is 0.25"+ for the LWX area and looks to be all snow with a surface below freezing. Haven't looked at the individual members or plumes. I am waiting for the plumes as well... 15z SREFs looked nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 GEFS mean is way south with redevelopment. I hope we didn't wish too hard for a south trend. That High isn't in a great position. The Low coming down out of Canada isn't letting it get its act together until well offshore. This fast flow is really annoying. Nothing can dig. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 How does the NAM look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 NAM just as diggy, trof axis is further west and heights are a bit higher out in front as a result...looks better than 12z. No closed contour tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 NAM looks decent at 54, no closed h5 though. Nice QPF field Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 NAM just as diggy, trof axis is further west and heights are a bit higher out in front as a result...looks better than 12z. No closed contour tho. lol...you been taking Met classes or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Temps are pretty good on the NAM. Little warm at the surface, but we are basically below freezing down to 950mb by the time the precip gets rolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 My FB forecast - https://www.facebook.com/HeadfulOfSnow/posts/394889414012450?notif_t=like I am more interested in late Sunday through Monday and even into Tuesday. Models are starting to converge on the general idea though there are still a lot of uncertainty about some specifics. General idea, subject to change. Light rain or snow starting mid to late Sunday evening, quickly changing to all snow, that will accumulate overnight. Probably ending sometime monday afternoon/evening. Signs point toward a 2-4" event, but there is some indication that this could be snowier and longer duration. Not looking at some huge storm. But some guidance is pointing to an event that lasts into Tuesday or even beyond, with periods of light snow. This type of event would be in the 4-8" range. My gut says we are looking at the former. 18-24 hour event. Light/moderate snow. 2-4", and cold. And then Tuesday/Wednesday, possible snow/snowshowers and maybe an additional inch. Will keep you updated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 lol...you been taking Met classes or something? Yawn. You do this same thing every year. I know my sh*t...but I'm like a lazy kid in high school...i don't apply myself, as the counselors would say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Yawn. You do this same thing every year. I know my sh*t...but I'm like a lazy kid in high school...i don't apply myself, as the counselors would say. one day we should attack his FB page with screenshots of stuff he says here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 This is a nice run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 NAM'ed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 This is a nice run. Throw it because it is the NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 This is a nice run. Leesburg to La Plata get whooped from 57-63. I'm talking about the NAM at range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 NAMing looks underway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 If only... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 one day we should attack his FB page with screenshots of stuff he says here. Lol, if only they knew what a weenie he is. Let's do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 6-8"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 closed coutour or bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Yep. now if we can get one of the better models to follow suit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Great run for the DC area, looks like 6". North of Baltimore... meh, 1-2"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 About time a model came to its senses with this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Still snowing at 69 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Yep. now if we can get one of the better models to follow suit. Wes with the cheap shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 0.7" or 0.8" total QPF for IAD/DCA, little less for BWI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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