Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I was thinking it could be a 3-6/4-8 last night.. could still be but we need a little more help maybe. I don't buy a 48 hour light snow event. hopefully it isn;t like 2/1-2/13 when we got random snowshowers for 36 hours, and it amounted to 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 If someone actually can complain about this, they should reconsider why they are here clippermadness.JPG quietly raises hand in the corner of the forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Seems weird to me that it snows for that period of time and all we get is 6 inches? That's like 36 hours of snow if correct. It must be really light or intermittent snow. it's 2 events with intermittent light snow in between.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 hopefully it isn;t like 2/1-2/13 when we got random snowshowers for 36 hours, and it amounted to 1" Didn't remember at all but not totally dissimilar looking at NARR. I hadn't looked at the GFS till just now.. definitely not a huge fan of the 500 look compared to last night/6z.. back to strung out etc.. which has concerned a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Decent h5 at hr 48 on 12z GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Maybe they're finally due for a jackpot Why... they had one in '09 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Why... they had one in '09 6 years is a while... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 6 years is a while... I am greedy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 12z GGEM at 60 is digging into N AL/N GA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I am greedy. Me too.... this run is decent but I'd like last night's GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Me too.... this run is decent but I'd like last night's GFS. It will comeback north with the jackpot... don't worry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 GGEM is digging it (see what I did there?). Looks wetter than NAM/GFS at 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 12z GGEM at 60 is digging into N AL/N GA Good grief. This will be a NC storm before its over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 GGEM is digging it (see what I did there?). Looks wetter than NAM/GFS at 72 hours. Likes N VA/DC/MD... naso much RIC area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Good grief. This will be a NC storm before its over. It's not digging quite that far south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 One thing common on all of the modeling is that hangback/inverted trough type situation as the main low departs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Not bad, not amazing. Low gets going a bit east for a bunch of extras. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 4 or 5 inches on CMC for the event it appears Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 These aren't unheard of....these long duration events 1/25-27/2004 2/26-28/2003 were both over 48 hours, and both had precip most of the time....1/25-27 I think had SN or ZR every single OB....2/26-28 was all snow, and there were gaps for a few hours here and there, but basically it snowed for 60 hours...both were 6" events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 4 or 5 inches on CMC for the event it appears round 2 hasn't come yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 round 2 hasn't come yet Is it really that much from the first part? Love SV is fast hate the maps are tiny. edit: do see three 6 hr panels of .1"+ so prob .4ish? guess that's close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Is it really that much from the first part? Love SV is fast hate the maps are tiny. edit: do see three 6 hr panels of .1"+ so prob .4ish? It's about 0.4" QPF I would say...so 4- 5" seems reasonable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Is it really that much from the first part? Love SV is fast hate the maps are tiny. edit: do see three 6 hr panels of .1"+ so prob .4ish? Looks like 1-3" for the area. It's pretty dry. Never mind, zwyts is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 It's about 0.4" QPF I would say...so 4- 5" seems reasonable I'm going to set 3" as my prelim fail bar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 round 2 hasn't come yet Looks like to round 2 misses us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I'm going to set 3" as my prelim fail bar. i thought the same thing when i saw the maps. looked like a light event, but it's also easy to underestimate ratios when temps are in our favor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I'm going to set 3" as my prelim fail bar. I'm not sweating amounts too much because we might be disappointed. If the idea comes to fruition. A long duration cold wintry event, I am going to try not to be too concerned with amounts...As long as I get 2"+ of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I'm not sweating amounts too much because we might be disappointed. If the idea comes to fruition. A long duration cold wintry event, I am going to try not to be too concerned with amounts...As long as I get 2"+ of course. Second batch deflected around us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I'm not sweating amounts too much because we might be disappointed. If the idea comes to fruition. A long duration cold wintry event, I am going to try not to be too concerned with amounts...As long as I get 2"+ of course. I like this....2 inches is my success bar as well. If we can get that with good road stickage it's a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 In situations like this it won't take much qpf to get good totals. Some of the qpf totals in the feb 10 2010 storm were pathetic given the snow totals. This is a similar setup. Obviously not to that level though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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