jwisephotog Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Down to 30 in Granite Falls, NC and it keeps dropping.... forecast said low of 35 tonight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nomanslandva Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Whattayouknow, another Roanoker. Nice to see more people from the area on here. I do agree with you that the mesoscale models have been trending colder. I bet someone in the general vicinity will get a nice surprise from this. I believe this storm has a greater chance of over performing rather than under performing, specifically for our area. Thanks Disc, it would be cool if some unexpected dynamics cold erase that warm air aloft! Pingers are still better than ZR so we will hope for at least that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tullioz Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Already down to the forecast low of 32 here. (Sitting at 31.8 with a dew point of 23) Too bad the moisture is so far away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlover Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Temps are definitely colder than I thought. Sitting at 36 near shelby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Temps will likely shoot up when the clouds roll in and the air starts mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Phil, if you wouldn't mind, would you explain what the TOA Brightness Temperature graphic from your page displays? What is its significance? TOA = Top of Atmosphere.... basically the images are a proxy for simulated IR satellite imagery. Essentially this is the outgoing longwave radiation at the top of the atmosphere I used the Stefan-Boltzmann law to convert it to a representative temperature. Hope that makes sense! You can just use it as a comparison to what IR would be showing at that time. http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ppapin/lb13_img/hrrr/hrrr_ncep_ir_flt.php Actual IR Satellite Imagery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tullioz Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Temps will likely shoot up when the clouds roll in and the air starts mixing. That will likely be the case, but the temperature has been dropping pretty fast in the past couple of hours and are now well below the forecast lows. Just since my last post less than an hour ago my temperature has dropped another two degrees. Now down to 29.6 with the dew point still at 23. I noticed on Wunderground there are several locations in the NW NC mountains in the mid 20's already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 37.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 TOA = Top of Atmosphere.... basically the images are a proxy for simulated IR satellite imagery. Essentially this is the outgoing longwave radiation at the top of the atmosphere I used the Stefan-Boltzmann law to convert it to a representative temperature. Hope that makes sense! You can just use it as a comparison to what IR would be showing at that time. Thanks, Phil! I appreciate the explanation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 35 had some mix of everything earlier. It's mostly a cold nasty rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Cold rain is in my neighborhood Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Cold rain is in my neighborhood Sent from my iPhone Just tell him to git and he'll leave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Just tell him to git and he'll leave.I would but he has his shields up.! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Light sleet IMBY this morning. I'm in the eastern part of the state today, so I'm missing it, though. I'm depending on my wife for updates on the weather from home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Sleet up here in greensboro currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Can't wait for my 2 inches of rain and 36 degrees It's looking more like .50 at best, if that much. Gulf coast convection is really cutting our totals down and radar shows another 3-4 hours of light rain at best. The drier gfs runs earlier in the week were right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I know it doesn't mean dodo but almost all of the SREF members are showing some flakes falling in my yard early tomorrow morning. It would be nice to see something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 It's looking more like .50 at best, if that much. Gulf coast convection is really cutting our totals down and radar shows another 3-4 hours of light rain at best. The drier gfs runs earlier in the week were right.Yeah, this is quite the dud! Let's get the underperformes out of the way for next weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Saw a report on twitter of a light wintry mix in northern Durham, NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Saw a report on twitter of a light wintry mix in northern Durham, NC. Here in Mount Airy were setting at 34 . We are having sleet .County schools let out at 10:30. So close to being good weather . Since it been mild here this week it not really amounting to anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_MountainWX Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Just witnessed and assisted with a wreck on 221N at the blue ridge parkway in Linville Falls. Caution is extremly advised if you are driving in the mtns, especially near the Blue Ridge Escarpment were temputures are hanging on at or below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ollie Williams Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 Here in Mount Airy were setting at 34 . We are having sleet .County schools let out at 10:30. So close to being good weather . Since it been mild here this week it not really amounting to anything. It started out as light snow around 9 and then turned to sleet. The sidewalk and porch are still covered with sleet, but looks like mostly rain now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Started as light snow here from around 10am til 11am. Changed to sleet til noonish, currently a sleet/rain mix. 35 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Looks like it should snow some in N MS/N AL tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 It's looking more like .50 at best, if that much. Gulf coast convection is really cutting our totals down and radar shows another 3-4 hours of light rain at best. The drier gfs runs earlier in the week were right. Oh well, I guess I busted that forecast. We are approaching 1 inch now and it's still raining 12 hours later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Oh well, I guess I busted that forecast. We are approaching 1 inch now and it's still raining 12 hours later. Sounds like a good day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 I would but he has his shields up.! Sent from my iPhone Could be why we struggling with snow. I'll check on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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