Possible Weekend Snowstorm, Jan 24 2015

[Clinch Leatherwood]

RGEM was drier and colder...but it gives decent snow for SE MA even.

Will that's what 4" here? Seems high but who knows. The rest of you are going to have fun.

A month from now many will have measured the previous months snow in feet

[ORH_wxman]

That would be a crowd pleaser

 

 

For SNE it is...for my own greedy purposes I was digging the 10-15" jackpot it had from LWM-BED-ORH earlier, but I knew it was probably a bit overdone. But a solid 5-9" type snowfall is nothing to sneer at this winter...esp when a big portion of the region who has been mostly shutout this year is invovled.

[BostonWX]

For SNE it is...for my own greedy purposes I was digging the 10-15" jackpot it had from LWM-BED-ORH earlier, but I knew it was probably a bit overdone. But a solid 5-9" type snowfall is nothing to sneer at this winter...esp when a big portion of the region who has been mostly shutout this year is invovled.

 

Yeah, I'd appreciate anything greater than 2 inches. I think a solid 5 to 8, lolli 9 is in the card the minute you step off the tarmac at Logan points NW. I'm hoping for 5 IMBY. Nothing screams more than that 9ish measurement though as you've derived over the past few days.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Some mets are commenting on dry air aloft on twitter

Now I'm scared

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

RGEM has been getting decent snows down into SE mass for a few runs now. Gives some hope

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Considering as late as yesterday I expected 1-2", tomorrow should be a gravy event out here. This area is a wildcard in terms of slight shifts at go time having big implications as we are unlikely to mix so could be 4" could be 7".

[FRWEATHA]

RGEM has been getting decent snows down into SE mass for a few runs now. Gives some hope

Is this a front end thump or back-end for us?

[ORH_wxman]

Some mets are commenting on dry air aloft on twitter

Now I'm scared

 

 

Just don't expect a huge event and it'll be good.

 

It's tempting to expect higher end (like 9-10") but I'd keep the expectation in the that 4-7/5-8 range.

[weathafella]

Gfs...lol. Under 0.5 from Tolland to Boston and north.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Some mets are commenting on dry air aloft on twitter

Now I'm scared

Fear the shattered dendrite and own that fear.

[mahk_webstah]

these effing models.  eff thm all.  everything backing down as we get close.  eff it.

[Ginx snewx]

How come you guys don't use tropical tidbits for RGEM it comes out faster and doesn't need conversion

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Is this a front end thump or back-end for us?

Think its a combo of the two. I think the back end is the real wild card for totals

[ORH_wxman]

Gfs...lol. Under 0.5 from Tolland to Boston and north.

 

 

That model is like the NAM now on how consistent it is...except that it still acts like the old GFS on coastal storms. The worst combo

[Ginx snewx]

these effing models. eff thm all. everything backing down as we get close. eff it.

not to be a dick but it's good news for me

[FRWEATHA]

Think its a combo of the two. I think the back end is the real wild card for totals

Well I have an 8 AM appt for work. Might be tricky.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

these effing models.  eff thm all.  everything backing down as we get close.  eff it.

j/k? Everything seems going according to modeling and realistic expectations.

[dryslot]

How come you guys don't use tropical tidbits for RGEM it comes out faster and doesn't need conversion

 

Nam steve

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Well I have an 8 AM appt for work. Might be tricky.

Could be tricky

[mahk_webstah]

j/k? Everything seems going according to modeling and realistic expectations.

not really.  our qpf was increasingly steadily over the last day or so and then just in this last cycle everything retreating... every effing model is backing off and I'l be lucky to get 3 inches.  eff it I hate this winter.  going to savannah for the month of february, maybe there will be snow on the ground in March instead of this 4-6 inches of crusty bs I've had for 2 months.  eff it.  

 

Good luck down there.

[jm1220]

not really.  our qpf was increasingly steadily over the last day or so and then just in this last cycle everything retreating... every effing model is backing off and I'l be lucky to get 3 inches.  eff it I hate this winter.  going to savannah for the month of february, maybe there will be snow on the ground in March instead of this 4-6 inches of crusty bs I've had for 2 months.  eff it.

 

Good luck down there.

 

The most I've ever seen on the ground this winter is maybe 2" and that was fleeting earlier in January before I shipped down south. Didn't even cover the grass all the way.

[weathafella]

not really.  our qpf was increasingly steadily over the last day or so and then just in this last cycle everything retreating... every effing model is backing off and I'l be lucky to get 3 inches.  eff it I hate this winter.  going to savannah for the month of february, maybe there will be snow on the ground in March instead of this 4-6 inches of crusty bs I've had for 2 months.  eff it.  

 

Good luck down there.

not really.  our qpf was increasingly steadily over the last day or so and then just in this last cycle everything retreating... every effing model is backing off and I'l be lucky to get 3 inches.  eff it I hate this winter.  going to savannah for the month of february, maybe there will be snow on the ground in March instead of this 4-6 inches of crusty bs I've had for 2 months.  eff it.  

 

Good luck down there.

You'll get 4-8.

[Ginx snewx]

Nam steve

oops uploaded wrong one

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

oops uploaded wrong one

Wow. Looks even better than the NAM. Would take that in a heartbeat

[mahk_webstah]

 

The most I've ever seen on the ground this winter is maybe 2" and that was fleeting earlier in January before I shipped down south. Didn't even cover the grass all the way.

I live in new hampshire not austin or long beach.  4-6 inches for 2 months in winter sucks.  2 inches for you is normal.  The wrong thread for me to be complaining in, but it started as a comment on models suddenly backing down.

[mahk_webstah]

You'll get 4-8.

LOL

[BostonWX]

LOL

 

Yeah, maybe 2-4?

[CoastalWx]

Mark,

Your crusty 4-6 is basically my winter total so far. I got a sled and snow suit covered in cob webs. You are getting snow and overreacting a bit.

[Quincy]

The 00z soundings from OKX and especially CHH sampled a lot of dry air aloft. Meh. The trend is not your friend.

[mahk_webstah]

Yeah, maybe 2-4?

Hugs everyone.  off to bed.  Hope everyone is dumping in the morning.

And I dont mean in the can.