Possible Weekend Snowstorm, Jan 24 2015

[Cold Miser]

I hate being on the coast sometimes, we never catch a break when we want it to snow and then it snows when we don't want it to snow.  Oh well.

When don't you want it to snow?  I don't think I've ever run into such a qaundary before.

[CoastalWx]

1/26-27, 2011 was kind of like that...though not quite as defined of a low N of Montreal as this one, but it didn't have high pressure up there.

 

I also remember 12/9/05 had low pressure up there...though that system was a bit different than this one. Obviously nuked out.

 

It's certainly not a textbook way of getting snow for sure.  Not that it can't happen, but a bit odd.

[weathafella]

Looking at the hi-res maps on weatherbell it's all snow for BOS/PVD, basically anywhere SE of there will have taint issues but still gets warning snows on the backside.

Meanwhile, the 12z GEFS is 988 right on the BM.

I think GEFS may be JUST SE of the bm but stable per prior runs.

This ones coming. I'm more worried about taint than a miss by a wide margin.

[HoarfrostHubb]

I was in New Jersey. 2 feet. Our forecast the night before was 2-5 then rain. But you may be thinking of the 100 hour storm about 2 weeks later.

Nope   For once I know the difference between the 2

 

I was too young to remember either, but I have read up on the Lindsay storm

[SR Airglow]

I think GEFS may be JUST SE of the bm but stable per prior runs.

This ones coming. I'm ore worried about taint than a miss by a wide margin.

I need to see the EURO hold or come west and then I'll agree with you.

[weathafella]

Considering all but gfs is a major hit I will be shocked if there is much change on the euro. If anything it may comes tad west but I'm hoping it stays put for selfish reasons.

[DiehardFF]

Moving back into school at New Haven today. Only a ice mess sunday morning, and light snow events, no big events over break back at home. However, it seems New Haven may be busy this weekend and possibly next week. CMC crushes a lot of CT.

[dryslot]

Lindsay storm 1969. Big KU was supposed to be mainly rain.

 

That twas a great winter Jerry, Great Winter

[Ginx snewx]

It's weird though, I can't recall any big snow event with a low north of Montreal. I honestly can't.

Feb 7th 2003?

[jamesnichols89]

Like late March and early April when Baseball season starts.

[mahk_webstah]

Cmc seems to bring it almost bodily onto li and then shunts ene if I am seeing it right

[CoastalWx]

Feb 7th 2003?

 

No, not even close. 

[Damage In Tolland]

It's weird though, I can't recall any big snow event with a low north of Montreal. I honestly can't.

There was one in the early 90's i believe

[ineedsnow]

If the euro shows a hit are you in? Gfs seems like the only model that misses so far

There was one in the early 90's i believe

[Ginx snewx]

No, not even close. 

If I recall there was a low pressure working through NY state heading  through Montreal

[Damage In Tolland]

If the euro shows a hit are you in? Gfs seems like the only model that misses so far

 

00z Saturday and no sooner for 100% in.

12z tomorrow for 50% in

[CoastalWx]

If I recall there was a low pressure working through NY state heading  through Montreal

 

Not on that date. It's fine, I'm just a big fan of the look here. Inland would be better.

 

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2003/us0207.php

[Baroclinic Zone]

Your 12z GFS Ensm Members.

 

[Bostonseminole]

00z Saturday and no sooner for 100% in.

12z tomorrow for 50% in

0z saturday?? I mean if you are not 100% by then what's the point.

[CT Valley Snowman]

if and I mean a big IF the Euro comes in big and this ends up being a thumping the newly upgraded and supposedly superior resolution new GFS will take a big hit.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

It's reverse psychology....he's all in behind the scenes, tucked in bed with a thumb in his mouth and a nightlight on.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

if and I mean a big IF the Euro comes in big and this ends up being a thumping the newly upgraded and supposedly superior resolution new GFS will take a big hit.

I'd be throwing up in my mouth if the gfs showed a direct hit at this stage. I like where we stand..even though we are threading the needle here.

[dryslot]

I'd be throwing up in my mouth if the gfs showed a direct hit at this stage. I like where we stand..even though we are threading the needle here.

 

Probably because it would end up as a HV runner if it was the case

[CT Valley Snowman]

Euro is rolling.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Euro is rolling.

It's rolling hard too, teeth grinding and clenched jaws.

[ORH_wxman]

Lets keep this thread to analysis...I know its hard not to banter about a real storm threat, but go to the banter thread for that.

[SR Airglow]

EURO looks pretty amped up so far through hour 60, definitely stronger than the 0z run at 72.

[Chrisrotary12]

Not sure if someone posted this or not, but I posted this in the other thread.

 

CMC Crushed us: http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html

[ineedsnow]

Euro is going to dump looking at 72

[dryslot]

Euro says buckle up, its on