Possible Weekend Snowstorm, Jan 24 2015

[CoastalWx]

Canadian is going to dump.

[weathafella]

Cmc right inside the bm...982....a shellacking. Could be taint at the height in coastal areas.

[CoastalWx]

Yeah mix in BOS area perhaps, but probably a good thumping in that comma head.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Euro and Canadian are a formidable pair at this range

[ORH_wxman]

Yeah that's a smoking for most of SNE on the GGEM...BOS-PVD may briefly taint, but even SE of there where taint almost certainly happens still gets good snow.

 

Ukie at 72h looks similar to the GGEM. Can't see the critical 84h panel though. But based on 72, I'd think something similar.

[weathafella]

Sv cmc maps look like all snow for BOS.

[ineedsnow]

Looks great to me fully expecting the euro to be close to this.. hope the tweaks threw the year help the new gfs

Cmc right inside the bm...982....a shellacking. Could be taint at the height in coastal areas.

[weathafella]

Well close but a dumping nonetheless.

[Clinch Leatherwood]

Cmc right inside the bm...982....a shellacking. Could be taint at the height in coastal areas.

This was like taking candy from a baby. 22-24 was go time based on everything as far back as the 7th to 10th. And here we are with the opening act about to begin!

[weathafella]

1.50-2 qpf back to Tolland and SW. I got the keys Kevin, and I'm driving. Get in!

[mahk_webstah]

More gas in the bus to make it up here? Saw pic which seemed to show qpf much further inland over ma and pa. With a limit to how far west this could get good for many. Also saw red tagged in another thread saying ridge positions supports further west while Canada low argues ots. Battle ensuing but the consistently deep pressures make me optimistic.

[JC-CT]

GGEM, UKMET, JMA, NAM all trended significantly west today or were already inside the BM.

[dryslot]

979mb just east of Ack on the GGEM

[Bostonseminole]

canadian is close call but nice dump and really juicy..

[Bostonseminole]

979mb just east of Ack on the GGEM

 

969 s. of NS.. 

[CoastalWx]

It's weird though, I can't recall any big snow event with a low north of Montreal. I honestly can't.

[mahk_webstah]

Is there a scenario where the Canadian low becomes an injector not a deflector?

[weathafella]

This one isn't whiffing. It would be a monumental multi model fail within 72-84 hours.

[weathafella]

It's weird though, I can't recall any big snow event with a low north of Montreal. I honestly can't.

Lindsay storm 1969. Big KU was supposed to be mainly rain.

[CoastalWx]

GEFS still are a bit se.

[SnowGoose69]

It's weird though, I can't recall any big snow event with a low north of Montreal. I honestly can't.

The last 10-12 years we've had some crazy events under unusual circumstances, 2/2013 was about as bad a pattern imaginable

[HoarfrostHubb]

Lindsay storm 1969. Big KU was supposed to be mainly rain.

Sacred ground there

[SR Airglow]

Looking at the hi-res maps on weatherbell it's all snow for BOS/PVD, basically anywhere SE of there will have taint issues but still gets warning snows on the backside. 

 

Meanwhile, the 12z GEFS is 988 right on the BM.

[Bostonseminole]

GEFS still are a bit se.

 

but not much change from previous runs it seems.

[weathafella]

Sacred ground there

I was in New Jersey. 2 feet. Our forecast the night before was 2-5 then rain. But you may be thinking of the 100 hour storm about 2 weeks later.

[CoastalWx]

but not much change from previous runs it seems.

 

No, so we have some agreement overall.  

[dryslot]

GFS seems to be out on Revis Island at the moment

[ORH_wxman]

It's weird though, I can't recall any big snow event with a low north of Montreal. I honestly can't.

 

1/26-27, 2011 was kind of like that...though not quite as defined of a low N of Montreal as this one, but it didn't have high pressure up there.

 

I also remember 12/9/05 had low pressure up there...though that system was a bit different than this one. Obviously nuked out.

[WinterWolf]

The last 10-12 years we've had some crazy events under unusual circumstances, 2/2013 was about as bad a pattern imaginable

So True.  Blizzard of 13 had a -PNA and a positive NAO.  How that storm did what it did is still amazing..but it did.

[CTWeatherFreak]

I hate being on the coast sometimes, we never catch a break when we want it to snow and then it snows when we don't want it to snow. Oh well.

Wait. What? There are times you don't want it to snow?