Possible Weekend Snowstorm, Jan 24 2015

[BostonWX]

Funny thing about the EURO is it has BOS on the edge of mixing but 850's below 0c from LI to New Haven to Providence. Anyone else seeing that? Can you say dynamic cooling?

 

Yeah I'm optimistic it's just hard to tell if the BL will be an issue in BOS and especially at Logan

[SR Airglow]

Funny thing about the EURO is it has BOS on the edge of mixing but 850's below 0c from LI to New Haven to Providence. Anyone else seeing that? Can you say dynamic cooling?

If you look it's mostly showing up as -0c in the space between those two white bands, so basically between -0.5 and 0. But yeah that band of -1 to -2 in the area you outlined is dynamic cooling, great example of it actually.

[weathafella]

oh I didn't think you taint. Only reason a bit less is due to warmer BL for a time

Bl temps in these cases are always a function of intensity.

[TalcottWx]

If you look it's mostly showing up as -0c in the space between those two white bands, so basically between -0.5 and 0. But yeah that band of -1 to -2 in the area you outlined is dynamic cooling, great example of it actually.

Point is it's not completely out of the question for that to change especially 60 hours out. A degree or too and it's a much more substantial snowstorm for the areas in question.

[SR Airglow]

Point is it's not completely out of the question for that to change especially 60 hours out. A degree or too and it's a much more substantial snowstorm for the areas in question.

Or it goes the other way and we're 90% rain.

But yeah, I agree with your point. Nothing should be locked in yet for anyone considering the differences on guidance and the lead time.

[jamesnichols89]

I think the highest potential to bust low on snowfall amounts would be SE of the I95 corridor.

[weathafella]

I remember a Saturday system in January 2005. I was right on the taint line. Every time snow mixed in I thought...here we go and then it would go back to sleet. The whole day was like that.

[Damage In Tolland]

I remember a Saturday system in January 2005. I was right on the taint line. Every time snow mixed in I thought...here we go and then it would go back to sleet. The whole day was like that.

I brought that one up this morning. I was expecting 4-7 and got a full fledged Zr storm . This was it

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&cd=4&ved=0CBIQFjAD&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.easternuswx.com%2Fbb%2Findex.php%3F%2Ftopic%2F14218-wsw-downgraded-to-wwa-for-boston%2F&ei=R5fBVMKmAcSHsQTToIGIDg&usg=AFQjCNHO0wxtsWk7MTkMc_aDGiIjQaKe7g&sig2=3GK7nkCmxl7DdphLjSxYmA

[jamesnichols89]

My forecast for SNE, includes the states of RI, CT and MA.

 

Fairfield, CT - 3-6"

Hartford, CT - 3-6"

New Haven, CT - 2-4"

Providence, RI - 2-4"

Springfield, MA - 1-3"

Worcester, MA 6-12"

Boston, MA 6-12"

Hyannis, MA 2-4"

[Damage In Tolland]

My forecast for SNE, includes the states of RI, CT and MA.

Fairfield, CT - 3-6"

Hartford, CT - 3-6"

New Haven, CT - 2-4"

Providence, RI - 2-4"

Springfield, MA - 1-3"

Worcester, MA 6-12"

Boston, MA 6-12"

Hyannis, MA 2-4"

Why would Fairfield farther west on the coast than HVN get more snow with less qpf?

[CoastalWx]

Locked in.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

I'd be pretty surprised if Hyannis sees the same amount as providence

[HoarfrostHubb]

Locked in.

Amounts?

[Damage In Tolland]

Amounts?

He made Ryan's map

[HoarfrostHubb]

My guesses

KBOS. 5"

Fellas hood 6"

KGAY and KJAY 7"

Westboro 8"

KORH 6"

KHUBB 4"

KMPM and Hippie. 2"

KTOL 5"

KMOOSUP 5"

Cape Cod. 3" Upper. 1" lower

KScooter 4"

KBOB (TAN) 5"

[CoastalWx]

Amounts?

 

Maybe later. Working right now FTL.

[Ginx snewx]

Awesome info

[ineedsnow]

Not that it means much but the SREF'S moved west

[Damage In Tolland]

Will be nice to see a Pastejob for everyone. Let's snow at 31-32 for the whole thing , snap some things and lay a nice base for the next couple storms next week

[J Paul Gordon]

Nothing like the double snap of a back going out and a plastic shovel separating itself from its cheap wooden handle, Kevin.

would truly love to see a Saturday evening snowfall followed by a Sunday night surprise, though. Looks within the realm of possibilities.

[CoastalWx]

SREFs are useless based on those members. 

[TalcottWx]

Will be nice to see a Pastejob for everyone. Let's snow at 31-32 for the whole thing , snap some things and lay a nice base for the next couple storms next week

I think euro was 30f near Plymouth with 850's actually 0-2c

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

We will see what the euro has tonight. 12z run was probably the best solution snow wise in this area that we have seen today.

[ineedsnow]

nam looks good

[CoastalWx]

NAM still a mess. 

[Bostonseminole]

NAM took a jog  NW 986 mb east ack

[CoastalWx]

LOL in and out by late Sat aftn. 

[dryslot]

nam looks good

 

Yeah, Good shift to the NW even brings precip up here after a whiff the last couple runs

[ineedsnow]

better then 18z i thought

 

NAM still a mess. 

[Bostonseminole]

NAM still a mess. 

QPF really expanded westward