Possible Weekend Snowstorm, Jan 24 2015

[CoastalWx]

Scott, do you think CC turns from rain to snow and then how much on the backend?

 

I suppose if everything worked out maybe a couple on the upper cape, but this really isn't a setup for the Cape to be honest.

[jamesnichols89]

Damn, I was hoping for a two step beast.

[ORH_wxman]

Metro-west BOS might be one of the better spots in this if it turns out like the Euro shows...maybe another jack for ORH just because there wouldn't be any marginal paste there in the ligher overrunning phase of the system.

[CT Valley Snowman]

I could see how some could sneak in with some 6 to 10 inch amounts across northeastern Connecticut,Central and Eastern Interior Mass and NW RI . Starting to think the best banding might be a little bit too far east for me and I end up with maybe 3 or 4.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Is it still wrecking the possibility of anything interesting for Mon/tues?

[Ginx snewx]

6" is low end warning.

yea 6 or more county wide in 12 hrs, congrats and then there is Monday, what's your Jan average?

[danstorm]

Kind of a catch 22 here, but we'll need dynamics too. Lose that, and it's a sloppy slush cover. You don't want it too far east either. Thread the needle.

 

This is the quintessential thread the needle event.

[CoastalWx]

Is it still wrecking the possibility of anything interesting for Mon/tues?

 

It's weaker and a bit faster which helps. Monday is still a bit south, but did come north.

[CoastalWx]

Yeah metro west maybe just west of BOS may be in a good spot on the euro. Congrats Natick?

[dryslot]

Yeah metro west maybe just west of BOS may be in a good spot on the euro. Congrats Natick?

 

Needham

[HoarfrostHubb]

Anyone want to throw out a WAG as far as the start of meaningful snow?

We have a big event here at my building on Sat morning/afternoon

[Damage In Tolland]

Metro-west BOS might be one of the better spots in this if it turns out like the Euro shows...maybe another jack for ORH just because there wouldn't be any marginal paste there in the ligher overrunning phase of the system.

Why there? Is there less moisture to the south?

[ORH_wxman]

Needham

 

Natick to KGAY...might be the best combo of staying all snow in the initial WAA push and then catching the CCB for 4-5 hours as it exits stage right.

[CoastalWx]

Why there? Is there less moisture to the south?

 

Eastern MA fetish. We are a band of brothers.

[Ginx snewx]

Yeah metro west maybe just west of BOS may be in a good spot on the euro. Congrats Natick?

I would still go to Weenie Winter hill, just not on a train, could fall asleep and wake up near MPM and that would be cirrious

[CoastalWx]

Natick to KGAY...might be the best combo of staying all snow in the initial WAA push and then catching the CCB for 4-5 hours as it exits stage right.

 

Yeah, I think that's a good corridor. Can't forget KGAY. 

[ORH_wxman]

Why there? Is there less moisture to the south?

 

 

Marginal mid-levels may muck it up in your neck of the woods...though you could stay barely all snow, its close. In that scenario, you'd be similar to ORH with probably around 6" on the Euro.

 

Once you get west of your area, the precip drops off too much.

[CT Valley Snowman]

Why there? Is there less moisture to the south?

the storm is intensifying as it is pulling away so there will be a longer period of CCB further east.

[CoastalWx]

Kevin you'll get decent snow verbatim, you just may miss the CCB a bit that's all. It's not like Ray is getting 14 and you 6". Talking a small difference probably.

[Damage In Tolland]

Eastern MA fetish. We are a band of brothers.

Thats what usually happens lol like we always say, . We have Ryan but he Debbie's everything all the time so it can get frustrating admittedly

[HoarfrostHubb]

Yeah metro west maybe just west of BOS may be in a good spot on the euro. Congrats Natick?

I was thinking with this suite Marlboro/Westboro/Shrewsbury

[Ginx snewx]

Shanked deflated punts are the best. Congrats EMA

[CoastalWx]

I was thinking with this suite Marlboro/Westboro/Shrewsbury

 

I threw that out as a joke for Will..but that corridor he has could be good. You'l do fine I think as well. No ptype issues for you.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Eastern MA fetish. We are a band of brothers.

[ORH_wxman]

Euro stays pretty cold at the sfc...all the way right into Boston.

 

Just gotta worry about that sneaky mid-level warmth for a time. It's cold enough on Euro, but it's close. So it is something to watch.

[CT Valley Snowman]

it goes to show you the importance of blending when you consider the nuke that the European was showing yesterday versus the GFS which was basically out to sea

[Zeus]

Euro stays pretty cold at the sfc...all the way right into Boston.

 

Just gotta worry about that sneaky mid-level warmth for a time. It's cold enough on Euro, but it's close. So it is something to watch.

 

That, however, has been a consistent feature on the Euro from run to run.

 

The GFS looked to be warmer than that, but it also still seems to be getting settled into a track.

[CoastalWx]

Thats what usually happens lol like we always say, . We have Ryan but he Debbie's everything all the time so it can get frustrating admittedly

 

Because sometimes things aren't always a Currier and Ives painting. LOL. There is this weird vibe about how when someone posts something that isn't all snow..it's deflating a balloon or being a Debbie. Maybe it's because there are some flags? It wouldn't matter where I lived. I'd say the same if I lived on top of Mt Wachusett, or Seal Island off of Chatham. It's a thread the needle system.

[J Paul Gordon]

Looks like a quickie for later Sat afternoon/evening? ORH 2-4? 

Monday timeframe is starting to look interesting on GFS .

[HoarfrostHubb]

I threw that out as a joke for Will..but that corridor he has could be good. You'l do fine I think as well. No ptype issues for you.

Somewhere to my west a man in a shawl is whimpering for qpf