Possible Weekend Snowstorm, Jan 24 2015

[jamesnichols89]

Scott, next week's storm looks a whole lot better for us on the coastal plain, just hope it doesn't go poof.

[CoastalWx]

Scott, next week's storm looks a whole lot better for us on the coastal plain, just hope it doesn't go poof.

 

First storm is fine for many on the CP, esp near and NW of BOS, but the second is nice for all including far western areas.

[Randy4Confluence]

I don't see how it is avoided unless it wraps up big time and tracks over and not west of the bm. Euro and cmc have it inside the bm while gfs is east of that. I think you may well get buried. I expect a plowable snow but heavy rain at the height.

If you're still up for driving, save me a seat.

[Johnno]

First storm is fine for many on the CP, esp near and NW of BOS, but the second is nice for all including far western areas.

I am about to board that train as well, I'll gladly give up my 2-4 for a better outcome for everyone on the 2nd.

[CoastalWx]

I am about to board that train as well, I'll gladly give up my 2-4 for a better outcome for everyone on the 2nd.

 

It's text book for a widespread warning event. 

[Damage In Tolland]

I liked to see we moved towards more of a wet, pasty snow..Something that has some meat and potatoes to it

[CoastalWx]

Hi res euro keeps Boston near 32 with some really good banding in eastern areas from the 850 low. That would certainly help.

[Damage In Tolland]

NWS Boston ‏@NWSBoston  29m

29 minutes ago

Coastal storm may bring a band of heavy wet snow Sat, but rain/snow line still uncertain. Please retweet.

[ORH_wxman]

Well I don't think this storm is going poof...so we will hope to get as much from this as possible...next week will have to deal with it.

 

 

I wonder if there is actually a period of pellets to the pike on some of these solutions because below 850 stays pretty cold before everything crashes SE.

[lakeeffectkid383]

Only a 10% chance for 4" here

[CoastalWx]

Well I don't think this storm is going poof...so we will hope to get as much from this as possible...next week will have to deal with it.

 

 

I wonder if there is actually a period of pellets to the pike on some of these solutions because below 850 stays pretty cold before everything crashes SE.

 

Of course it won't go poof, but it's disappointing because it screws a big widespread event next week. Instead it's a narrow area of 8-10".

[Damage In Tolland]

Of course it won't go poof, but it's disappointing because it screws a big widespread event next week. Instead it's a narrow area of 8-10".

So do you mean that because of the Saturday snow..the Monday night storm only hits SE areas?

[CoastalWx]

So do you mean that because of the Saturday snow..the Monday night storm only hits SE areas?

 

Monday storm may be a total whiff except for James posting hundreds of times about OES. The euro may have a small window for something light, but it won't be easy to do if Saturday turns out to be a very strong low.

[weathafella]

The Saturday systems going to be a big storm. Hope to get as much as you can from that one. If it happens, next major threat is probably Super Bowl Sunday.

[dryslot]

Some could get double doinked like i mentioned the other day

[CoastalWx]

Some could get double doinked like i mentioned the other day

Yeah easily.

[CT Rain]

Damn the GFS is toasty for MBY. Pretty close to a blue bomb but I didn't expect those BUFKIT profiles off the 6z run to look as warm. Even a weak little high over QC would go such a long way. 

[CoastalWx]

Damn the GFS is toasty for MBY. Pretty close to a blue bomb but I didn't expect those BUFKIT profiles off the 6z run to look as warm. Even a weak little high over QC would go such a long way.

850 is warm on both models.

[CT Rain]

850 is warm on both models.

 

Yeah Euro is a toaster bath IMBY

[Damage In Tolland]

Monday storm may be a total whiff except for James posting hundreds of times about OES. The euro may have a small window for something light, but it won't be easy to do if Saturday turns out to be a very strong low.

Well then let's pound Saturday and see what happens next week

[HoarfrostHubb]

Tent crusher for my son's scout campiut

[Ginx snewx]

Damn the GFS is toasty for MBY. Pretty close to a blue bomb but I didn't expect those BUFKIT profiles off the 6z run to look as warm. Even a weak little high over QC would go such a long way.

soundings in my hood are snow start to finish

[Damage In Tolland]

Tent crusher for my son's scout campiut

I won't be mad if Saplings snap, decks are destroyed and Birch's break

[Bostonseminole]

Man, can we just enjoy this one!!

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[Ginx snewx]

Hopefully the GFS has found a nut

[codfishsnowman]

wouldnt be a hoot if it tracked inside the bm but wasnt as dynamic and it was just some slop......still i would think ne ct hills and orh hills do just fine regardless

[codfishsnowman]

noyes has 30 pct chance of up to 2 inches for us

[weathafella]

I just looked at 925 temps on the euro. The 0C line never moves north of BOS. Encouraging.

[CT Rain]

soundings in my hood are snow start to finish

 

No they're not

[CT Rain]

Hopefully the GFS has found a nut

 

Looking at BUFKIT for IJD you're basically above freezing from 800 to 950 during the meat of the storm. It cools below 0c at 00z through the column but after 00z only an additional 0.20" of liquid falls. 

 

So yes, you do flip to snow but a lot of that is rain beforehand.