Zeus Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 for me,it really depends on how locked in it is over the next several runs and whether or not some of the other models give more support. if everything breaks right I could see being confident by 12Z Thursday. By 12z Thursday, we should have an excellent handle on what's going to happen with the clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 By 12z Thursday, we should have an excellent handle on what's going to happen with the clipper. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 18z gfs -1st storm still looks good for eastern parts of SNE..maybe 2-4" deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Storm two on the 18z GFS should be better then 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Storm two on the 18z GFS should be better then 12zI like storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Storm two on the 18z GFS should be better then 12z Definitely a move to the euro there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 The consistency the last few runs from the GFS on the storm is so good I almost had to check to see if was still alive and living on earth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 The new GFS actually does a real nice job dynamically cooling SE MA and the Cape. The higher res shows this nicely for storm 1 on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 The consistency the last few runs from the GFS on the storm is so good I almost had to check to see if was still alive and living on earth. at least the trend is better on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 The new GFS actually does a real nice job dynamically cooling SE MA and the Cape. The higher res shows this nicely for storm 1 on Saturday. Storm two looks delectable as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Storm two looks delectable as well. A bit too far east, but a step to the euro it seems. That's fine. No need for drastic jumps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Definitely a move to the euro there. Yes it was, And all you can ask at this time frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 A bit too far east, but a step to the euro it seems. That's fine. No need for drastic jumps. Eh, it just needed to have the general idea at this timeframe. The overall signal is there between the euro and GFS now. For 7 days out, that's nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I like storm 1 You should like both.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Storm #3 ain't bad eithet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Storm 2 was uglier at 5h this run. Too busy over Quebec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I was expecting an 18z gfs run to show some crazy solution but all it did is tick towards the euro. Impressive actually....and the systems keep coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I was expecting an 18z gfs run to show some crazy solution but all it did is tick towards the euro. Impressive actually....and the systems keep coming. Frustrating that we are days away from a solution. Going to be a long week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I like storm 1 Me too...why? Only because it's closer. I think it could definitely be a miss, a scraper, a direct hit, or rain. But when I say rain, I mean on the front end...I have to think that if it is coming west it is because of a better phase, and there will be some serious dynamic cooling and CCB action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Frustrating that we are days away from a solution. Going to be a long week. Very...there's gonna be swings in the next few days with wild solutions, so we will be tested as to what is real and what is not. Especially how winter has gone so far, emotions will be running high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I mean that P9 member ... is that physically possible?! That's like 494 DM height core on the Del Marva... What is that... like -10SD sun's spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 for get whether it hits Ne England ... that 18z GFS run drills that sucker from 994mb to 968 in just 12 hours! I mean ... is there any awareness here - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Jesus tippy, can you post it's only one member... I didn't see P9 and I thought that was the ens mean lolll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 for get whether it hits Ne England ... that 18z GFS run drills that sucker from 994mb to 968 in just 12 hours! I mean ... is there any awareness here - Tropical tidbits has it at 990mb at hr 96, but it is definitely a meteorological bomb. Euro went from 999mb at hr 96 to 965mb at hr 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2015 Author Share Posted January 20, 2015 Jesus tippy, can you post it's only one member... I didn't see P9 and I thought that was the ens mean lolll The bottom of the map says "P009" Regardless, there's some impressive potential with the D6-7 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Jesus tippy, can you post it's only one member... I didn't see P9 and I thought that was the ens mean lolll That data's right on the chart... It says in black and white "P009" ? It also says 336 hours... It's just the most extreme solution I think I've ever seen. no chance at verifying and it is the one member. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 The bottom of the map says "P009" Regardless, there's some impressive potential with the D6-7 storm. It also says 336...hence the buns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Well BTV AFD spells it out... coastal lows in the long range too far SE for up here "Hopefully we can reel them in and get some snow." I think the board would lose it if that somehow happened. .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...AS OF 325 PM EST TUESDAY...DAYS 4-7 PERIOD CONTINUES TO LOOKRATHER QUIET WITH SEVERAL COASTAL LOWS JUST FAR ENOUGH EAST TOPROVIDE LITTLE TO NO IMPACT TO THE NORTH COUNTRY. <snip> CURRENT PROGS HAVE THE TRACK JUST OUTSIDE THE BENCHMARKAGAIN, THOUGHT SLIGHTLY WEST WITH POSSIBLY A LITTLE MORE IMPACTACROSS EASTERN VERMONT. LOTS OF TIME FOR THIS TO CHANGE THOUGH,HOPEFULLY WE CAN REEL IT IN AND GET SOME SNOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 That data's right on the chart... It says in black and white "P009" ? It also says 336 hours... It's just the most extreme solution I think I've ever seen. no chance at verifying and it is the one member. Didnt notice it said p9 at first also thought it was for the first storm until this post. Oops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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