TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 The 18z gfs is nice. Would probably make a run at a mind boggling snowpack with that type of run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 The 18z gfs is nice. Would probably make a run at a mind boggling snowpack with that type of run Since we are way behind out here I'll root for a scenario for Eastern weenies where Friday over performs and sun/mon is a plastering that then taints and freezes. Epic glacier, snow otg until May. This is how Kevin would want it to play out. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 CMC actually looks great for E NE from Friday to Tuesday. Record snowpack incoming? I'm jealous. If that plays out we'll have a foot of snowpack (no complaints) while Worcester east has 3-4x that. Every bridge on the Ct River will be jammed with weenies waiting to jump. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 gfs has alot of snow to alot of rain for the superbowl storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 gfs has alot of snow to alot of rain for the superbowl storm Roofs FTL. It's way out still but as modeled I like NW MA for that one as far as taint goes. Snow>Sleet>Freezing Drizzle. CAD ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 gfs has alot of snow to alot of rain for the superbowl storm That's a SWFE on steroids. Verbatim on the 0z GFS, probably 6"+ away from the south coast over to IP/RN/dryslot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 GFS and GGEM have both trended toward a SWFE rather than a coastal. Could get messy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Hour 0 and hour 84 of the euro are hilariously similar aren't they? (surface low and qpf) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Euro is a great snowstorm for the first few days of feb! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Euro is a great snowstorm for the first few days of feb! Adds another 10-20" to some of the spots that already got 30"+ today, would be absolutely epic snowpack if that verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Adds another 10-20" to some of the spots that already got 30"+ today, would be absolutely epic snowpack if that verified. Followed by Miller A potential 3 days later. Great run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 GFS/GGEM is a wintry mix and brings the low over SE areas..while the Euro delivers another 1-2 feet+ as it goes out south..Euro track probably the more likely of the two with the deep snowpack..things should get forced south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 We all pray this is wrong... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Somewhere between the EURO and GGEM would be a perfect compromise... or essentially it would be the 00z GFS. We still have no real block so it'll all depend on the resistence the system meets from confluence in southern Canada. If the core of the cold backs a bit west and it tries to phase in, I don't see how worst case scenario is a SWFE. Can always play the card of snowpack causing the low to at least track along the coastline...but will be interesting to watch this evolution. The deep snowpack is really only in an isolated area of eastern New England when you look at it on a global scale, so not sure how much that would play into it. Though a lot of areas now have at least 6" on the ground from PA/NY state eastward. My morning thoughts are the clipper will be very important. If that absolutely bombs out, the next one goes south. If the clipper is sort of a dud with no significantly strong backside push, the next one may walk right up the Ohio Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Its going to be an eastern NE winter.....accept that, and be at peace with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Its going to be an eastern NE winter.....accept that, and be at peace with it. ? I've got close to 2' on the ground and have had snow cover since Thanksgiving. We may not have been in the bullseye on this one but it has been a good winter so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Somewhere between the EURO and GGEM would be a perfect compromise... or essentially it would be the 00z GFS. We still have no real block so it'll all depend on the resistence the system meets from confluence in southern Canada. If the core of the cold backs a bit west and it tries to phase in, I don't see how worst case scenario is a SWFE. Can always play the card of snowpack causing the low to at least track along the coastline...but will be interesting to watch this evolution. The deep snowpack is really only in an isolated area of eastern New England when you look at it on a global scale, so not sure how much that would play into it. Though a lot of areas now have at least 6" on the ground from PA/NY state eastward. My morning thoughts are the clipper will be very important. If that absolutely bombs out, the next one goes south. If the clipper is sort of a dud with no significantly strong backside push, the next one may walk right up the Ohio Valley. Aside from Juno that would sort of fit this years profile. A soaking cutter would suck since NNE ski areas are finally rocking again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Aside from Juno that would sort of fit this years profile. A soaking cutter would suck since NNE ski areas are finally rocking again. I don't think the N. VT areas ever stopped rocking. We've been pretty much steady as she goes, aside from a couple of minor blips. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 GFS/GGEM is a wintry mix and brings the low over SE areas..while the Euro delivers another 1-2 feet+ as it goes out south..Euro track probably the more likely of the two with the deep snowpack..things should get forced south Accurate analysis as always. smh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Accurate analysis as always. smh. Sorry you melted down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Sorry you melted down I didn't melt down. What you said makes no sense. If the two streams phase it's gonna cut. Simple as that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Friday Clipper looks nice, this AM. General 2-4" with enhancement along the coast up into ME as it develops a secondary just off the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Euro is not 2' but it is a major event . I feel like that could be SWFE like but it's early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Juno rattled my confidence back this way...I'm gonna see how systems play out before I jump on board again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Euro is not 2' but it is a major event . I feel like that could be SWFE like but it's early. Yeah, the Sun/Mon system can go either way. Has that SWFish look but could end up Miller B. Euro looked real nice though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Euro ensembles similiar to op for sunday into Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 I didn't melt down. What you said makes no sense. If the two streams phase it's gonna cut. Simple as that.It makes plenty of sense Daniel. Deep snowpack has been scientifically shown to help keep low level cold in place and can force Storm tracks farther south than without it , as well as forcing a secondary to form . Not always.. But many times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 Argue colder. Fish are jumping and the snow numbers are high... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 It makes plenty of sense Daniel. Deep snowpack has been scientifically shown to help keep low level cold in place and can force Storm tracks farther south than without it , as well as forcing a secondary to form . Not always.. But many times To a degree you can be correct in that if the system is weak and the forcing weak, you can get a SLP to track further S. I'm not so sure this one will be able to do that right now. The s/w coming out of Canada looks like a potent one. Let me add that I'm not arguing for or against a cutter just stating that it's a possibility. I'll wait another couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 28, 2015 Share Posted January 28, 2015 llike that matters this could go either way nothing to be excited about yet Euro ensembles similiar to op for sunday into Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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