mahk_webstah Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Bernie Rayno at accuweather has a nice video just out. He likes the postion of the trough axis and believes this is coming up the coast and will verify further west. HPC's weekend track looks like it is right over the bm. A slight bit of very tempered optimism for me up in NH. If I lived in SNE I be a bit more excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Apparently this storm is gonna be so bad the GGEM could not even run today Finally initialized 1:45 behind schedule. Sad that this is becoming a semi-regular occurrence with the model, can't remember the last time it was actually on time(11 AM initialization, 1115 hour 0, 1215 done). GGEM ensembles however ran as scheduled and are further west and more amplified than the 0z ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Apparently this storm is gonna be so bad the GGEM could not even run today lol, There Ensembles are out before the Op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 lol, There Ensembles are out before the Op Yeah, how does that work? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 The GGEM mean wasn't very impressive for Saturday or Tuesday. Seemed like it wasn't sure which system would be best next week. There were two systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Yeah, how does that work? Probably because the OP had already had run before it got out to the public and the ensembles ran on schedule Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Save a ride for the euro and it's posse of 51 friends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2015 Author Share Posted January 20, 2015 Euro is looking rather threatening at 84 hours for a system to hit us...now whether that would be in the form of snow or not remains to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Even moreso at 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Looks good. 980 S of L.I Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Euro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Pasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Quick hitting event but intense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Scott how is BL, mashed taters ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 That's a thread the needle. Any further west and you bring warmer air inland, esp aloft. Further east, much less precip. Eh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2015 Author Share Posted January 20, 2015 Needle threader for E MA paste job...as Scott said, you go either direction and there's problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Scott how is BL, mashed taters ? Mid to upper 30s during the day Saturday out east. There is zero room for error really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 The 500mb changes after the Saturday Night deal, are much different too. Might actually help that this system pulls away quick for the deal early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Next week looking Miller B'ish on the 12z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I think the euro will cook up a biggie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I think the euro will cook up a biggie. Yup, quite a bit better with the trough orientation than the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Definitely like that it was a tick Northwest of 00Z and not a huge jump. verbatim it was a whiff for the Berks and most of central and northern New England in reference to the weekend storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Next weeks is a legit good shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2015 Author Share Posted January 20, 2015 Euro is almost textbook for a big Miller B bomb for the 1/26-27 system. That whole H5 evolution. Would like a good solid ATL block, but we do get a bit of a transient substitute with the exiting 1/24 system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Yeah pretty good system. That's a beautiful s/w digging into the Mid Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Euro looks great we might actually get this to work out for once Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 That's going to be a region wide major snowstorm cooking up for next Tuesday. Wow. Mid level tracks look beautiful for banding too in SNE. I'll keep that solution please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2015 Author Share Posted January 20, 2015 The first system is about 102-114 hours out and the 2nd system is 150-162 hours out...lets keep the model run in perspective. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Snowy run again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 That's a very nice pna spike for the mon/tue system. I'm a bit giddy about this potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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