Hazey Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 With the weekend storm somewhat faster now, It may allow the next clipper to amplify and turn the corner quicker. Need to watch that. The Cape especially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 Monday is starting to turn into almost a retro system...eastern areas will have to be watched for a few inches maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Yeah that may have to be watched. So much easterly flow now and very cold air. Man, my ideas in the 4-7 day timeframe this winter certainly have turned at times lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 So close yet so far away for early next week on the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 So close yet so far away for early next week on the gfs That's our big dog of this pattern flip. Pretty much convinced that's the one that'll pound us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 That's our big dog of this pattern flip. Pretty much convinced that's the one that'll pound us. If that trailing shortwave was a bit faster, that would help bring this a bit closer I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 That's our big dog of this pattern flip. Pretty much convinced that's the one that'll pound us.What makes u convinced? I read earlier this was ots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 What makes u convinced? I read earlier this was ots. Not sure just a hunch, similar to the one that had the onslaught starting 1/22 - 24. Just looking at the way the pattern is shifting, I feel that is the one that will end up having much more room to amplify potentially. It's an overall look. I've been medicated all week...will take a better look in the am, it just feels like during these pattern changes it's at about this point one of the s/w's goes off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 The GGEM makes the pivot but only manages to scrape the cape before sliding ENE..a big improvement to 12z though, which had zilch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 GEFS have some decent precip into SE MA and esp the Cape on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 GEFS have some decent precip into SE MA and esp the Cape on Tuesday. Wait till it hits the Gulf Stream... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Reminds me a bit of the post valentines day storm last year? Maybe I'm crazy. Who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 GEFS give a lot of us half decent snow Monday night/Tuesday. That's going to be high ratio stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 Man, if that trailing s/w can catch up to it a bit sooner, then that's going to hook this back to the left pretty good. Let's hope the trailing s/w is Carl Lewis and the front runner is the fat kid in the waning 200 yards of the mandatory mile he has to run in high school. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 GEFS give a lot of us half decent snow Monday night/Tuesday. That's going to be high ratio stuff.fantasy range but GFS has us all sitting on 2 feet of snow by day ten Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 Well, you knew one of the crap models would pull the retro job off...the prize goes to the NOGAPS this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 fantasy range but GFS has us all sitting on 2 feet of snow by day ten For once you and I agreed on an upcoming pattern despite all the cliff jumpers. Very fun times ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 LOL, love me some NOGAPS. Go second s/w, go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 It;s out around D6-7, but all the 00z models tonight (GGEM, Ukie, GFS so far) bring that 1/30 threat back on the table...there's just a lot of shortwaves in the flow. We are gonna have chances...really active and perturbed polar jet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 It;s out around D6-7, but all the 00z models tonight (GGEM, Ukie, GFS so far) bring that 1/30 threat back on the table...there's just a lot of shortwaves in the flow. We are gonna have chances...really active and perturbed polar jet. That was a weak fropa a couple of days ago. Good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 That was a weak fropa a couple of days ago. Good stuff. Loop the GEFS on the WSI interface for N Hemipshere 5H heights....that is a ridiculous Archambault signal for 2/1-2/2 timeframe...that massive ridge popping in the west while at the same time, we finally have a big wave break -NAO...but that is a big phase change in the NAO. Whether it is permanent or not is irrelevant to the signal...but really clear Archambault case there. Euro ensembles weren't as enthused at the idea, but still showed a weaker signal. But we've seen the guidance shift pretty rapidly in the medium range recently. So maybe it will get clearer on them in future runs. At least I hope, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Loop the GEFS on the WSI interface for N Hemipshere 5H heights....that is a ridiculous Archambault signal for 2/1-2/2 timeframe...that massive ridge popping in the west while at the same time, we finally have a big wave break -NAO...but that is a big phase change in the NAO. Whether it is permanent or not is irrelevant to the signal...but really clear Archambault case there. Euro ensembles weren't as enthused at the idea, but still showed a weaker signal. But we've seen the guidance shift pretty rapidly in the medium range recently. So maybe it will get clearer on them in future runs. At least I hope, lol. Yeah we were kind of weenieing out on that today at work..lol. Great signal with what looks like a good s/w diving south off of the PV there. The ensembles continue a massive +PNA right through the period. Maybe we can slowly try to break down that +NAO with these quick hitting wave breaking events there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Euro coming around to the next one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 Holy crap, the Euro is gonna pull it off this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 EURO looks like it is somehow going to do it for coastal SNE this run, lol wth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 EURO! It's going to do it, it's going to retrograde I think. Oh my. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 This is the one. The difference maker, the year changer. I want to hug Cohen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Warning criteria HVN-BOS and SE. Edit: More like BDR-ORH-MHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 This is the one. The difference maker, the year changer. I want to hug Cohenwhat kind of meds were you on again,lol yea wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24, 2015 Author Share Posted January 24, 2015 Carl Lewis caught the fat kid this run...Euro is a blizzard for eastern SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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