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Model Discussion for Late January into February


ORH_wxman

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Euro did push the back edge of the QPF further NW than 12Z. Hard to believe we have a final solution yet but seems to me some narrowing down is occurring. The northern stream does help keep this progressive so I am more concerned about a late shift east than any big jumps west. A couple of ticks NW could really help out my location.

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Hmm, would I take the 06 GFS with 2.93" of precip and a high temperature of 35˚ occurring before any of it fell for KBOS? Yes, yes, I would. Although it would be nice for the folks away from the coast to get in on some of the action.

 

Everything will probably go OTS, of course.

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  On 1/21/2015 at 11:31 AM, weathafella said:

6z GEFS aren't any different vs 0z. Both 988 just outside the bm. Kevin in full reverse mode until Friday. What he doesn't realize is I changed the keys and locks to the bus.

Just outside the BM is touchy out here near Interstate 91 and the Mass line, Just inside is definitely better

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  On 1/21/2015 at 12:11 PM, mahk_webstah said:

Also wonder if this morphs into one long storm, ie snows Sunday thru to eve and then next storm starts Monday afternoon with no real clearing and mood snow in between

Lol...0z has snow starting Saturday morning. Sunday and Monday are in between days and we go again Monday night. 2 completely different systems and ignition switches.

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I like the Miller B potential storm next week much better then the weekend system, This one will have more of a precip field and looks to move along a lot slower so has potential do drop higher amounts over a much broader area with minimal BL temp concerns if it is valid

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  On 1/21/2015 at 1:51 PM, dryslot said:

I like the Miller B potential storm next week much better then the weekend system, This one will have more of a precip field and looks to move along a lot slower so has potential do drop higher amounts over a much broader area with minimal BL temp concerns if it is valid

 

There's a risk of that being out to sea, of course. It would be nice to see the 12z suite build confidence, but it's still pretty far out.

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