TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 4:34 AM, CoastalWx said: Too many things could go wrong Saturday. I wouldn't get excited yet. I'm definitely not. We've failed multiple times already from this range this winter. If something similar is showing up 00z Friday, then maybe we have something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 NavGEM a miss over 38N/70W...NAM west and amped, for the first time this winter every model is doing what you'd expect...something has to go wrong doesn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 4:35 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I'm definitely not. We've failed multiple times already from this range this winter. If something similar is showing up 00z Friday, then maybe we have something Well It's not that it may miss...but there is very little room for error for you and I in terms of temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 4:34 AM, CoastalWx said: Too many things could go wrong Saturday. I wouldn't get excited yet.lol a classic never ever not posted before every storm ever Scooter post. Deflates balls better than an equipment manager for the Pats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2015 Author Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 4:35 AM, SnowGoose69 said: NavGEM a miss over 38N/70W...NAM west and amped, for the first time this winter every model is doing what you'd expect...something has to go wrong doesn't it? You'd expect the Euro to be slightly west of the GFS and then it's back to 2005-2011 again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 That 2nd system is a slow moving stemwinder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 4:37 AM, Ginxy said: lol a classic never ever not posted before every storm ever Scooter post. Deflates balls better than an equipment manager for the Pats It's 4 days out with a marginal atmosphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 4:36 AM, CoastalWx said: Well It's not that it may miss...but there is very little room for error for you and I in terms of temps. To be all snow yes, but I think there's a decent amount of wiggle room to get say advisory accumulations on the back end as the storm deepens and pulls away, and given what we've seen so far I think we'd be happy with that, I know I would. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 4:37 AM, weathafella said: That 2nd system is a slow moving stemwinder. courtesy of some brief blocking from first low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 4:37 AM, weathafella said: That 2nd system is a slow moving stemwinder.Dr J, some one told me 2011 was not walking in the door nor was 2005 but I will be godarned if the GFS doesn't show both. Of course it's not to be taken verbatim but the irony of the twins gang bang is not to be ignored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Still watching the gfs roll out. Absolutely epic run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 4:37 AM, weathafella said: That 2nd system is a slow moving stemwinder. Oh that sounds GORGEOUS!! Stop talking dirty Jerry.. It's almost more than I can take!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Awful lot of high-fives. See ya Thursday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 4:39 AM, CoastalWx said: It's 4 days out with a marginal atmosphere.not locking in anything just commented on your posting history. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 4:42 AM, Ginxy said: not locking in anything just commented on your posting history. I don't share concerns if they aren't needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 ggem is a nice hit for sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Cmc on board with a blizzard Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 GGEM is 981 off Boston at 96 hours...it appears to be far west before that so many may go rain to heavy snow, cannot really tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 4:42 AM, CoastalWx said: Awful lot of high-fives. See ya Thursday night. is a model thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 For those of us that aren't mets and need sleep for our non-met jobs what is a summary of of the upcoming pattern? It sounds very good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 While there's still plenty of time for it to go wrong, this is 90 hours out, not 190. It's much more realistic than some of the other threats we've seen at this lead time. GGEM way NW of the 12z run, probably going to start as rain for a lot of folks before flipping to heavy snow but it's hard to tell from the blackandwhites. Edit: Nope, all snow and lots of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 4:08 AM, Bostonseminole said: bulls eye looks like taunton/brockton.. 14"+ lol.. Weenie maps concur, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 4:43 AM, CoastalWx said: I don't share concerns if they aren't needed.lol, heavy heavy caution flags needed for sure but gosh some nice dynamic cooling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 4:42 AM, CoastalWx said: Awful lot of high-fives. See ya Thursday night. Some of the same ones may have an umbrella or be looking at dim sun....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 4:45 AM, powderfreak said: Weenie maps concur, haha. gfs_6hr_snow_acc_boston_19.png The cut off on that is pretty insane lol. 18" bullseye right over bobs house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 4:43 AM, SnowGoose69 said: GGEM is 981 off Boston at 96 hours...it appears to be far west before that so many may go rain to heavy snow, cannot really tell. All snow. Not even close. More snow at BOS than the gfs run...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 I do also realize that the GFS has moved NW every single run, how far will it get? Caution for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Nope, all snow and lots of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 I don't think anybody is high giving..nor should they be at this point. I think it's just more of a case of blowing off a lil steam at the nice looking run or two of the modeling. Things can still go way wrong here.. I think everybody knows that though. We can enjoy the look for the time being. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Man day 7 on the GFS unloads too on New England. Gonna be some fun model watching coming up. Long way to go on that one, so anything's game but good stuff for you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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