weathafella Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 1:00 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Im just surprised to see some of our seasoned mets really jumping on board. Especially with progressive pattern Snap out of it before I take the keys for the bus and start driving! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 1:56 AM, mahk_webstah said: Well for those of you who don't want to get invested, neither GYX or BOS seemd particularly excited. I'm waiting til tomorrow. It would be premature for them to do anything more then mention that a storm of some sort could impact the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 18z GFS Ensm. Some nice hits in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Let's reel the non model disco in and move it to banter. This shouldn't be the deadzone thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Lets keep that PNA ridge lookin fine. Need that for our snows , throw in a well timed 50/50 and boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 2:07 AM, Baroclinic Zone said: 18z GFS Ensm. Some nice hits in there. ImageUploadedByTapatalk1421806009.165673.jpg There are some really nice hits in there for SNE...more solid hits than not. Some of those are too nice for the interior they'd be problems in EMass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 This looks like that late Jan 2011 storm that brought like 15" to Ginxy and ENE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 2:30 AM, powderfreak said: This looks like that late Jan 2011 storm that brought like 15" to Ginxy and ENE. image.jpg 1/26/11? Earlier I think someone said that storm was a top analogue for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 2:33 AM, NorEastermass128 said: 1/26/11? Earlier I think someone said that storm was a top analogue for Saturday. Yes, you are correct, somebody did say that...maybe Barocliniczone?? I'm not sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 I think SnowGoose pulled up the analog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 2:30 AM, powderfreak said: This looks like that late Jan 2011 storm that brought like 15" to Ginxy and ENE. image.jpg there was a SW in Quebec then too but colder HP insitu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 12/29/12 is the top analog for the 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 2:43 AM, JC-CT said: 12/29/12 is the top analog for the 12z GFS That would cause some meltdowns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 2:44 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That would cause some meltdownsWell SST should be colder, being a month later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Its the 0z Nam but it is pretty amped and west with saturdays storm at 84 hrs fwiw, DC/NJ is rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 2:49 AM, HoarfrostHubb said: Anything from that winter would cause that Crucial 00z runs upcoming. Crucial until the 12z 12-13 winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 2:49 AM, HoarfrostHubb said: Anything from that winter would cause that Crucial 00z runs upcoming. Crucial until the 12z LOL, you are thinking of the 11-12 winter. That is from the winter of 12-13...which was a good one :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 2:52 AM, Ginxy said: 12-13 winter? On 1/21/2015 at 2:52 AM, WinterWolf said: LOL, you are thinking of the 11-12 winter. That is from the winter of 12-13...which was a good one :-)Yup. Mixed up the years. Anyway, not too many of the ensemble members are a whiff,.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 21, 2015 Author Share Posted January 21, 2015 12/29/12 was a very good storm for central and eastern areas except a small zone that got screwed near BOS down to Scott. Even places like PYM for got like 5" after it flipped to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 2:51 AM, dryslot said: Its the 0z Nam but it is pretty amped and west with saturdays storm at 84 hrs fwiw, DC/NJ is rain Wow! That is really amped. Maybe PF reels this one in? lol That "kicker" has really trended so far north to be a non-factor here. Lack of blocking means this could become a rather amped solution - my amateur forecasting skills deduce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 2:57 AM, ORH_wxman said: 12/29/12 was a very good storm for central and eastern areas except a small zone that got screwed near BOS down to Scott. Even places like PYM for got like 5" after it flipped to snow. Is it the one that triggered Scooters meltdown before Jan got going? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 2:58 AM, HoarfrostHubb said: Is it the one that triggered Scooters meltdown before Jan got going?Jan 13 got going? With what, the torch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 2:58 AM, NorEastermass128 said: Wow! That is really amped. Maybe PF reels this one in? lol That "kicker" has really trended so far north to be a non-factor here. Lack of blocking means this could become a rather amped solution - my amateur forecasting skills deduce. That looks like it would qualify as a hugger being that close to the coast which would present coastal problems as discussed earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 2:51 AM, dryslot said: Its the 0z Nam but it is pretty amped and west with saturdays storm at 84 hrs fwiw, DC/NJ is rain Exactly where you want it, the NAM is always amped/north/west at 84 hours with any developed storm system, you definitely don't want the NAM over the BM at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 2:58 AM, NorEastermass128 said: Wow! That is really amped. Maybe PF reels this one in? lol That "kicker" has really trended so far north to be a non-factor here. Lack of blocking means this could become a rather amped solution - my amateur forecasting skills deduce. The NAM is always NW at the end of its run. Caution flag would be if it was SE, not NW. That's about all it's good for at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 3:01 AM, SnowGoose69 said: Exactly where you want it, the NAM is always amped/north/west at 84 hours with any developed storm system, you definitely don't want the NAM over the BM at this range.Damn, ninja'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 3:00 AM, JC-CT said: Jan 13 got going? With what, the torch? LMAO...now I think he is thinking of Jan 11...poor guy is all mixed up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 3:01 AM, SnowGoose69 said: Exactly where you want it, the NAM is always amped/north/west at 84 hours with any developed storm system, you definitely don't want the NAM over the BM at this range. That's why i mentioned it, That's a flag to me, Although in the last event it was not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 2:58 AM, NorEastermass128 said: Wow! That is really amped. Maybe PF reels this one in? lol That "kicker" has really trended so far north to be a non-factor here. Lack of blocking means this could become a rather amped solution - my amateur forecasting skills deduce. That H7 low looks like it would be nice for CNE/NNE haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 On 1/21/2015 at 3:01 AM, SnowGoose69 said: Exactly where you want it, the NAM is always amped/north/west at 84 hours with any developed storm system, you definitely don't want the NAM over the BM at this range. lol it was the least amped the entire time with this past storm. There were several ECM individual ensembles that look pretty close to that actually. Low probability, but some time left to go. That's why the EPS was so amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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