Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I should have stayed away while I had the chance. Ugh the humanity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 22, 2015 Share Posted January 22, 2015 I should have stayed away while I had the chance. Ugh the humanity Come on, Ralph ... you've been around long enough to know not to get interested in a storm unless: A) Tony buys gas for the snowblower B ) Wes says "he doesn't hate it", or ... C) Ray books a flight home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Come on, Ralph ... you've been around long enough to know not to get interested in a storm unless: A) Tony buys gas for the snowblower B ) Wes says "he doesn't hate it", or ... C) Ray books a flight home Brilliant....so true! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 C) Ray books a flight home ^^^THIS^^^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Yes, but as we saw, if 1-2 ends up 0.3... well, people are like, where is the snow? Totally agree with this you get hammered thank god we don't live in the lake effect belts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 NAM looks better? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 NAM looks better? a little bit i guess, but the end result is a lot of mixing/rain and kind of a mess of a storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 NAM looks better? I was just looking at it, I think we've been nam'd, lol. Brings in the precipitation earlier, around 10 pm Friday night, and ends it earlier, around 10 am Saturday, with the 850's and surface just cold enough, except for far SEPA and S.J.. A little wetter on the NW side too. I don't know if it will work, but it looks much better from here anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 a little bit i guess, but the end result is a lot of mixing/rain and kind of a mess of a storm It does look better for the burbs but icy for Philly for a time as the freezing line is along I-95. If it can get a little cooler it would be a very nice storm with that QPF output, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I was just looking at it, I think we've been nam'd, lol. Brings in the precipitation earlier, around 10 pm Friday night, and ends it earlier, around 10 am Saturday am, with the 850's and surface just cold enough, except for far SEPA and S.J.. A little wetter on the NW side too. I don't know if it will work, but it looks much better. i was thinking the one way we might do well out of this storm is a setup similar to the eagles game storm of last december where we get under the CCB for a few hours of heavy snow before the changeover. A longshot, to be sure, but I have a feeling that scenario plays out somewhere. I do find that we do somewhat better in these snow to rain situations than when we are waiting for rain to changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 the n/w burbs get a nice hit of front end snow on 0z nam, snow by 4z, lt rain by 15z, gone by 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 i was thinking the one way we might do well out of this storm is a setup similar to the eagles game storm of last december where we get under the CCB for a few hours of heavy snow before the changeover. A longshot, to be sure, but I have a feeling that scenario plays out somewhere. I do find that we do somewhat better in these snow to rain situations than when we are waiting for rain to changeover. I agree, and would love to see that happen. I also wouldn't mind if the temperature dropped a little more tonight - been stuck at 35F here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I agree, and would love to see that happen. I also wouldn't mind if the temperature dropped a little more tonight - been stuck at 35F here. yeah, obviously not to the extreme of the december 2013 storm, but that general idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 i was thinking the one way we might do well out of this storm is a setup similar to the eagles game storm of last december where we get under the CCB for a few hours of heavy snow before the changeover. A longshot, to be sure, but I have a feeling that scenario plays out somewhere. I do find that we do somewhat better in these snow to rain situations than when we are waiting for rain to changeover. I'm kinda on the flip side. When "they" say it will change to rain at (for example)10pm I start hearing pings at 7:30 - 8 then rain shortly after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 yeah, obviously not to the extreme of the december 2013 storm, but that general idea. The Dec 2013 event was a frontogenetical band produced as a result of interaction with the high pressure and dry/cold air...this event will need to get sort of upper level jet induced front end heavy snow, its entirely possible for it to happen. I am not impressed with the WAA push in the mid levels with this event since most locations remain west or near the 850 low, if moderate snow develops I think most of CNJ and the PHL metro can stay snow til as late as 13-14Z...if the snow gets in by 06-07Z there could be some good amounts...we'll need help from the jet dynamics though because we won't get it from WAA or interaction with a cold high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan88 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 RGEM has a 997mb low over Ocean City Maryland and 1+ inch liquid for most of the full region by 36 hours, looking at the black and white maps. Need to wait for the better maps to see how much precip falls before the changeover. Precip type map at 36 hours, changeover made it rather far inland as one would expect with the low position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Precip shield is ragged as well. Meh. Bring on the next threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan88 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 RGEM 26 hours light snow works in 28 hours moderate snow 30 hours heavy snow 32 hours, change over 34 hours, lots of ice just NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 that would be terrible ice storm on snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 GFS pretty warm, maybe a couple of inches of slop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 The more inland was expected...there's nothing preventing an even more inland / warmer track. So my money's on the continued more warmer / inland track...but still a big hit for interior areas. The pattern is too progressive and the shortwave doesn't go negative down in the gulf states, that's the reason this won't go much west of this, it doesn't amplify til it's well up the coast and by then it's zooming NE in progressive flow well, it's looking more juiced up and slightly closer to the coast than 36 hours ago. I see this almost all the time when nearing an event, and without a strong high anywhere to be found. It's a good / bad thing. The less progressive Saturday's storm..the colder / dryer that Monday's event will probably be. It's going to be quite a dynamic battle around CNJ with this rain / snow line early Saturday morning. So many factors in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 GFS pretty warm, maybe a couple of inches of slop. Looks like it's pushing warm air up here (i.e. 850's > 0) before the precip. even gets to PA - yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Quote from HM at 1:07am in the MA forum ....ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Quote from HM at 1:07am in the MA forum ....ouch. I think he was being sarcastic, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 lol... absolutely correct Kamu!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Lol...it's late but it sounds true the way things have been going. Need sleep.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Lol...it's late but it sounds true the way things have been going. Need sleep.... Lot's to keep up with these days besides normal stuff! And we haven't even really gotten to the shoveling part which hopefully we will soon :-). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 no doubt!! let's hope earlier arrival and cold holding longer trend continues tomorrow!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 no doubt!! let's hope earlier arrival and cold holding longer trend continues tomorrow!! Hear hear! (lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Mt Hollys latest call! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.