PB GFI Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 By 114 Long Island still under the deformation band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2015 Author Share Posted January 20, 2015 It's an inch + from 78 south and close to that for the city and LI without looking at high res maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robertgny Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Monster snowstorm incoming for early next week. Low is closed off already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2015 Author Share Posted January 20, 2015 The system behind it looks a lot different this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2015 Author Share Posted January 20, 2015 Yeah the Monday system is like a clipper on roids. It almost looks like it wants to cut off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Miller B Monday 996 off delmarva Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 So we get a SECS on Saturday with a potential bomb on Monday too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I hate to do an imby post but the euro is notoriously hard get info off of and ttn always gets ignored in this sub forum....What did the euro show for the TTN area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2015 Author Share Posted January 20, 2015 I hate to do an imby post but the euro is notoriously hard get info off of and ttn always gets ignored in this sub forum....What did the euro show for the TTN area? This was a great run for the TTN area. Far enough inland to stay cold and far enough south to get into the good rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 994 inside the benchmArk Monday night...better airmass also with that storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 So we get a SECS on Saturday with a potential bomb on Monday too... I don't know..pretty impressive.. the dates are so close..i'm skeptical.. most of this back to back don't work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2015 Author Share Posted January 20, 2015 994 inside the benchmArk Monday night...better airmass also with that storm Yeah but most of the activity just brushes the coast. We have awhile to work that one out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Weekend storm KNYC onto Long Island KNYC Hour 102 850`s 0 .02 falls BL 31 34 on Long Island Hour 108 850`s -1 KNYC in a line NE from ECNJ through the Nassau Suffolk line Long Island 0 BL 33 for both .4 falls By 114 850S - 3 another .2 falls KNYC 30 - Nassau Suffolk border is 33. KNYC is almost all snow on this run . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Not a monster per the 12z run but we do get some snow out it. That is our best shot so far this season at a snowstorm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Yeah but most of the activity just brushes the coast. We have awhile to work that one out. It crushes sne with a ccb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Weekend storm KNYC onto Long Island KNYC Hour 102 850`s 0 .02 falls BL 31 34 on Long Island Hour 108 850`s -1 KNYC in a line NE from ECNJ through the Nassau Suffolk line Long Island 0 BL 33 for both .4 falls By 114 850S - 3 another .2 falls KNYC 30 - Nassau Suffolk border is 33. KNYC is almost all snow on this run . How does KMMU look for QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Canadian model finally updated BTW. 12z run just brushes the coast with Saturday's storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 12z CMC is OTS just like the UKMET, GEFS, JMA, and NAVGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Tough to do a big accumulation after we changeover rain without the low closing off like Christmas 200 Dont worry you will get under the Tues deformation band , while others are dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 People need to relax with the "bomb" scenarios. The chance of that happening are very slim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Can anyone post a map of the 970 low east of Montauk on the euro? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metTURNEDpro Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 It looks like cold won't be a concern for that one so we just have to monitor the exact track.saturdays storm is more dynamic though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 People need to relax with the "bomb" scenarios. The chance of that happening are very slim.A bomb doesn't have to equal snow. I consider that a rapidly deepening low pressure system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Superstorm93, the GGEM is not a miss. It is a graze and a hair away from a Euro solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 A bomb doesn't have to equal snow. I consider that a rapidly deepening low pressure system. I agree but a lot of people interpret bomb to mean heavy snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Can anyone post a map of the 970 low east of Montauk on the euro? Thanks Gets to 969 off to the east at 114 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Hopefully the storm trends closer to the coast in future model runs for the interior sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I agree but a lot of people interpret bomb to mean heavy snowfall. True. In this scenario though if the storm bombs out and truly goes to 972 then many would see heavy snow.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 True. In this scenario though if the storm bombs out and truly goes to 972 then many would see heavy snow.... No dude. SnoSki says people need to chill with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Delete my post correcting Superstorm93's poor analysis of the GGEM? Seriously?? He said it is a miss. He is wrong. This is not a miss. Yeah. I mentioned that GGEM just brushes the coast. It's mostly a miss, but not a complete miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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