IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2015 Author Share Posted January 20, 2015 hr 96, inland over coastal NC, precip overspreading the area. Sharper and more amped up than 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Blue horseshoe loves Anacott steel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Euro is going to be a huge hit...snowing by 7am saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Euro/gfs/nam all seem to have the coastal solution....good to see the big boys are all on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Bomb incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 changeover at 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2015 Author Share Posted January 20, 2015 Big hit, looks like it will close off south of LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Precip is unimpressive for the size and strength of this low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Rain to Heavy Snow for Coastal locations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Def warmer verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2015 Author Share Posted January 20, 2015 980mb south of the benchmark, temps crashing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Big hit, looks like it will close off south of LI but warm for areas south and east of 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2015 Author Share Posted January 20, 2015 Massive hit, especially for the immediate coast. Most of LI is smoked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2015 Author Share Posted January 20, 2015 but warm for areas south and east of 78 No, temps crash once the low starts bombing out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 102 hr 850 freezing line north of NYC. we're just not going to get into the heavy precip without mixing issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 102 hr 850 freezing line north of NYC. S bet 105 and 108 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 we're just not going to get into the heavy precip without mixing issues All the big mama jama storms usually have a little mix at some point. I'm sure you know.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Heaviest precip remains just offshore, but the boundary layer is noticeably warmer this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2015 Author Share Posted January 20, 2015 Maybe you lose the first six hours on the beach to rain or a mix, just inland it's an absolute blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 972 east of Montauk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2015 Author Share Posted January 20, 2015 Heaviest precip remains just offshore, but the boundary layer is noticeably warmer this run. And once the dynamics took over everything cooled. Bombing lows change everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2015 Author Share Posted January 20, 2015 Any details on the euro. I see reports of good, bad, no precip, warm, crushing blow It's a huge hit for your area. Eyeballing ~0.75" all frozen for your backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Any details on the euro. I see reports of good, bad, no precip, warm, crushing blow your area would have less precip but all snow, coastal areas are rain tio begin with than switch over to snow with highest oprecip amounts in coastal regions but they are also warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 114 moving away rapidly without much falling after 108 west FRG due to progressive nature of pattern. You are prob snowing hard for 6 to 9 hours .The heaviest Precip will swing through between 105 - 114 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 It's a huge hit for your area. Eyeballing ~0.75" all frozen for your backyard. Give us an idea of how much north to C. NJ Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metTURNEDpro Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Stop , the coast sees some rain , they flip as it deepens . I dont doubt that I see the model right now, I just don't think that happens in real life. I think we get some drizzle by the coastal area maybe a few light sleet pellets but I do not think we get any rain here Paul. Like I said maybe in MontaukSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 But the storm is moving too fast to really sit and dump.If it closes off, the screaming flow is muted. Reference Feb. 2013 United States Coast Guard Rescue Swimmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Any word on the storm early next week on the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 The contradicting analysis in here is laughable. With that being said it is to soon to get into the particulars, it looks like the potential is high for a major storm along the coast and that is all I need to know for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 This place is too funny. Posters willing model output to conform to their preconceived ideas of what will happen. Fact is, this run was beautiful from start to finish. Damn near perfect track. Euro overwarms at the midlevels like it always does. You end up with a 972mb low east of MTK. This run, verbatim, is at least a 4-8" snowstorm, and likely more for most. Stop humping se ridges and trying to guess temps over 100 hours out. People who should know better look silly doing so. Take a breath. Great run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.