yoda Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 GEFS mean has a 1002 SLP SE of OBX by ~50 to 100 miles at 102... heads NE after that out to sea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 GGEM seems delayed from my end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 GEFS looks really good. Not one track too far west. Couple whiffs to the SE and a bunch of nice hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 GGEM not updating for me, anyone else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 GGEM not updating for me, anyone else? Its not updating on the mothership either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 0z Euro control was 962mb 70 miles east of ACY ..................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 GGEM finally updating very slowly at the same time the EURO is running Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I've got so used to bad news, the only thing I read was too far west...Lol Ha! Like Ian said, it's our biggest problem (other than getting whiffed SE of course). Even with a near perfect track we are still dealing with temp issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Do I see phasing already at hr 48? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Ha! Like Ian said, it's our biggest problem (other than getting whiffed SE of course). Even with a near perfect track we are still dealing with temp issues. At least it is not the dreaded north trend that seemed so prominent a few years back...at least not yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Looks like a closed h5 at 72 in W TX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 EURO looks as amped as the 00z run did... SLP in W panhandle of FL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 warm.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 gonna be warmish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 1000 MB low near OBX at 96hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 This is going to be a tough one to thread the needle....even if we succeed will be mixy for a lot of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 sweet cold rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Lock a good track in first, worry about temperature and precip types later... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Looks quicker than the Gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 sweet cold rain Aren't we nearing our coldest climo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Lock a good track in first, worry about temperature and precip types later... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Aren't we nearing our coldest climo? one doesn't usually do too well predicting p-type based on climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 There is a pretty solid flip to snow at the end..not sure how much it would be...probably 1-2" DC, 2-4" west...sfc maybe an issue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Aren't we nearing our coldest climo? We are presently leaving it behind. But snow lags. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 USA_TMP_850mb_096.gif That's brutal to look at. I wonder if the storm will create its own cold air or if its just the EURO's warm bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 The low in Canada is a fair bit stronger this run. I'm sure that has something to do with losing the midlevels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I like where we are right now with regards to track. I know temps and precip type will be an issue, but I'm glad we have to worry about that instead of a fish storm. Looking forward to the next few days of tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 We are presently leaving it behind. But snow lags. 11:39 left for our daily low average max Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Even the GGEM with its 0.10" graze probably teeters the line between snow and mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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