yoda Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 you're not nutty....this sh-it gets annoying...not pointing fingers at Yoda....all the people who have been on the sidelines for 2 months should be on the way this week for handouts... Well at least this time I am trying to add some stuff to the convo... although its not up to what you and Bob post with your expertise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Its what the map I see shows at 96 and 120... marginal 850s, but they are between -1 and -2 I have 3 hour maps, Yoda...this is tiresome though...We'll have plenty of time to dissect this stuff, assuming these threats materialize....all I know is this....If you (not you, Yoda..the general you) have been absent during the last 6 weeks and you suddenly show up out of nowhere for handouts, go bug someone else...I will be ignoring everyone who hasn't been a regular participant the last 6 weeks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 you're not nutty....this sh-it gets annoying...not pointing fingers at Yoda....all the people who have been on the sidelines for 2 months should be on the way this week for handouts... Lol so true. Looks like some more fun behind this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Well at least this time I am trying to add some stuff to the convo... although its not up to what you and Bob post with your expertise. Keep posting dude...it's all good....and I am not an expert...I'm just a weenie with a euro subscription... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I have 3 hour maps, Yoda...this is tiresome though...We'll have plenty of time to dissect this stuff, assuming these threats materialize....all I know is this....If you (not you, Yoda..the general you) have been absent during the last 6 weeks and you suddenly show up out of nowhere for handouts, go bug someone else...I will be ignoring everyone who hasn't been a regular participant the last 6 weeks... Do I qualify? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I have 3 hour maps, Yoda...this is tiresome though...We'll have plenty of time to dissect this stuff, assuming these threats materialize....all I know is this....If you (not you, Yoda..the general you) have been absent during the last 6 weeks and you suddenly show up out of nowhere for handouts, go bug someone else...I will be ignoring everyone who hasn't been a regular participant the last 6 weeks... I tend to overanalyze alot, so thats why I was parsing the EURO. Its also a way for me to keep track of how the 850s are since we have a very marginal airmass for snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Do I qualify? hell yeah....by the way...this run is awesome...another big coastal on Tuesday...hopefully one or more of these threats materializes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Keep posting dude...it's all good....and I am not an expert...I'm just a weenie with a euro subscription... Amen. Conventional thinking says heart of climo and potent southern stream miller a will figure out a way to snow at our latitude even though there are obvious flaws if we can get into the deform side. What a weird day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 20, 2015 Author Share Posted January 20, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I tend to overanalyze alot, so thats why I was parsing the EURO. Its also a way for me to keep track of how the 850s are since we have a very marginal airmass for snow it's all good dude... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 hell yeah....by the way...this run is awesome...another big coastal on Tuesday...hopefully one or more of these threats materializes It would seem the ridge out west is in nearly perfect position... wasn't it Wes who said for us to get big snows, we want the ridge out west to be by Utah/Nevada? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Euro says I have 12" by the middle of next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 hell yeah....by the way...this run is awesome...another big coastal on Tuesday...hopefully one or more of these threats materializes I just threw down the winter save gauntlet an couple hours ago and looks what happens!! Following along the same thinking, I am not going to say that again to avoid invoking a curse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 20, 2015 Author Share Posted January 20, 2015 thats is NOT the Key the KEY is the clipper Low... that Moves to se canada and becomes the 50/50 Low for JAN 23-24 Then the JAN 23 24 event moves s into se canada and that becomes the new 50 / 509 Low so that sets up JAN 27 -28 It would seem the ridge out west is in nearly perfect position... wasn't it Wes who said for us to get big snows, we want the ridge out west to be by Utah/Nevada? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUtrack Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 DT...didn't you make SEVERAL posts saying winter cancel. And that we will see no big storms in the upcoming weeks? Now your saying you CALLED IT on your main page? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 This could go down as the "NavGEM" storm if it happens, that model has been insistent on a big storm near the coast for days and has hardly wavered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Euro ensemble mean is pretty nice... 996 SLP directly east of the VA/NC border by 100 miles or so... looks like some good SLP placements as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Wow that was nuts. I should fall asleep more often at 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 6z nam has the amped closed off maybe too inland look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 06z GFS has snow at DCA hr 99...at least the GFS has finally come aboard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 now I am worried about a west trend...can't believe it since I wrote this off two days ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 now I am worried about a west trend...can't believe it since I wrote this off two days ago Probably don't have to, that energy in Canada is going to boot it and its not likely close enough to phase it and pull it back....if that had dug more than there is a chance this could have pulled inland but I doubt that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 06z GFS has snow at DCA hr 99...at least the GFS has finally come aboard Ill give para some credit. The old gfs would of taken 2 more days to catch on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Looks like I picked the wrong night to pass out at 12:45 a Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 the para is rain btw yoda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 yes. It seems to be rain on GFS even with this being our coldest time of year. no reason to fret temps I suppose right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 For the record, there is always a reason to fret temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Lets get this thing locked in first and then worry about ptype Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Nice. Hopefully we still have something in a few days. The west track is a concern. But to see anything rolling up estrn seaboard is awesome. NAVGEM score? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I would personally like to thank DT for providing us with this storm. Our DT which art in Chester, Weatherman be thy name. Thy stormeth come, Thy will be done in DC, as it is in Chester. And forgive us our bust, as we forgive our forecasters. Amen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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