Ian Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 yea, its been trending towards the globals (which are a torch) last few runs. I sniff out a bust for the high res. Touch call for my area. The high res models, RGEM, NAM, ARW, NMM all painted a snowy picture up here, while the globals all say cold rain well into PA. I think somewhere in between ends up correct, but that just means I see hours of mangled flakes mixed in with the rain and perhaps a few bursts of snow when the precip gets heavy enough with little accumulation. Not sure if NWS is just being really cautious and would rather bust high then low or if they really think this is going to come in a few degrees colder then guidance tonight. NAM mostly sucks at this stuff.. why I refuse to even talk about it with a winter storm outside 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Most of the people who leave here can't handle debate and want to be treated as gods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 not hugely different at 3z but warm nose above and warmer at the sfc than 12z. yeah...I didn't really look at 12z...there is a distinct warm nose if the model is correct...then we're plain rain not too long after..I'm wishcasting at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 yeah...I didn't really look at 12z...there is a distinct warm nose if the model is correct...then we're plain rain not too long after..I'm wishcasting at this point NAM_218_2015012318_F09_39.0000N_77.0000W.png I'm rooting for a full on bust. Misery loves company. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Snow's getting closer. Warrenton checking in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 This would be a great radar if it wasn't 39. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Its snowing and 37 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Snow has begun in Winchester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 THERE IS A CHANCE! 37 at my house! IT CAN SNOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 rain/sleet - few flakes at times.. wet for the most part! 37/27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Light snow flakes floating down in Funchester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 rain/sleet - few flakes at times.. wet for the most part! 37/27 that's no good for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 36.8F / 27F in Clarksburg. Grey skies abound. Radar returns inbound. Hopes for snow-on-snow outbound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 first flakes beginning to fall here....41 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 36.8F / 27F in Clarksburg. Grey skies abound. Radar returns inbound. Hopes for snow-on-snow outbound. then dont look at the NAM, or HRRRR, or GFS, or any model. just wish. and hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 100% rain here now, but still 35/31???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 do obs for this go here or in the obs thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Wet flurries in Fairfax City! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 rain 41F. awesome. my rain has mixed with a few mangled sneet balls, which practically boil when they hit the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 then dont look at the NAM, or HRRRR, or GFS, or any model. just wish. and hope. Ha. One of my favorite phrases to toss around at work is "hope is not a viable implementation or mitigation strategy".... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 do obs for this go here or in the obs thread? With this one I do not think it really matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 do obs for this go here or in the obs thread? Dunno. What's your barometer reading? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staged Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Flurries in Leesburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Flurries in Leesburg wide right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Dunno. What's your barometer reading? had one b4 but Teeny Johnson swooped in one late night and left bat stank on it. he's teh authority on baro measures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Light snow in Fair Oaks FFax. 38/28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 White parachutes falling, 40.1, down from a high of 45.3 about 2 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Flurries and rain at home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 White parachutes falling, 40.1, down from a high of 45.3 about 2 hours ago. does parachute imply that they are large? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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