WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 oh my. shenandoah co schools just announced 1 pm dismissal. smh. oh my. shenandoah co schools just announced 1 pm dismissal. smh. Page announcecd 130PM closing So damn dumb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 My early call on this.........this will be more snow than we think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 1143 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015 VAZ028-WVZ050-055-240045- /O.UPG.KLWX.WW.Y.0006.150123T2100Z-150124T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.W.0002.150123T2100Z-150124T1700Z/ FREDERICK VA-HAMPSHIRE-HARDY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINCHESTER...MOOREFIELD 1143 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO NOON EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO NOON EST SATURDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET. A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO EXPECTED. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON...CHANGING TO SNOW LATE TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOW 30S. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 5 MPH OR LESS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BY SATURDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...HEAVY WET SNOW IS EXPECTED...RESULTING IN SNOW-COVERED ROADS AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO SHOVEL AND PLOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Randy gets a warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC1143 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015MDZ003-WVZ051-052-240045-/O.UPG.KLWX.WW.Y.0006.150123T2300Z-150124T1700Z//O.NEW.KLWX.WS.W.0002.150123T2300Z-150124T1700Z/WASHINGTON-MORGAN-BERKELEY-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAGERSTOWN...MARTINSBURG1143 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOONEST SATURDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HASISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICHIS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST SATURDAY. THEWINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET. A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO EXPECTED.* TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN THIS EVENING...CHANGING TO SNOW LATE TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.* TEMPERATURES...LOWER 30S WHEN PRECIPITATIONS STARTS...DECREASING TO THE UPPER 20S LATE TONIGHT.* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 5 MPH OR LESS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BY SATURDAY MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 My early call on this.........this will be more snow than we think. whoa... almost to the minute URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC1143 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015VAZ028-WVZ050-055-240045-/O.UPG.KLWX.WW.Y.0006.150123T2100Z-150124T1500Z//O.NEW.KLWX.WS.W.0002.150123T2100Z-150124T1700Z/FREDERICK VA-HAMPSHIRE-HARDY-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINCHESTER...MOOREFIELD1143 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TONOON EST SATURDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HASISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICHIS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO NOON EST SATURDAY. THEWINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET. A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO EXPECTED.* TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON...CHANGING TO SNOW LATE TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOW 30S.* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 5 MPH OR LESS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BY SATURDAY MORNING.* IMPACTS...HEAVY WET SNOW IS EXPECTED...RESULTING IN SNOW-COVERED ROADS AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. SNOW WILL BE DIFFICULT TO SHOVEL AND PLOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 1143 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015 MDZ501-502-WVZ501>504-240045- /O.UPG.KLWX.WW.Y.0006.150123T2100Z-150124T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.W.0002.150123T2100Z-150124T1700Z/ EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY- WESTERN GRANT-EASTERN GRANT-WESTERN MINERAL-EASTERN MINERAL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FROSTBURG...CUMBERLAND...BAYARD... MOUNT STORM...PETERSBURG...ELK GARDEN...KEYSER...FORT ASHBY 1143 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO NOON EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO NOON EST SATURDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET. A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATION IS ALSO EXPECTED. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON...CHANGING TO SNOW LATE TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...LOWER 30S WHEN PRECIPITATIONS STARTS...DECREASING TO THE UPPER 20S LATE TONIGHT. * WINDS...SOUTHEAST 5 MPH OR LESS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH BY SATURDAY MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 whoa... almost to the minute LWX's AFD from 1030 or so already mentioned the upgrade to WSW was coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I hope I get 85% cold rain instead of 95% cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I hope I get 85% cold rain instead of 95% cold rain. I want a 0.25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 LWX's AFD from 1030 or so already mentioned the upgrade to WSW was coming Really Yoda? I don't get automatic updates on LWX discos. I was just stating what I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I want a 0.25" Maybe? ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION RANGING FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES IN THE FAR NORTHWESTERN SUBURBS TO 1 TO 2 INCHES IN THE BALTIMORE AND WASHINGTON METRO AREAS. ICE ACCUMULATION OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Maybe? ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION RANGING FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES IN THE FAR NORTHWESTERN SUBURBS TO 1 TO 2 INCHES IN THE BALTIMORE AND WASHINGTON METRO AREAS. ICE ACCUMULATION OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. Is this from the AFD? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Anne Arundel county canceled all Friday and Saturday events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Is this from the AFD? No, updated WWA URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC1143 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015DCZ001-MDZ004>006-011-013-014-503>508-VAZ052>054-505-506-240045-/O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0006.150123T2300Z-150124T1700Z/DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-NORTHWEST MONTGOMERY-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY-NORTHWEST HOWARD-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST HOWARD-NORTHWEST HARFORD-SOUTHEAST HARFORD-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-WESTERN LOUDOUN-EASTERN LOUDOUN-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...FREDERICK...WESTMINSTER...PARKTON...REISTERSTOWN...COCKEYSVILLE...BALTIMORE...DUNDALK...CATONSVILLE...ANNAPOLIS...GERMANTOWN...DAMASCUS...ROCKVILLE...LISBON...COLUMBIA...ELLICOTT CITY...JARRETTSVILLE...ABERDEEN...MANASSAS...MANASSAS PARK...FAIRFAX...ALEXANDRIA...FALLS CHURCH...PURCELLVILLE...LEESBURG...ASHBURN1143 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THISEVENING TO NOON EST SATURDAY...* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION RANGING FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES IN THE FAR NORTHWESTERN SUBURBS TO 1 TO 2 INCHES IN THE BALTIMORE AND WASHINGTON METRO AREAS. ICE ACCUMULATION OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA.* TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS SNOW OR RAIN THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER NIGHT NORTHWEST OF I-95...WITH MOSTLY RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN SOUTHEAST OF I-95. PRECIPITATION WILL END AS MOSTLY SNOW SATURDAY MORNING.* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOW 30S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 No, updated WWA URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC1143 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015DCZ001-MDZ004>006-011-013-014-503>508-VAZ052>054-505-506-240045-/O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0006.150123T2300Z-150124T1700Z/DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-NORTHWEST MONTGOMERY-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY-NORTHWEST HOWARD-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST HOWARD-NORTHWEST HARFORD-SOUTHEAST HARFORD-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-WESTERN LOUDOUN-EASTERN LOUDOUN-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...FREDERICK...WESTMINSTER...PARKTON...REISTERSTOWN...COCKEYSVILLE...BALTIMORE...DUNDALK...CATONSVILLE...ANNAPOLIS...GERMANTOWN...DAMASCUS...ROCKVILLE...LISBON...COLUMBIA...ELLICOTT CITY...JARRETTSVILLE...ABERDEEN...MANASSAS...MANASSAS PARK...FAIRFAX...ALEXANDRIA...FALLS CHURCH...PURCELLVILLE...LEESBURG...ASHBURN1143 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THISEVENING TO NOON EST SATURDAY...* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION RANGING FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES IN THE FAR NORTHWESTERN SUBURBS TO 1 TO 2 INCHES IN THE BALTIMORE AND WASHINGTON METRO AREAS. ICE ACCUMULATION OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA.* TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS SNOW OR RAIN THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER NIGHT NORTHWEST OF I-95...WITH MOSTLY RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN SOUTHEAST OF I-95. PRECIPITATION WILL END AS MOSTLY SNOW SATURDAY MORNING.* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOW 30S. Thanks, interesting change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Seems bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Seems bullish. It does right? 1-2 in the metros (especially DC) seems like a bit of a stretch but it's in the realm of possibility so I guess safe than sorry is smart either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattskiva Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC1143 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015MDZ501-502-WVZ501>504-240045-/O.UPG.KLWX.WW.Y.0006.150123T2100Z-150124T1500Z//O.NEW.KLWX.WS.W.0002.150123T2100Z-150124T1700Z/EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-WESTERN GRANT-EASTERN GRANT-WESTERN MINERAL-EASTERN MINERAL-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FROSTBURG...CUMBERLAND...BAYARD...MOUNT STORM...PETERSBURG...ELK GARDEN...KEYSER...FORT ASHBY1143 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2015...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TONOON EST SATURDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HASISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICHIS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO NOON EST SATURDAY. THEWINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET. A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATION IS ALSO EXPECTED.* TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON...CHANGING TO SNOW LATE TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.* TEMPERATURES...LOWER 30S WHEN PRECIPITATIONS STARTS...DECREASING TO THE UPPER 20S LATE TONIGHT.* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 5 MPH OR LESS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH BY SATURDAY MORNING. PIT hasn't upgraded, still showing WWA and 2-4" for Tucker/Garrett. Presumably they are underestimating that a tad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 PIT hasn't upgraded, still showing WWA and 2-4" for Tucker/Garrett. Presumably they are underestimating that a tad. They are farther downstream than us to issue any upgrades so soon, imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 It does right? 1-2 in the metros (especially DC) seems like a bit of a stretch but it's in the realm of possibility so I guess safe than sorry is smart either way. Yeah I don't really get it but maybe I'm missing something other than giving the NAM more credit than it's due. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Yeah I don't really get it but maybe I'm missing something other than giving the NAM more credit than it's due. They would probably go with 0-2 if they could Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 HRRR and RAP (yeah..) are torches. Not much snow south of PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 HRRR and RAP (yeah..) are torches. Not much snow south of PA. I'm not very excited about it. I could see us busting with any forecast we put out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Hardy County closing at 2 PM... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Yeah I don't really get it but maybe I'm missing something other than giving the NAM more credit than it's due. I think they're being overly cautious...but I think they might not trust the new GFS and think it runs too warm...this is a pretty ugly sounding, but it is close enough to the margin of error, that with heavy precip could be snow...and I think NAM/EURO are colder than this..but I agree with you...Could end up being NADA for us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 It is pretty close. I guess hedging doesn't hurt. The map itself isn't the worst .. just seems bullish around the cities at least. Max is a hair over 2" and the forecast is 1-2" in northern DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Sterling doing their usual reverse psychology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 36/23 with sun getting obscured by clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 40/29 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Sterling doing their usual reverse psychology. whoa... very bullish. If that verifies it would be my biggest event of the year so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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