84 Hour NAM Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Whats start time looking like? 11pm? Midnight'ish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Whats start time looking like? 11pm? Midnight'ish? probably earlier... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 probably earlier... Perfect. Bar-time snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Rates collapsed and the sky brightened for a few minutes and everything that was nicely covered white nearly completely melted. 35F and white rain. oops. wrong thread. Mods, please move to Clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 I don't buy that random zigzag of the 850 line.... we should be snowing to beat the band then... esp since its at night Looks like a SE wind at 850 brings in a nose of warm air all the way back to the I-81 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Hr 72 GFS ensembles -- looks good, there are two rainers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 78 f78.gif Thanks yoda, was looking at them a little while ago, and they certainly do look good at least regarding the 850's. Sfc temps have been good enough for us on those frames, so all things considered they look great provided ones expectations are in check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 12Z ECMWF has the SLP low over the Panhandle 66hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 12Z ECMWF has the SLP low over the Panhandle 66hrs. Where are you getting 66 already? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 At 90hrs, SLP low just off the Delmarva. 850 temps are fine, but close Mix of snow and rain Surface temps 32-33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 12Z ECMWF has the SLP low over the Panhandle 66hrs. Wait, what??? How do you have it that quick? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Where are you getting 66 already? EuroWX? Unless I am doing it wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Ahh, screw it, looks like I am doing it wrong. Disregard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 EuroWX? Unless I am doing it wrong. I only see it out to 24 on IWM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 EuroWX? Unless I am doing it wrong. You sure that's not from 12z yesterday? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 You sure that's not from 12z yesterday? lol If its not, its really a lot slower than other models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Don't see much difference through 24 so far on EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 12Z ECMWF has the SLP low over the Panhandle 66hrs. Its not out that far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 SLP development south of LA in the GOM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Hr 57 SLP by Mobile, AL... moisture reaches DCA by around hr 60 Dang it, looks west a lil bit Hr 63 SLP is in S GA Hr 72 SLP near OBX or a tad west of there looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 At 72hrs, SLP is very close to the OBX. Looks a little west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 It's warm and west again. Will be a touch forecast...I've seen it jog east many times in the past in the final 24-36 hours... looks like snow/mix to mix or rain/mix, back to snow for many...Far NW may be all snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 At 72hrs, SLP is very close to the OBX. Looks a little west. Let yoda handle it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 over 1" QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 In terms of surface temps for Friday, any snow cover we accrue today could make a big difference, right? Particularly when we're talking the most marginal of marginal situations? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 In terms of surface temps for Friday, any snow cover we accrue today could make a big difference, right? Particularly when we're talking the most marginal of marginal situations? I believe so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 I'll take the Euro. Front end thump looks decent, and the good QPF is here. If we can get a little trickle east, the cities could be good for a low warning criteria event or just below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 In terms of surface temps for Friday, any snow cover we accrue today could make a big difference, right? Particularly when we're talking the most marginal of marginal situations? Although surface is marginal, the issue is up off the surface at the 850 MB (an others I am sure) levels.. the warmth will cause a mix or rain.. the surface can be in the 30s and snow (like today) but that warm air inflow will get above us and cause a mix or changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 GLL is further southeast @72 than it was yesterday @96, I think that's causing problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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