WEATHER53 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Who is talking about 1987 because I think that's right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 You're bummed, how do you think I feel. Tomorrow when I have white rain and you have 4" you might feel a little better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 90 and 96 GEFS ensemble members: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 00z EURO at 72, I have a 1009mb SLP in S GA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 850s look colder than the GFS at 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 we probably get a couple inches of snow before it flips to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 we probably get a couple inches of snow before it flips to rain Not trying to doubt you... but if 72 is in S GA and 96 is up by 40/70, wouldnt we mainly have frozen precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 we probably get a couple inches of snow before it flips to rain How does it look west of I-95? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 1009 mb at 72hrs to 974mb over the benchmark at 96hrs. Now thats a bomb! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 It's really not a bad run...snow to rain/mix/snow to snow....better than 12z...very borderline for a lot of us....too close to call right now...looks like around 0.75" QPF for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 It's really not a bad run...snow to rain/mix/snow to snow....better than 12z...very borderline for a lot of us....too close to call right now...looks like around 0.75" QPF for DC Perhaps with the low deepning as it goes by we can hang onto snow instead of the dreaded mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Not trying to doubt you... but if 72 is in S GA and 96 is up by 40/70, wouldnt we mainly have frozen precip? I'm not going to get in an academic discussion with you every night at 1:30 am....I have 3 hour panels....Using crude 24 hour graphics is kind of pointless.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 00z EURO at 72, I have a 1009mb SLP in S GA Further south and east. Little 1020 high trying to nose in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 How does it look west of I-95? you're at or below 0 at 850mb the entire run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 If you're west of a line from IAD to Owings Mills, you're below 0 at 850mb and the surface the whole storm....don't what the other levels are like....you do get less precip....but we all know you end up getting more.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 discussing the Sunday night/Monday threat in the med range thread..euro is a nice hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 21, 2015 Author Share Posted January 21, 2015 i thinking all that rain talk in dc is premature Wonder what DT is thinking now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted January 21, 2015 Author Share Posted January 21, 2015 0Z EURO IS colder OVER DCA BWI niot much clearly colder at low levels and at 850 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 06z NAM at 54 has 1011mb SLP just south of Mobile Bay Alabama Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Think the NAM is coming in a bit better thus far with the h5 axis a bit east of 0z which was an inland track for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 60 hrs -- 1010mb SLP right by TAL 66 hrs -- 1010mb SLP in southern GA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 NAM out to 72 looks generally slower, thats all. everything looks pretty similar on evolution and western reach of precip. A bit cooler at 850 but we shall see, cold surface temperatures once again at 72 as precip is moving into CMD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 72 -- 1005mb in E NC between ILM and OBX 75 -- 1000mb SLP near OBX 78 -- 997mb SLP just off the Delmarva peninsula 81 -- 993mb SLP east of Ocean City by about 100 miles 84 -- 988mb SLP east of ACY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Hour 78 is a solid hit it would look like on IWM, will check wxbell momentarily. 850's back below 0, >.5 for all of CMD/DC, sfc temps around 30-31. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Good dynamics with solid h7 UVV's at 75/78 for CMD/DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Hour 78 is a solid hit it would look like on IWM, will check wxbell momentarily. 850's back below 0, >.5 for all of CMD/DC, sfc temps around 30-31. Its snow, just checked soundings for DCA... hr 78 850s are -4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Its snow, just checked soundings for DCA... hr 78 850s are -4 Its the NAM, and its decent overall for its "biases." All things considered, good things to take to bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 I count around 25 EPS members that show/suggest DC snow totals of 6" or more when the storm is over per the snow accun maps on Weatherbell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshfsu123 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 I don't post much but definitely read all the comments, multiple times a day... appreciate all the updates and knowledge that is shared on the board. Especially at 4am ET when I can't sleep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Just took a peak at the 00z GGEM ensembles, and there are quite a few members that are just ridiculous... but we shall see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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