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Potential Clipper System 1/21


TauntonBlizzard2013

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  On 1/19/2015 at 4:10 PM, leesun said:

I give more credence to the nam than the gfs right now. That's pretty bad.

 

  On 1/19/2015 at 4:12 PM, ineedsnow said:

Gfs has nothing for here!! Why do we even run this model the changes are huge all the time

 

 

For what it's worth, here are the last 5 runs of the GFS.

 

 

output_Ewninm_zpssrcwn97n.gif

 

output_iiz43d_zpsijtyt7ek.gif

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The Euro will be the key today if there is any life to be had for SNE with regard to this clipper.  If the Euro is favorable/improving for the region, then it has a chance.  If the Euro is showing it becoming less favorable, this is a cooked goose.  Big Euro run upcoming the next hour.  Right now, the NAM, GFS, are a joke...Swinging like an Ape from run to run...total garbage!!

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  On 1/19/2015 at 5:56 PM, weathafella said:

I promised myself I wouldn't do this...

Euro 33 hours vs 0z 45 looks like the trof axis is ever so slightly further west.

 

You're only hurting yourself, but, that having been said, please do continue. I like to watch, and I need the play by play anyhow.

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  On 1/19/2015 at 5:43 PM, JC-CT said:

Ukie has between 0.1-0.4 mm of 12-hr accumulated precipitation from the NY border to about I-91

 

 

 

That's 500 miles?

 

It was an example, Last week it had the cutter as a coastal then the next run it had it over CHI, It is more to outline that it is inconsistent and should not be used, When was the last time it scored a hit for a storm here?

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  On 1/19/2015 at 6:02 PM, dryslot said:

It was an example, Last week it had the cutter as a coastal then the next run it had it over CHI, It is more to outline that it is inconsistent and should not be used, When was the last time it scored a hit for a storm here?

 

I didn't say it should be used as the go-to model outside of 120 hours...I just said that it doesn't have those types of major swings within 72 hours any more than the other major globals do, i.e. rarely.

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