clueless Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Does the GFS have real support or is it on an island? I thought the last euro run was kind of supportive of a minor event? At any rate, any padding is a win. I don't think so. Everything has been north and temps have been modeled pretty iffy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Does the GFS have real support or is it on an island? I thought the last euro run was kind of supportive of a minor event? At any rate, any padding is a win. it will probably jump around for the next 24-36 hours...minor is the best bet.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 it will probably jump around for the next 24-36 hours...minor is the best bet.... Blend of GFS/Euro prob can't hurt.. not great but not a non event. Though the NAM arguably did among the best last clipper in that case a non event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Euro is ~0.3" all snow for DCA...less as you go west.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Euro is ~0.3" all snow for DCA...less as you go west.... Nice hit from the EURO tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Euro Below freezing at 1pm with an inch on the ground is a big event this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Below freezing at 1pm with an inch on the ground is a big event this winter. 2-4" all of DC/Balt metro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 See if this 1020ish high can run along with the clipper. The high is a bit behind but an impressive and narrow swath is going somewhere near us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 2-4" all of DC/Balt metro... Almost 5 in Aberdeen. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Temps never crack 32 from nova north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Temps never crack 32 from nova north GFS/Euro actually pretty much in agreement on this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 GFS/Euro actually pretty much in agreement on this one... Small real estate storms are tough on the nerves. 50-75 miles is make or break. Temps have been my biggest concern. Seems we get a break with 0z suite. Not a bad thing that we get the break inside of 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Early take on the clipper from NWS. Mount Holly mentions enhancement with inverted trough feature and possible convective contribution. Should be interesting as there has been a shift south, colder, and somewhat wetter in the guidance last couple runs, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 we don't care about Mount Snobby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 we don't care about Mount Snobby lol. They are excellent IMO. Also interesting to see the differences between the 2 offices in events like this. Sterling is being too conservative, as usual. In all seriousness, this is a relatively tricky setup for a variety of reasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 6z gfs continues the south trend... If this goes on, dca is going to get fringed the other way! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 6z runs are interesting. NAM and GFS look pretty similar at 500mb, only the NAM is ever-so-slightly weaker+north with the vort, allowing for much less precip from the DC area southward and actually has the precip max over PA. NAM/SREF north, GFS/Euro Op+Ens south. I'm leaning more GFS/Euro for sure, though not buying into it 100% at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Man, last night was a great weenie sneak surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Whoa at last night's Euro. 6z GFS looks much improved over the last run I looked at yesterday. Good low/vort pass for DC and particularly for folks just north of DC to the MD/PA line. 6z NAM continues to be north and weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 This will be another flop for my area I can assure you. Not even gonna bother following. Same cutoff as 1/6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 New run of the srefs like us again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 6z rgem has snow moving in around 3am and lasting for 12 hours. Surface never goes above freezing in the md burbs. Briefly above in nova..10 for dca but .15 kisses the nw corner. Tiny .3 jackpot around mt airy. Most of central md has .15-.25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I'm so in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 6z rgem has snow moving in around 3am and lasting for 12 hours. Surface never goes above freezing in the md burbs. Briefly above in nova..10 for dca but .15 kisses the nw corner. Tiny .3 jackpot around mt airy. Most of central md has .15-.25 wow 12 hours of snow and .10 to .15. You will be able to count the flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 wow 12 hours of snow and .10 to .15. You will be able to count the flakes You're the one with the duration fetish. My post was supposed to make you happy. Tuff crowd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Nam looks like a big hit for Philly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I will be in DC for this event (at least the tail end). I would like it to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Nam looks like a big hit for Philly... Decoy model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 "The clipper passes by early Wednesday ushering some cooler air aloft, however a layer of warmer air should remain at the surface." Whoops... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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