NorthArlington101 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I don't agree that a major change is needed. Yeah, that was bad wording. We would need the trends to reverse is what I was trying to get across. It's within the realm of possibility, but I'm much more skeptical then I was this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 We are missing that frigid air, well, after today, anything will seem frigid. And it world have been totally fine with most to see snowflakes fly. But we may get neither so of MD line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 21z SREF is north. 0.1" mean line is up near the MD line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 21z SREF is north. 0.1" mean line is up near the MD line. It's not just north...its non existent. Big change from 15z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 It's not just north...its non existent. Big change from 15z Another one bites the dust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Welp...another chance missed it appears. Maybe we'll get a last second surprise.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Welp...another chance missed it appears. Maybe we'll get a last second surprise..in NAM-time, 2 days is an eternity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 GFS Clipper goes south of us and the good QPF (0.10+) is in C VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I'm still in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I'm still in. 00z GFS says 1-2 for all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 GFS Clipper goes south of us and the good QPF (0.10+) is in C VA haven't seen the temp maps yet, but they would probably be rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 haven't seen the temp maps yest, but they would probably be rain DCA is snow at hr 42 based off sounding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 GFS Clipper goes south of us and the good QPF (0.10+) is in C VA it's an interesting run...I'd like to see profiles.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 it's an interesting run...I'd like to see profiles.... Soundings support snow/sleet at DCA from 36 to 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 DCA is snow at hr 42 based off sounding no, I was referring to C VA where you said best qpf falls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Soundings support snow/sleet at DCA from 36 to 48 yes....just looked and it is snow/sleet most of the time.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 no, I was referring to C VA where you said best qpf falls Oh, my mistake... but even EZF is snow/sleet per soundings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I can't see how the GFS actually supports SN with a surface center of circulation over Pittsburgh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I can't see how the GFS actually supports SN with a surface center of circulation over Pittsburgh... the energy transfers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I just want to add on to totals right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 gfs42.GIF where can I get that for EZF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I just want to add on to totals right now. A sloppy inch doesn't excite me at the moment. Don't know why... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 where can I get that for EZF? http://www.stormchaser.niu.edu/machine/fcstsound.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 the energy transfers Which leads to the precip, I get that bit, but the circulation is still pulling warm air from the south, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 http://www.stormchaser.niu.edu/machine/fcstsound.html Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 A sloppy inch doesn't excite me at the moment. Don't know why... It would probably be a sloppy 2"....though not implying the GFS is even remotely correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 It would probably be a sloppy 2"....though not implying the GFS is even remotely correct It did well with the last clipper.. maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Just for fun.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Which leads to the precip, I get that bit, but the circulation is still pulling warm air from the south, no? you can see on the skew-t that winds are out of the SW except at the surface...it definitely isn't ideal to have a low to the NW, but it is one of those things where sometimes it doesn't matter...but yes...I would take the GFS run with a huge grain of salt anyway.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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