MN Transplant Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 There's a solution we haven't seen, the HRRR is a complete whiff for DC. Precip stays west of IAD to Baltimore and then develops over the bay. No changes. Still a shutout for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 it may fail, but anyone judhing it at this point is plain nuts here's the NAM sim/rad at 7AM http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fnam%2F06%2Fnam_namer_006_sim_radar.gif&model=nam&area=namer&storm=&cycle=06¶m=sim_radar&fhr=006&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150121+06+UTC&ps=model&use_mins=no&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 10 AM http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fnam%2F06%2Fnam_namer_009_sim_radar.gif&model=nam&area=namer&storm=&cycle=06¶m=sim_radar&fhr=009&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&ps=model&use_mins=no&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150121+06+UTC&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 1PM...it all starts between 10AM and 1PM http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fnam%2F06%2Fnam_namer_012_sim_radar.gif&model=nam&area=namer&storm=&cycle=06¶m=sim_radar&fhr=012&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&ps=model&use_mins=no&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150121+06+UTC&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 LOL @ people cancelling the storm already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 LOL @ people cancelling the storm already. The weenie in me says dusting if I get lucky. It has been like that from the beginning. Dunno. Looks better east for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 I can see a little blue sky. Clouds building in from the west tho. It's 8:30. Plenty of salt down for whatever does fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 I can see a little blue sky. Clouds building in from the west tho. It's 8:30. Plenty of salt down for whatever does fall Like there isn't a ton already around here Hoping you score some accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormPinsMike Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 I always lose the link, what's the good radar site so I can practice my radar hallucinations? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 I always lose the link, what's the good radar site so I can practice my radar hallucinations? http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=LWX-N0Q-1-24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 I always lose the link, what's the good radar site so I can practice my radar hallucinations? http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=LWX-N0Q-0-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Disclaimer: I haven't looked at radar, have no real expectations, and don't generally fuss over 1 inch snows... that said... ...this wasn't supposed to start until midday, right? Why are people jumping ship hours before it is supposed to start? LOL @ people cancelling the storm already. Because this is what people do? When the Euro, GFS and NAM all basically agree with a lead time of <12 hours, you should go ahead and feel confident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=LWX-N0Q-0-6 Hilarious that we both posted the same site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Hilarious that we both posted the same site. I think it is the best one, at some point last year someone suggested it and it's all I use now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mosi76 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 I think it is the best one, at some point last year someone suggested it and it's all I use now. I also like looking at this one to hallucinate nationwide http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_loop.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Schools are crazy for not shutting down. Very dangerous conditions with the sun peaking through the overcast unexpectedly. Can cause blind spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 There's a solution we haven't seen, the HRRR is a complete whiff for DC. Precip stays west of IAD to Baltimore and then develops over the bay. No changes. Still a shutout for DC. This has been the case since it was in range. HRRR and RAP have either been misses or crazy late starts....I blew it off since it was inconsistent with all other guidance, but now that we are closer it is certainly concerning for immediate DC metro......now the 12z NAM Is out and is suggesting the same thing. <0.05" for much of DC metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 NAM is unimpressive for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 This has been the case since it was in range. HRRR and RAP have either been misses or crazy late starts....I blew it off since it was inconsistent with all other guidance, but now that we are closer it is certainly concerning for immediate DC metro......now the 12z NAM Is out and is suggesting the same thing. <0.05" for much of DC metro Same with Hi-Res...a small event for immediate DC and immediate virginia burbs.....but looks really good for Germantown/Columbia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 35 degrees, i'm expecting a few spritzes of rain and flurries. No car top coating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Early signs are pointing to an elevation event in maryland. Congrats sugarloaf and mount airy? Maybe we can still find a way to get some disorganized periods of snow in the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Schools are crazy for not shutting down. Very dangerous conditions with the sun peaking through the overcast unexpectedly. Can cause blind spots. LOL. Still early though. Most of our best clippers occur during mid-day with the temps are above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Early signs are pointing to an elevation event in maryland. Congrats sugarloaf and mount airy? Maybe we can still find a way to get some disorganized periods of snow in the city. Congrats Ellinwood... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Looks like an 11am to noon ish start time here. Guesstimate. May take an afternoon lunchbreak up 270. Gburg rio...black hill park...those areas might be better for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 37 is tough even with precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 37 is tough even with precip. DCA could be 50 by the time the precip starts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Discrete and always was a minor event - at best, I know; but it won't feel good to start "threat" week off with a fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Was this Michael Olowokandi of the clippers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted January 21, 2015 Author Share Posted January 21, 2015 Next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 30/30. Flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Was this Michael Olowokandi of the clippers? The Kandi Man was even better than this POS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Sitting at 30.6 even JYO is 32.... NAM is warm for here during precip but has held steady dropping about .15 also has a little something late/early tomorrow ...I'm counting deck coverage the same as street for this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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