87storms Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 My snow predictions: BWI: 1.0" IAD: .8" DCA: .4" Then IMBY: 1.0" I'm maybe too low in some areas, but I'm playing it safe. EDIT: Just saw the NAM... My predictions are terrible. with marginal temps that's a good way to play unless it's at night with rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Long duration light snow = meh. But it's snow and Stat pad blah blah. without clippers we'd have a dusting this winter. i don't get the whining about clippers at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 based on the school delays last week for a flake and a raindrop, schools in Anne Arundel county will probably be closed tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 The minute after the WWA came out i got an email from my kids school to check the hotline in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 without clippers we'd have a dusting this winter. i don't get the whining about clippers at all. Not whining. This clipper doesn't appear to be as similar as the the one two weeks ago (certainly not as cold) and we are not that good with long duration light snow events w borderline temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 EDIT: Just saw the NAM... My predictions are terrible. I don't think that's snow on the NAM for DCA... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I don't think that's snow on the NAM for DCA... Just from the maps on instaweather 850s look fine and the surface freezing line stays near dc, maybe there is a warm nose though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I don't think that's snow on the NAM for DCA... I believe it is. 850s below 0C and sfc low-mid 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 without clippers we'd have a dusting this winter. i don't get the whining about clippers at all. from my experience here (and this goes back to the 80s as a kid), clippers have a tendency to get mangled as they cross the mountains. they are the source of many busts. the last clipper had real cold temps. without those temps, that clipper is a non-accumulating mess (or actually it may have gone north of us instead). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 from my experience here (and this goes back to the 80s as a kid), clippers have a tendency to get mangled as they cross the mountains. they are the source of many busts. the last clipper had real cold temps. without those temps, that clipper is a non-accumulating mess (or actually it may have gone north of us instead). huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 huh? See? Fwiw, I think those were also the Clippers of the early-mid 2000's. This year we're following the 90's Clippers, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 18Z NAM vort max has trended slightly south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 huh? he said: FROM MY EXPERIENCE HERE (AND THIS GOES BACK TO THE 80S AS A KID), CLIPPERS HAVE A TENDENCY TO GET MANGLED AS THEY CROSS THE MOUNTAINS. THEY ARE THE SOURCE OF MANY BUSTS. THE LAST CLIPPER HAD REAL COLD TEMPS. WITHOUT THOSE TEMPS, THAT CLIPPER IS A NON-ACCUMULATING MESS (OR ACTUALLY IT MAY HAVE GONE NORTH OF US INSTEAD). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 4km NAM is about 0.15" for DCA. 0.2" just to the east of DC and higher on the Eastern Shore (locally 0.5"). 850s for DC are -1 to 0 throughout the event. 32-34 sfc temps for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 See? Fwiw, I think those were also the Clippers of the early-mid 2000's. This year we're following the 90's Clippers, lol I've never argued clippers are the best snows ever or something but they are a regular part of our cilmo. Not sure why that's so hard for some people to wrap their minds around. 1" is better than 0" if you like snow.. and they do perform better at times. If a clipper is going to totally suck we usually know early and don't even pay much attention. Given we've had one good one the odds are probably higher than normal of another this winter. Yeah, temps aren't as good, and it might fail, but classic example of this forum focusing on fairies more than real stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I'll be watching the pressure maps and short term guidance to see if we can't get that low enhancing precip totals on the output to blow up or dominate a bit earlier. If that were to happen, better totals could happen on the 95 corridor. For now, I am skeptical of more than 2" west of the bay, but think Baltimore down to NAK are in good spots provided temperatures allow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 i am not impressed by this clipper. Clippers to me are dry but cold storms. this is a dry and warm storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 i am not impressed by this clipper. Clippers to me are dry but cold storms. this is a dry and warm storm.This isn't really a clipper as much as a period of waa snows along a front as a vort max slides across. It's not a classic clipper and I have seen setups like this produce a quick little thump where the best lift sets up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Im interested now, NWS says 1-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Just figured I'd share the latest from LWX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Hi-Res is a late morning to late afternoon event mostly...I think this one has more bust potential on the low side than the high side, but I'll take whatever i can get...I like snow...my target is an inch....street stickage might be tough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 woo 3-4 per lwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Hi-Res is a late morning to late afternoon event mostly...I think this one has more bust potential on the low side than the high side, but I'll take whatever i can get...I like snow...my target is an inch....street stickage might be tough agreed on totals and the part about street stickage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 woo 3-4 per lwx Yeah, looks like a solid 2-4" north of Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 This isn't really a clipper as much as a period of waa snows along a front as a vort max slides across. It's not a classic clipper and I have seen setups like this produce a quick little thump where the best lift sets up. Not sure I follow. What's a clipper then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Hi-Res is a late morning to late afternoon event mostly...I think this one has more bust potential on the low side than the high side, but I'll take whatever i can get...I like snow...my target is an inch....street stickage might be tough Yeah this one is for visual entertainment...set up in a spot to watch it fall with only a view of a grass field or a tree or something. The pavement will just ruin the ambiance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I counted 6 snow piles in my hood this morning so if it does fall, it's going down as snow on snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Yeah, looks like a solid 2-4" north of Baltimore. I'm planning better for this one -- taking a laptop home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 And I fully expect this one to be the classic clipper...east of here enhancement...I think most models show that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Yeah this one is for visual entertainment...set up in a spot to watch it fall with only a view of a grass field or a tree or something. The pavement will just ruin the ambiance Roads are cold. If it starts early, it will stick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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