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1/21 Clipper Thread


84 Hour NAM

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  On 1/21/2015 at 2:30 PM, WxWatcher007 said:

Lol meanwhile I'm walking through clouds of salt in DC on my way to work.

 

i don't think i'd punt this yet, though.  system still crossing the mountains.  the main lifting mechanism isn't even here yet and the atlantic is involved.  i think a couple hour period of potentially non-pavement sticking snow in the city is still possible.  that's my expectation.

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  On 1/21/2015 at 2:56 PM, BaltimoreWxGuy said:

The big question is why in the world did the NWS had the advisory going into effect at 6AM, when there was literally no data to support that. Completely unnecessary

 

i think because clippers have a tendency to move in quicker than expected.  probably a cya move.  i can't completely blame them given how this area reacts to snow, but the downside is people adjusting their early morning schedule for no reason.  

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  On 1/21/2015 at 2:50 PM, HighStakes said:

It helps, but what really helps is for it to snow heavily. That overcomes all no matter what time of day.

 

I think you and i will still be OK. May not be as robust as the NAM was spitting out last night (.35) but I think we could see still get at least 2" out of this.

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  On 1/21/2015 at 3:01 PM, gymengineer said:

Sure, the HiRes NAM could bust within 9 hrs, but it's still insisting on a really intense band over parts of the area.

Radar looking better. I don't have very high hopes imby but clippers usually come together last minute here. Not sure I'd take HRRR as much.
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  On 1/21/2015 at 3:01 PM, Warrior Bigfoot said:

I'm liking my call I made yesterday. This just doesn't have that "good snow" feel.

 

i don't know, the radar is starting to fill in pretty well actually.  might get a good burst of snow here.  still not sure about stickage, though.

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  On 1/21/2015 at 3:04 PM, Ian said:

Radar looking better. I don't have very high hopes imby but clippers usually come together last minute here. Not sure I'd take HRRR as much.

 

for us, it's trended from really bad to sort of bad, which I guess is a good trend......my temp hasn't really moved in the last 2 hours....

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  On 1/21/2015 at 3:08 PM, zwyts said:

for us, it's trended from really bad to sort of bad, which I guess is a good trend......my temp hasn't really moved in the last 2 hours....

Should be about peak tempwise if models were right. We could be OK. These systems would probably be best to forecast once every 24 hours. ;)

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