Amped Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 All cold and no snow makes the 00z GFS a dull run. Edit: Never mind it does look like it's brewing a day 17-18 octuple phaser perler vertex frankenbomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 All cold and no snow makes the 00z GFS a dull run. Edit: Never mind it does look like it's brewing a day 17-18 octuple phaser perler vertex frankenbomb. no snow on weather bell accum snow maps on whole run, kissing winter goodbye slowly. all the expectation for a good winter twirling down the drain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 EPS looks interesting for a week from Monday. Looks like (another) potential op for a coastal storm. I guess one of these will work out eventually based on climo and just dumb luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 CAPE, I guess we have to give up on that Monday event but it looks like the clipper is getting pretty close to us on late Wednesday.Plus starting in 9 days it looks like the pattern gets favorable for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 If 6z GFS verifies, we will reach climo, snow-wise by the end of January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 CAPE, I guess we have to give up on that Monday event but it looks like the clipper is getting pretty close to us on late Wednesday.Plus starting in 9 days it looks like the pattern gets favorable for us. Yeah that looks dead other than a nice slug of rain. Still time for the late week potential to get better, but just the general look makes me think its not a high probability. Maybe the clipper will continue to trend, but it would be nice to have a legit threat (with the potential for more than an inch) to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 This time it's different...we are at a new level of despair compared to last week. I'm not in despair, the pattern isn't that bad, see my latest post in my Thursday 2-week outlook thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 I'm not in despair, the pattern isn't that bad, see my latest post in my Thursday 2-week outlook thread Ok. No more negativity out of me. I respect your words and analysis immensely and appreciate all you contribute to our forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 I'm not in despair, the pattern isn't that bad, see my latest post in my Thursday 2-week outlook thread I had to check the date of your FB post twice. I think you just saved winter and lives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 New wrinkle on the 12z GFS...nice shortwave on the backside over MT/ND vs nothing at 0z last night. Let's see how this affects things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 GFS at hr 126 looks a lot more favorable for a Coastal. Still getting beat down but a way better look than 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Yeah, looks like that new shortwave I just posted about is gonna do something different....Miller B town? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robertgny Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 JMa and Nogaps model are leading the way. Gfs is lost ok? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Dud GFS all over the place. And now this new s/w pops up and just slides off. At least it's keeping things interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Flurries Friday Night it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 GFS is worthless. I guess at least it's easier to only look at one model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dtk Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 GFS is worthless. I guess at least it's easier to only look at one model.Good analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 GFS is at it again day 15, but it's supressed, very cold though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Northern stream s/w after northern stream s/w this week apparently. I think we'll score with one of them or another, maybe more than one. Probably dusting-2" type events, but given how strong these s/w's look on the GFS at least, they're worth watching for boom potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Good analysis. It was meant to be a silly statement.. tho not sure it's totally without truth. No one knows what they are looking at and the model seems really jumpy. Not sure it's going to be helping a lot of forecasts around here for a while at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 That's a heck of a GLL.... hr 240 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 working around the house all day and just looked at the NAM a pos with Monday's non-event, but it was the first with the clipper 2 weeks ago to come south and it's close to getting interesting at the end of its 12z run with the next clipper....who knows plus, it's all we got Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17, 2015 Author Share Posted January 17, 2015 I still feel like the gfs ens offers up plenty of hope. You can almost feel the euro coming in sooner or later with a system that makes us all giddy. Of course, it can be prone to doing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Euro marginally interesting for the clipper.. not the worst pass but still mild. 'Weekend event' swings around us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Euro is so close to a big storm though. Man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Euro is so close to a big storm though. Man. Too close for anybody to be bailing. I hope this one actually happens. If it does, I'm bump trolling a lot of people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 GFS is at it again day 15, but it's supressed, very cold though. that low has tracked all over the map. If savanah georgia get snow before we do it's all over!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Too close for anybody to be bailing. I hope this one actually happens. If it does, I'm bump trolling a lot of people. 500 is nice.. it just kinda doesn't know where to focus.. there are two coastals and initial competition with bagginess west. It's ripe though. Tamp a bit of western ridging as trough dig/progression is happening but a small change or two and boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Euro looks cold though. Really close this run. Wait & whine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 17, 2015 Share Posted January 17, 2015 Does ECMWF give us any snow or is it a wide right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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