Snowstorms Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Looks like 12z Euro trying to cook something big up for next weekend. Potential is definitely there as the trough axis is further West and we see a small ridge developing in the East. With the energy dropping down and gathering moisture in the Gulf, this will likely set the tables for a possible storm. The Euro has a nice Apps runner. General 4"+ for almost everyone. Some of the GEFS ensembles had a decent storm as well. The one thing that stands out as compared to these past storms is the PNA. Lets see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Todays teleconnections have backed off the warming trend of a few days earlier. I'm no expert but the possibility of a gulf inducted storm would make sense with the - PNA forecasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 LSX/ILX both talking up the potential with next weekends system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STL Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Decent consistency for last 3 runs of GFS for late next weekend. A LOT of moisture associated with it. Alabama and Mississippi will be submerged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 12z Euro on board a significant overrunning event next weekend, with a wide-open gulf. The area that gets snow will likely shift around, but the current run has Kansas through eastern Iowa and southern Wisconsin getting several inches. Today's 12z run also shows potential for additional similar events beyond seven days as the trough finally shifts west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 I'm reading discussions and hearing more mets say that the western ridge will move westward to the Aleutians, breaking down cross polar flow as has been mentioned, and allowing a trough to appear in the West, which is what we need to break this nw flow pattern and get some spring svr wx on the agenda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 not terrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Hopefully we can get a big storm with the flip and I wouldn't be shocked to see the severe season come to life with that sort of pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 not terrible End game is going to be fun. Me thinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 I'm reading discussions and hearing more mets say that the western ridge will move westward to the Aleutians, breaking down cross polar flow as has been mentioned, and allowing a trough to appear in the West, which is what we need to break this nw flow pattern and get some spring svr wx on the agenda. Looking increasingly likely...question is for how long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 A pattern change would definitely be a welcome thing. Endless dry/cold northwest flow is growing tiresome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 not terrible Aleutian ridge ftw. Bring it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Either going to be a big system next weekend (if we can get a good phase) or what looks nice a nice/long duration overrunning event with nice SW flow and broad/long duration WAA from the plains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 GFS continues to look interesting for next weekend with a potential widespread snow event. It's been pretty consistent with it the last several runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Not to be totally unscientific here but it's almost a lock for early March to have a big snowstorm in the Great Lakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Euro still showing a huge swath of precip next weekend. Definitive details are a long way off of course, but the signal for a widespread and potentially high impact event is looking pretty decent for next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 6Z GFS: :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mogget Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 ^^^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Long way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Both the GFS and the Euro show something big next weekend. Definitely a good signal as of right now. Something to track this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Even if the system next weekend misses, a pattern change or at least a slight shift seems likely, any change up at this point would be welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Liking the prospect of an active sw flow pattern, probably gonna be some rainers but i'm ready Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 should be another warm region wide high moisture system on the 12z GFS EDIT: putting the specific track and details aside, I think the large scale general pattern argues pretty heavily towards a warm / wet solution. We've just seen a string of suppressed turds but i don't see that happening this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 should be another warm region wide high moisture system on the 12z GFS EDIT: putting the specific track and details aside, I think the large scale general pattern argues pretty heavily towards a warm / wet solution. We've just seen a string of suppressed turds but i don't see that happening this time. Could be winner either way. Nice snowfall or welcome March by washing everything clean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 i'm fine with either, just want to bust out of this pattern rut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 should be another warm region wide high moisture system on the 12z GFS EDIT: putting the specific track and details aside, I think the large scale general pattern argues pretty heavily towards a warm / wet solution. We've just seen a string of suppressed turds but i don't see that happening this time. I wouldn't call it a lock but I agree that the pattern would favor a moisture laden system hitting areas farther north than what we've seen recently. The way this would fail imo is if we see too much energy get left behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 A fair number of 0z EPS members had two storms for the 2/28-3/4 period. Noticed the 12z GFS kinda tried to pull off the same thing. Might be something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 A fair number of 0z EPS members had two storms for the 2/28-3/4 period. Noticed the 12z GFS kinda tried to pull off the same thing. Might be something to watch. 12z GGEM has the multi-parter look too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 euro with an active look but the pac ridge is rebuilding and it doesn't look like a large scale pattern change is in the cards Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 -10 on Feb 24th. This sh*t needs to end. I want my ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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